2020 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 20, 2020 · Soldier Field

New York Giants

Chicago BearsWinner

CHI -4.5 no coverU 42.5 ✓Bears closed -4.5, won by 4 — but didn't cover.

Chicago Bears 17–13. Biggest swing: Q4 0:04, NYG +36% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:04NYG — CHI NYG ball · 3rd & 6CHI 64%

(:04) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 15-G.Tate (39-E.Jackson). PENALTY on NYG-15-G.Tate, Offensive Pass Interference, 0 yards, enforced at CHI 10 - No Play.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:04NYG +36% win prob(:04) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass incomplete short right to 15-G.Tate (39-E.Jackson). PENALTY on NYG-15-G.Tate, Offensive Pass Interference, 0 yards, enforced at CHI 10 - No Play.
Q4 · 1:55CHI +14% win prob(1:55) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short middle to 88-E.Engram to CHI 38 for 22 yards (24-B.Skrine).
Q4 · 0:45CHI +14% win prob(:45) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short middle to 33-D.Lewis to CHI 26 for 6 yards (26-D.Bush).
Q4 · 2:07NYG +13% win prob(2:07) 2-C.Santos 50 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Bears
Offensive plays	60	64
Total yards	295	304 (edge)
Yards per play	4.9 (edge)	4.8
Expected points added / play	-0.10	-0.02 (edge)
Success rate	52% (edge)	39%
Dropback rate	75%	52%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.16	0.10 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.06 (edge)	-0.14
Third downs	3/13	9/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	19 (edge)	18
Sacks taken	4	4
Turnovers	2	2

Bears won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.10.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

25/40, 241 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-8.9 expected points added · -0.9% completion over expected

Passing · CHI

Mitchell TrubiskyQB

18/28, 190 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

1.8 expected points added · -1.9% completion over expected

Rushing · CHI

David MontgomeryRB

16 att, 82 yds, 0 TD

-0.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CHI

Cordarrelle PattersonRB

7 att, 25 yds, 0 TD

-1.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Evan EngramTE

6/8 for 65 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · -1.5 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Golden TateWR

5/5 for 47 yds, 0 TD

14% of team targets · 2.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CHI	CHI 18	14	77	7:35	Touchdown
2	NYG	NYG 21	4	-1	1:13	Fumble
3	CHI	NYG 20	4	4	1:36	Turnover on downs
4	NYG	NYG 25	5	5	0:54	Punt
5	CHI	CHI 8	7	30	2:53	Punt
6	NYG	NYG 23	7	43	3:01	Interception
7	CHI	CHI 34	6	1	2:42	Punt
8	NYG	NYG 14	8	33	4:37	Punt
9	CHI	CHI 20	12	80	5:15	Touchdown
10	NYG	NYG 25	4	36	0:14	Turnover on downs
11	NYG	NYG 30	6	11	2:49	Punt
12	CHI	CHI 25	2	0	0:50	Interception
13	NYG	CHI 25	4	4	1:31	Turnover on downs
14	CHI	CHI 29	11	33	5:53	Punt
15	NYG	NYG 5	12	75	4:39	Touchdown
16	CHI	CHI 24	6	20	2:04	Interception
17	NYG	NYG 34	10	39	4:31	Turnover on downs
18	CHI	CHI 24	13	59	5:41	Turnover on downs
19	NYG	NYG 40	13	50	2:02	End of game

0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bears gained 80 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	25/40	241	0	1	4	-8.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Saquon Barkley	4	28	7.0	0	1.3
Daniel Jones	3	21	7.0	0	1.6
Dion Lewis	10	20	2.0	1	-0.5
Sterling Shepard	1	6	6.0	0	0.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Evan Engram	6	8	65	22%	-1.5
Golden Tate	5	5	47	14%	2.8
Dion Lewis	4	5	36	14%	3.1
Darius Slayton	3	6	33	17%	0.6
C.J. Board	3	3	32	8%	1.5
Sterling Shepard	2	4	29	11%	-1.3
Damion Ratley	0	2	0	6%	-1.5
Kaden Smith	2	3	-1	8%	-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Blake Martinez	6	2	1.0	0	0
Logan Ryan	5	1	0.0	0	0
Dalvin Tomlinson	3	2	0.0	0	1
Dexter Lawrence	5	0	0.0	0	0
Kyler Fackrell	4	0	1.0	0	0
Jabrill Peppers	2	2	0.0	0	0
Lorenzo Carter	4	0	1.0	0	0
B.J. Hill	3	1	1.0	0	0
Julian Love	3	1	0.0	1	1
James Bradberry	3	0	0.0	1	4

Chicago Bears

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Mitchell Trubisky	18/28	190	2	2	4	1.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
David Montgomery	16	82	5.1	-0.4
Cordarrelle Patterson	7	25	3.6	-1.2
Mitchell Trubisky	4	16	4.0	0.0
Tarik Cohen	5	12	2.4	-1.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
David Montgomery	3	3	45	1	11%	5.5
Darnell Mooney	3	3	36	1	11%	5.2
Allen Robinson	3	9	33	0	32%	-7.9
Jimmy Graham	1	1	18	0	4%	1.9
Javon Wims	2	2	17	0	7%	2.6
Tarik Cohen	1	1	15	0	4%	1.5
Cole Kmet	1	1	12	0	4%	1.2
Cordarrelle Patterson	2	2	8	0	7%	-1.0
Bobby Massie	1	1	4	0	4%	1.9
Ryan Nall	1	1	2	0	4%	-0.2
Anthony Miller	0	3	0	0	11%	-4.6
Demetrius Harris	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Roquan Smith	6	2	0.0	0
Eddie Jackson	7	0	0.0	0
Buster Skrine	5	1	0.0	0
Kyle Fuller	5	0	0.0	2
Jaylon Johnson	3	1	0.0	2
Akiem Hicks	2	1	1.0	0
Khalil Mack	2	1	1.0	0
Brent Urban	1	1	0.0	0
James Vaughters	2	0	0.0	0
Tashaun Gipson	2	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CHI -4.5
Closing total: 42.5
NYG moneyline: +196
CHI moneyline: -222

Bears closed -4.5, won by 4 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 30 — under by 12.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Soldier Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 66°F, wind 12 mph
Referee: Bill Vinovich
Rest: NYG 6 days · CHI 7 days
Coaches: Joe Judge vs Matt Nagy