2020 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 2020 · AT&T Stadium

Atlanta Falcons

Dallas CowboysWinner

DAL -3 no coverO 53 ✓DomeCowboys closed -3, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Dallas Cowboys 40–39 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:04, DAL +49% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:04ATL — DAL DAL ball · 4th & 8DAL 51%

(:04) 2-G.Zuerlein 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-6-C.Jones.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:04DAL +49% win prob(:04) 2-G.Zuerlein 46 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, Holder-6-C.Jones.
Q4 · 1:49ATL +28% win prob(Onside Kick formation) 2-G.Zuerlein kicks onside 11 yards from DAL 35 to DAL 46. RECOVERED by DAL-29-C.Goodwin.
Q4 · 1:43DAL +21% win prob(1:43) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 88-C.Lamb to ATL 30 for 24 yards (27-D.Kazee).
Q1 · 11:13ATL +11% win prob(11:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL 21 for -6 yards (sack split by 56-D.Fowler and 45-D.Jones). FUMBLES (56-D.Fowler), RECOVERED by ATL-50-J.Cominsky at DAL 22.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Falcons	Cowboys
Offensive plays	73	81
Total yards	380	570 (edge)
Yards per play	5.2	7.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.11 (edge)	0.07
Success rate	42%	53% (edge)
Dropback rate	59%	62%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.29 (edge)	0.17
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.14	-0.10 (edge)
Third downs	8/17	8/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6	11 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	21	31 (edge)
Sacks taken	1	1
Turnovers	0 (edge)	4

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

34/47, 450 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

18.3 expected points added · +4.3% completion over expected

Passing · ATL

Matt RyanQB

24/36, 273 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT

14.2 expected points added · +5.4% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

22 att, 89 yds, 1 TD

-3.9 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · ATL

Todd GurleyRB

21 att, 61 yds, 0 TD

-6.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ATL

Calvin RidleyWR

7/10 for 109 yds, 2 TD

28% of team targets · 8.1 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

6/9 for 106 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · 7.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	ATL	ATL 25	5	8	1:27	Punt
2	DAL	DAL 23	4	6	0:46	Fumble
3	ATL	ATL 28	4	5	0:57	Punt
4	DAL	DAL 24	3	-2	0:44	Fumble
5	ATL	DAL 22	2	22	0:08	Touchdown
6	DAL	DAL 13	5	30	1:32	Fumble
7	ATL	ATL 48	5	52	1:49	Touchdown
8	DAL	DAL 13	6	16	1:45	Turnover on downs
9	ATL	DAL 29	4	5	1:26	Turnover on downs
10	DAL	DAL 32	2	8	0:16	Fumble
11	ATL	DAL 40	7	18	3:04	Turnover on downs
12	DAL	DAL 25	13	70	3:57	Touchdown
13	ATL	ATL 25	14	60	6:11	Touchdown
14	DAL	DAL 25	12	75	4:12	Turnover on downs
15	ATL	ATL 21	8	56	1:44	Turnover on downs
16	DAL	—	1	0	0:02	End of half
17	DAL	DAL 26	9	74	2:37	Touchdown
18	ATL	ATL 26	11	33	5:22	Punt
19	DAL	DAL 17	9	82	2:47	Touchdown
20	ATL	ATL 26	13	74	4:51	Touchdown
21	DAL	DAL 24	6	19	1:37	Turnover on downs
22	ATL	DAL 43	10	35	4:49	Turnover on downs
23	DAL	DAL 25	12	75	3:00	Touchdown
24	ATL	ATL 25	7	12	2:00	Punt
25	DAL	DAL 24	10	91	1:08	Touchdown
26	DAL	DAL 46	7	26	1:49	Turnover on downs

0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 91 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Atlanta Falcons

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Matt Ryan	24/36	273	4	0	1	14.2
Russell Gage	0/1	0	0	0	0	-2.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Todd Gurley	21	61	2.9	-6.3
Ito Smith	5	20	4.0	-0.2
Matt Ryan	4	16	4.0	0.3
Brian Hill	3	14	4.7	0.1
Keith Smith	1	2	2.0	2.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Calvin Ridley	7	10	109	2	28%	8.1
Hayden Hurst	5	8	72	1	22%	2.6
Russell Gage	6	9	46	1	25%	2.5
Julio Jones	2	4	24	0	11%	3.0
Brian Hill	2	2	11	0	6%	-0.5
Olamide Zaccheaus	1	1	10	0	3%	-0.5
Keith Smith	1	2	1	0	6%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Keanu Neal	6	2	0.0	0
Damontae Kazee	7	1	0.0	0
Deion Jones	2	5	0.5	0
Darqueze Dennard	5	2	0.0	1
Foyesade Oluokun	5	1	0.0	0
Mykal Walker	3	3	0.0	0
Isaiah Oliver	4	1	0.0	2
A.J. Terrell	4	1	0.0	0
Jacob Tuioti-Mariner	4	0	0.0	0
Grady Jarrett	1	3	0.0	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	34/47	450	1	1	18.3
Andy Dalton	0/1	0	0	0	-0.2
Chris Jones	0/1	0	0	0	-3.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	22	89	4.0	1	-3.9
Dak Prescott	5	18	3.6	3	2.9
CeeDee Lamb	1	9	9.0	0	0.8
Tony Pollard	2	6	3.0	0	-0.3
Darian Thompson	1	3	3.0	0	-2.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
CeeDee Lamb	6	9	106	0	19%	7.8
Amari Cooper	6	9	100	0	19%	3.0
Dalton Schultz	9	10	88	1	21%	0.6
Michael Gallup	2	5	58	0	11%	2.9
Blake Bell	2	3	34	0	6%	1.2
Ezekiel Elliott	6	7	33	0	15%	0.9
Noah Brown	2	2	28	0	4%	1.0
Tony Pollard	1	1	3	0	2%	-0.2
C.J. Goodwin	0	1	0	0	2%	-3.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jaylon Smith	8	6	0.0	1
Joe Thomas	6	6	0.0	0
Trevon Diggs	6	0	0.0	1
Xavier Woods	3	2	0.0	0
Jourdan Lewis	4	1	0.0	0
Everson Griffen	2	3	1.0	0
Aldon Smith	2	3	0.0	0
Demarcus Lawrence	3	2	0.0	0
Daryl Worley	3	0	0.0	1
Dorance Armstrong	1	2	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -3
Closing total: 53
ATL moneyline: +131
DAL moneyline: -145

Cowboys closed -3, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 53; the game landed 79 — over by 26.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Brad Rogers
Rest: ATL 7 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches: Dan Quinn vs Mike McCarthy