2020 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 2020 · Heinz Field

Denver Broncos

Pittsburgh SteelersWinner

PIT -6 no coverO 41 ✓Steelers closed -6, won by 5 — but didn't cover.

Pittsburgh Steelers 26–21. Biggest swing: Q4 1:55, DEN +24% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 1:55DEN — PIT DEN ball · 4th & 2PIT 70%

(1:55) (Shotgun) 9-J.Driskel sacked at PIT 26 for -11 yards (34-T.Edmunds).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 1:55DEN +24% win prob(1:55) (Shotgun) 9-J.Driskel sacked at PIT 26 for -11 yards (34-T.Edmunds).
Q4 · 3:19PIT +12% win prob(3:19) (Shotgun) 9-J.Driskel pass incomplete deep middle to 81-T.Patrick [94-T.Alualu]. PENALTY on PIT-34-T.Edmunds, Defensive Pass Interference, 17 yards, enforced at DEN 38 - No Play.
Q1 · 7:53DEN +12% win prob(7:53) (Shotgun) 3-D.Lock sacked at PIT 36 for -11 yards (48-B.Dupree). FUMBLES (48-B.Dupree) [48-B.Dupree], RECOVERED by PIT-28-M.Hilton at PIT 33. 28-M.Hilton to PIT 41 for 8 yards (72-G.Bolles).
Q4 · 3:14PIT +11% win prob(3:14) (Shotgun) 9-J.Driskel pass deep left to 87-N.Fant ran ob at PIT 23 for 22 yards [91-S.Tuitt]. Pittsburgh challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #2.)

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Broncos	Steelers
Offensive plays	73	62
Total yards	321	412 (edge)
Yards per play	4.4	6.6 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.19	-0.11 (edge)
Success rate	36%	42% (edge)
Dropback rate	66%	68%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.23	0.03 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.10 (edge)	-0.39
Third downs	5/15 (edge)	2/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	5
First downs gained on snaps	18	19 (edge)
Sacks taken	7	1 (edge)
Turnovers	2	2

Steelers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.19.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PIT

Ben RoethlisbergerQB

29/41, 311 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

1.1 expected points added · +0.1% completion over expected

Passing · DEN

Jeff DriskelQB

18/34, 256 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-2.9 expected points added · -2.5% completion over expected

Rushing · PIT

James ConnerRB

16 att, 106 yds, 1 TD

-0.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DEN

Melvin GordonRB

19 att, 70 yds, 0 TD

-4.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PIT

Diontae JohnsonWR

8/13 for 92 yds, 1 TD

32% of team targets · 0.5 expected points added

Receiving · PIT

Chase ClaypoolWR

3/3 for 88 yds, 1 TD

7% of team targets · 6.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DEN	DEN 20	8	25	2:22	Punt
2	PIT	PIT 23	4	16	2:08	Punt
3	DEN	DEN 33	6	34	2:48	Fumble
4	PIT	PIT 41	10	59	3:19	Touchdown
5	DEN	DEN 20	7	28	3:01	Punt
6	PIT	PIT 17	4	-8	1:22	Punt
7	DEN	PIT 36	5	10	2:53	Turnover on downs
8	PIT	PIT 22	10	42	2:48	Punt
9	DEN	DEN 11	7	15	2:45	Defensive touchdown
10	PIT	PIT 16	2	84	0:11	Touchdown
11	DEN	DEN 25	6	35	1:42	Turnover on downs
12	PIT	PIT 48	4	13	2:32	Punt
13	DEN	DEN 20	1	0	0:11	Interception
14	PIT	DEN 11	4	8	1:19	Turnover on downs
15	DEN	DEN 25	6	7	0:32	Punt
16	PIT	PIT 35	1	0	0:07	End of half
17	PIT	PIT 47	6	5	3:10	Interception
18	DEN	PIT 41	10	27	3:50	Turnover on downs
19	PIT	PIT 25	10	35	4:06	Turnover on downs
20	DEN	DEN 35	7	47	2:47	Touchdown
21	PIT	PIT 25	11	75	4:41	Touchdown
22	DEN	DEN 13	5	-1	1:25	Turnover on downs
23	PIT	DEN 48	2	0	0:20	Fumble
24	DEN	DEN 46	7	55	1:58	Touchdown
25	PIT	PIT 25	6	15	1:35	Punt
26	DEN	DEN 18	11	39	4:17	Turnover on downs
27	PIT	PIT 26	5	68	1:51	End of game

0 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Steelers gained 84 scrimmage yards over 2 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Denver Broncos

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jeff Driskel	18/34	256	2	1	6	-2.9
Drew Lock	1/5	20	0	0	1	-8.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Melvin Gordon	19	70	3.7	-4.2
Royce Freeman	3	20	6.7	0.5
K.J. Hamler	1	9	9.0	1.0
Jeff Driskel	2	5	2.5	0.1
Sam Martin	1	0	0.0	-0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Courtland Sutton	3	6	66	0	16%	-4.6
Jerry Jeudy	4	7	62	0	18%	4.4
Noah Fant	4	5	57	1	13%	5.8
K.J. Hamler	3	7	48	0	18%	1.4
Tim Patrick	2	5	24	0	13%	1.7
Melvin Gordon	2	3	14	1	8%	0.2
DaeSean Hamilton	1	3	5	0	8%	-1.1
Nick Vannett	0	2	0	0	5%	-2.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Justin Simmons	6	1	1	2
Alexander Johnson	4	2	0	0
Michael Ojemudia	5	1	0	1
Josey Jewell	3	2	0	0
Bryce Callahan	4	1	0	0
Kareem Jackson	3	1	0	0
Jurrell Casey	3	1	0	1
Bradley Chubb	3	0	0	0
Malik Reed	2	0	0	1
Shelby Harris	2	0	0	0

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ben Roethlisberger	29/41	311	2	1	1	1.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
James Conner	16	106	6.6	1	-0.0
Benny Snell	3	5	1.7	0	-6.1
Ben Roethlisberger	3	-2	-0.7	0	-5.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Diontae Johnson	8	13	92	1	32%	0.5
Chase Claypool	3	3	88	1	7%	6.3
JuJu Smith-Schuster	7	8	48	0	20%	-1.1
Eric Ebron	3	5	43	0	12%	-1.7
James Washington	3	5	22	0	12%	-0.1
James Conner	2	2	15	0	5%	0.9
Jaylen Samuels	1	2	4	0	5%	0.2
Vance McDonald	1	2	3	0	5%	-0.7
Benny Snell	1	1	-4	0	2%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Mike Hilton	7	0	1.0	1
Devin Bush	6	1	0.0	2
Minkah Fitzpatrick	4	2	0.0	0
Vince Williams	4	1	0.0	0
Tyson Alualu	3	2	1.0	1
T.J. Watt	3	1	2.5	0
Terrell Edmunds	2	2	1.0	1
Chase Claypool	1	2	0.0	0
Steven Nelson	2	1	0.0	0
Cameron Heyward	1	2	0.5	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PIT -6
Closing total: 41
DEN moneyline: +232
PIT moneyline: -267

Steelers closed -6, won by 5 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 41; the game landed 47 — over by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Heinz Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 64°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: Adrian Hill
Rest: DEN 6 days · PIT 6 days
Coaches: Vic Fangio vs Mike Tomlin