2020 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 27, 2020 · CenturyLink Field

Dallas Cowboys

Seattle SeahawksWinner

SEA -5.5 ✓O 58 ✓Seahawks closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Seattle Seahawks 38–31. Biggest swing: Q4 2:37, SEA +28% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 2:37DAL — SEA SEA ball · 4th & 3DAL 57%

(2:37) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen to DAL 36 for 11 yards (25-X.Woods).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 2:37SEA +28% win prob(2:37) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 88-G.Olsen to DAL 36 for 11 yards (25-X.Woods).
Q4 · 1:55SEA +19% win prob(1:55) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep right to 14-D.Metcalf for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 13:13SEA +17% win prob(13:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 13-M.Gallup for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 0:45DAL +14% win prob(:45) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right intended for 19-A.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 26-Sq.Griffin [90-J.Reed] at DAL 38. 26-Sq.Griffin to DAL 34 for 4 yards (88-C.Lamb).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cowboys	Seahawks
Offensive plays	80	70
Total yards	523 (edge)	415
Yards per play	6.5 (edge)	5.9
Expected points added / play	0.13 (edge)	0.07
Success rate	46% (edge)	39%
Dropback rate	79%	70%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.14 (edge)	0.13
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.13 (edge)	-0.07
Third downs	7/15 (edge)	5/13
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	8
First downs gained on snaps	26 (edge)	21
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	4
Turnovers	3	0 (edge)

Cowboys outgained Seahawks 523–415 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

37/57, 472 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT

7.8 expected points added · +1.3% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Russell WilsonQB

27/40, 315 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT

13.8 expected points added · +6.2% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Chris CarsonRB

14 att, 64 yds, 0 TD

0.5 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

14 att, 34 yds, 1 TD

0.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

Michael GallupWR

6/9 for 138 yds, 1 TD

16% of team targets · 9.5 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

DK MetcalfWR

4/8 for 110 yds, 1 TD

21% of team targets · -1.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	SEA	SEA 25	5	6	1:30	Punt
2	DAL	DAL 20	13	55	5:20	Turnover on downs
3	SEA	SEA 25	6	75	1:31	Touchdown
4	DAL	DAL 1	2	-1	0:03	Turnover on downs
5	SEA	SEA 30	5	2	1:49	Punt
6	DAL	DAL 35	9	65	3:07	Touchdown
7	SEA	SEA 25	4	74	1:28	Turnover on downs
8	DAL	DAL 20	4	0	0:20	Punt
9	SEA	SEA 31	4	5	1:32	Punt
10	DAL	DAL 20	4	3	1:49	Punt
11	SEA	SEA 29	12	44	4:38	Touchdown
12	DAL	DAL 25	5	75	0:48	Touchdown
13	SEA	SEA 25	9	28	5:02	Punt
14	DAL	DAL 20	2	5	0:27	Interception
15	SEA	DAL 34	6	34	0:29	Touchdown
16	DAL	DAL 25	2	0	0:07	End of half
17	DAL	DAL 25	2	-7	0:08	Fumble
18	SEA	DAL 5	3	5	0:38	Touchdown
19	DAL	DAL 25	10	21	3:40	Punt
20	SEA	SEA 17	7	10	4:08	Punt
21	DAL	DAL 6	4	94	0:39	Touchdown
22	SEA	SEA 25	10	30	4:18	Punt
23	DAL	DAL 11	10	89	3:22	Touchdown
24	SEA	SEA 22	8	25	3:13	Punt
25	DAL	DAL 6	16	70	5:55	Turnover on downs
26	SEA	SEA 25	10	77	2:12	Touchdown
27	DAL	DAL 25	12	54	1:41	Interception
28	SEA	SEA 20	1	0	0:06	End of game

0 of 28 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 94 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	37/57	472	3	2	2	7.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	14	34	2.4	1	0.1
Dak Prescott	6	26	4.3	0	2.6
CeeDee Lamb	1	1	1.0	0	0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Michael Gallup	6	9	138	1	16%	9.5
Cedrick Wilson	5	7	107	2	13%	9.2
Amari Cooper	9	12	86	0	21%	-0.6
CeeDee Lamb	5	7	65	0	13%	5.0
Dalton Schultz	4	6	48	0	11%	2.4
Ezekiel Elliott	6	11	24	0	20%	-4.0
Noah Brown	1	2	9	0	4%	-0.9
Blake Bell	0	1	0	0	2%	-1.7
Tony Pollard	1	1	-5	0	2%	-1.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Trevon Diggs	8	0	0.0	1
Joe Thomas	4	4	0.0	0
Jaylon Smith	3	4	0.0	0
Xavier Woods	3	2	0.0	0
Daryl Worley	3	1	0.0	0
Darian Thompson	3	1	0.0	0
Aldon Smith	4	0	3.0	1
Antwaun Woods	2	1	1.0	0
Jourdan Lewis	3	0	0.0	1
Dontari Poe	1	1	0.0	0

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Russell Wilson	27/40	315	5	0	4	13.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Chris Carson	14	64	4.6	0.5
Russell Wilson	6	22	3.7	-0.8
Travis Homer	2	19	9.5	0.7
Carlos Hyde	4	12	3.0	-1.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DK Metcalf	4	8	110	1	21%	-1.3
Tyler Lockett	9	13	100	3	34%	10.2
Greg Olsen	5	6	61	0	16%	5.7
Freddie Swain	1	1	13	0	3%	0.8
Chris Carson	3	3	12	0	8%	-0.4
Carlos Hyde	1	1	11	0	3%	0.8
Will Dissly	2	2	5	0	5%	-1.1
David Moore	1	1	2	0	3%	-0.4
Jacob Hollister	1	2	1	1	5%	0.9
Travis Homer	0	1	0	0	3%	-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Shaquill Griffin	11	0	0.0	1	1
K.J. Wright	7	2	0.0	0	0
Bobby Wagner	4	5	0.0	0	1
Ugochukwu Amadi	6	1	0.0	0	2
Quandre Diggs	5	1	0.0	0	0
Tre Flowers	4	1	0.0	0	1
Ryan Neal	4	0	0.0	1	1
Poona Ford	2	0	0.0	0	0
Bryan Mone	1	1	0.0	0	0
Alton Robinson	2	0	1.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -5.5
Closing total: 58
DAL moneyline: +208
SEA moneyline: -237

Seahawks closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 58; the game landed 69 — over by 11.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: CenturyLink Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 63°F, wind 3 mph
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: DAL 7 days · SEA 7 days
Coaches: Mike McCarthy vs Pete Carroll