2020 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 2020 · Lincoln Financial Field

Los Angeles RamsWinner

Philadelphia Eagles

PHI -2 upsetO 46 ✓Eagles closed -2 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Los Angeles Rams 37–19 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q3 8:14, LA +21% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 8:14LA — PHI PHI ball · 1st & 10PHI 54%

(8:14) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle intended for 19-J.Arcega-Whiteside INTERCEPTED by 31-D.Williams at LA -2. Touchback.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 8:14LA +21% win prob(8:14) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle intended for 19-J.Arcega-Whiteside INTERCEPTED by 31-D.Williams at LA -2. Touchback.
Q1 · 13:43LA +15% win prob(13:43) 26-M.Sanders left end to PHI 38 for 3 yards (59-M.Kiser). FUMBLES (59-M.Kiser), RECOVERED by LA-41-K.Young at PHI 41.
Q2 · 1:01PHI +14% win prob(1:01) 1-C.Johnston punts 59 yards to LA 3, Center-45-R.Lovato. 10-C.Kupp to LA 12 for 9 yards (57-T.Edwards). FUMBLES (57-T.Edwards), RECOVERED by PHI-42-K.Wallace at LA 11. 42-K.Wallace to LA 11 for no gain (24-T.Rapp).
Q4 · 11:00PHI +8% win prob(11:00) 16-J.Goff pass deep left to 89-T.Higbee for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Rams	Eagles
Offensive plays	64	70
Total yards	452 (edge)	363
Yards per play	7.1 (edge)	5.2
Expected points added / play	0.44 (edge)	-0.09
Success rate	56% (edge)	49%
Dropback rate	47%	63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.70 (edge)	-0.21
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.21 (edge)	0.10
Third downs	7/11 (edge)	7/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	11 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	28 (edge)	25
Sacks taken	1	0 (edge)
Turnovers	0 (edge)	3

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.44 expected points added per play vs -0.09.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

20/27, 267 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

21.2 expected points added · +16.2% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Carson WentzQB

26/43, 242 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-9.3 expected points added · -6.6% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

20 att, 95 yds, 1 TD

0.2 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Darrell HendersonRB

12 att, 81 yds, 1 TD

2.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Cooper KuppWR

5/6 for 81 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 8.6 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

DeSean JacksonWR

6/9 for 64 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · 3.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 21	4	17	1:23	Fumble
2	LA	PHI 41	6	41	2:22	Touchdown
3	PHI	PHI 30	10	45	4:33	Turnover on downs
4	LA	LA 25	12	75	4:54	Touchdown
5	PHI	PHI 30	5	8	1:01	Punt
6	LA	LA 20	9	75	3:32	Touchdown
7	PHI	PHI 25	13	71	6:05	Touchdown
8	LA	LA 23	9	38	3:59	Punt
9	PHI	PHI 20	7	18	1:25	Punt
10	PHI	LA 11	3	11	0:11	Touchdown
11	LA	LA 25	2	-1	0:35	End of half
12	LA	LA 25	5	4	1:28	Punt
13	PHI	PHI 14	12	65	5:29	Interception
14	LA	LA 20	16	73	5:49	Turnover on downs
15	PHI	PHI 25	14	60	5:07	Turnover on downs
16	LA	LA 25	5	70	1:14	Touchdown
17	PHI	PHI 12	11	57	3:05	Turnover on downs
18	LA	LA 36	10	64	4:11	Touchdown
19	PHI	PHI 25	3	11	0:28	Interception
20	LA	PHI 42	6	13	3:09	End of game

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 75 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	20/27	267	3	0	1	21.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Darrell Henderson	12	81	6.8	1	2.1
Malcolm Brown	11	47	4.3	0	-0.8
Cooper Kupp	2	19	9.5	0	2.0
Robert Woods	3	19	6.3	1	2.8
Jared Goff	7	13	1.9	0	-0.8
Cam Akers	3	13	4.3	0	0.0
Van Jefferson	1	-1	-1.0	0	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Cooper Kupp	5	6	81	0	23%	8.6
Tyler Higbee	5	5	54	3	19%	8.3
Van Jefferson	4	5	45	0	19%	2.9
Darrell Henderson	2	3	40	0	12%	3.5
Josh Reynolds	2	2	33	0	8%	2.2
Robert Woods	2	5	14	0	19%	-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Micah Kiser	10	5	0	1
John Johnson	6	4	0	2
Jordan Fuller	5	4	0	0
Troy Hill	7	1	1	1
Kenny Young	2	2	0	0
Taylor Rapp	4	0	0	0
Ogbonnia Okoronkwo	1	2	0	0
Sebastian Joseph	3	0	0	0
Michael Brockers	1	2	0	0
Jalen Ramsey	1	0	0	0

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	26/43	242	0	2	0	-9.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Miles Sanders	20	95	4.8	1	0.2
Boston Scott	4	19	4.8	0	1.5
Carson Wentz	2	7	3.5	1	1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
DeSean Jackson	6	9	64	22%	3.7
Zach Ertz	5	7	42	17%	0.4
Jalen Reagor	4	4	41	10%	1.4
Miles Sanders	3	7	36	17%	-2.4
Dallas Goedert	4	8	30	20%	-4.5
Boston Scott	3	3	24	7%	0.8
Greg Ward	1	1	5	2%	-0.1
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside	0	2	0	5%	-7.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast
Avonte Maddox	8	0
Jalen Mills	6	1
Nathan Gerry	3	4
Darius Slay	4	1
Marcus Epps	3	2
T.J. Edwards	3	2
Rodney McLeod	3	1
Fletcher Cox	3	1
Malik Jackson	2	1
Nickell Robey	2	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -2
Closing total: 46
LA moneyline: +111
PHI moneyline: -123

Eagles closed -2 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 46; the game landed 56 — over by 10.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 62°F, wind 12 mph
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: LA 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches: Sean McVay vs Doug Pederson