2020 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 2020 · CenturyLink Field

New England Patriots

Seattle SeahawksWinner

SEA -4 ✓O 45 ✓Seahawks closed -4 and covered, winning by 5.

Seattle Seahawks 35–30. Biggest swing: Q4 0:03, NE +54% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:03NE — SEA NE ball · 1st & 1NE 54%

(:03) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton left tackle to SEA 2 for -1 yards (91-L.Collier).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:03NE +54% win prob(:03) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton left tackle to SEA 2 for -1 yards (91-L.Collier).
Q1 · 13:48NE +22% win prob(13:48) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short left intended for 88-G.Olsen INTERCEPTED by 32-D.McCourty at SEA 43. 32-D.McCourty for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 0:09SEA +20% win prob(:09) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 15-N.Harry to SEA 1 for 12 yards (22-Q.Dunbar).
Q3 · 7:12SEA +14% win prob(7:12) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 83-D.Moore for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-L.Guy]. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Patriots	Seahawks
Offensive plays	70	60
Total yards	465 (edge)	429
Yards per play	6.6	7.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.19	0.22 (edge)
Success rate	49%	58% (edge)
Dropback rate	67%	57%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.48 (edge)	0.40
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.39	-0.02 (edge)
Third downs	7/12 (edge)	3/7
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6	6
First downs gained on snaps	28 (edge)	21
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	2
Turnovers	1	1

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.22 expected points added per play vs 0.19.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NE

Cam NewtonQB

30/44, 397 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

20.8 expected points added · +1.9% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Russell WilsonQB

21/28, 288 yds, 5 TD, 1 INT

10.5 expected points added · +17.1% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Chris CarsonRB

17 att, 72 yds, 0 TD

1.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NE

Cam NewtonQB

11 att, 47 yds, 2 TD

0.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NE

Julian EdelmanWR

8/11 for 179 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 13.2 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

DK MetcalfWR

4/6 for 92 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 6.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	SEA	SEA 25	4	13	1:21	Defensive touchdown
2	SEA	SEA 25	15	90	8:12	Touchdown
3	NE	NE 28	14	63	6:28	Touchdown
4	SEA	SEA 43	7	24	3:50	Punt
5	NE	NE 9	4	9	1:21	Punt
6	SEA	SEA 25	5	75	1:51	Touchdown
7	NE	NE 22	9	45	3:13	Turnover on downs
8	SEA	SEA 41	10	18	3:26	Punt
9	NE	NE 2	2	1	0:18	End of half
10	NE	NE 25	14	68	4:48	Turnover on downs
11	SEA	SEA 25	8	75	3:08	Touchdown
12	NE	NE 16	7	31	2:34	Interception
13	SEA	SEA 48	6	52	2:30	Touchdown
14	NE	NE 23	8	77	2:46	Touchdown
15	SEA	SEA 25	5	8	2:03	Punt
16	NE	NE 7	7	22	3:15	Punt
17	SEA	SEA 35	10	65	4:24	Touchdown
18	NE	NE 25	9	75	2:16	Touchdown
19	SEA	SEA 22	5	9	0:34	Punt
20	NE	NE 19	9	74	1:42	End of game

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 90 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New England Patriots

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Cam Newton	30/44	397	1	1	1	20.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Cam Newton	11	47	4.3	2	0.7
Sony Michel	7	19	2.7	0	-1.9
Rex Burkhead	6	2	0.3	0	-5.3
J.J. Taylor	1	-1	-1.0	0	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Julian Edelman	8	11	179	0	26%	13.2
Damiere Byrd	6	9	72	0	21%	1.2
N'Keal Harry	8	12	72	0	28%	4.3
Rex Burkhead	4	6	47	0	14%	1.7
Ryan Izzo	2	2	19	0	5%	0.7
Jakobi Meyers	1	1	7	0	2%	1.7
Jakob Johnson	1	1	1	1	2%	0.6
Sony Michel	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
John Simon	5	3	0.0
Jonathan Jones	7	0	0.0
Kyle Dugger	4	2	0.0
Adrian Phillips	2	3	0.0
Ja'Whaun Bentley	1	4	0.0
Brandon Copeland	3	2	0.0
Chase Winovich	1	2	0.5
Jason McCourty	3	0	0.0
Adam Butler	1	1	0.0
Derek Rivers	0	2	0.5

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Russell Wilson	21/28	288	5	1	2	10.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Chris Carson	17	72	4.2	1.0
Russell Wilson	5	39	7.8	2.4
Carlos Hyde	5	22	4.4	0.0
Travis Homer	3	21	7.0	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DK Metcalf	4	6	92	1	24%	6.7
Tyler Lockett	7	8	67	1	32%	6.0
David Moore	3	3	48	1	12%	4.2
Chris Carson	3	3	36	1	12%	4.1
Freddie Swain	1	1	21	1	4%	2.2
Carlos Hyde	2	2	15	0	8%	1.0
Will Dissly	1	1	9	0	4%	0.9
Greg Olsen	0	1	0	0	4%	-9.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Bobby Wagner	5	5	0.0	0	0
Jamal Adams	6	3	1.0	0	0
Ugochukwu Amadi	8	0	0.0	0	0
Quinton Dunbar	5	0	0.0	1	2
Delano Hill	3	2	0.0	0	0
K.J. Wright	2	2	0.0	0	0
Nick Bellore	3	1	0.0	0	0
Jarran Reed	2	1	0.0	0	0
Shaquill Griffin	3	0	0.0	0	0
Anthony Rush	1	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -4
Closing total: 45
NE moneyline: +177
SEA moneyline: -199

Seahawks closed -4 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 45; the game landed 65 — over by 20.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: CenturyLink Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 70°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: Craig Wrolstad
Rest: NE 7 days · SEA 7 days
Coaches: Bill Belichick vs Pete Carroll