2020 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 27, 2020 · MetLife Stadium

San Francisco 49ersWinner

New York Giants

SF -3 ✓O 44 ✓49ers closed -3 and covered, winning by 27.

San Francisco 49ers 36–9 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 6:31, SF +13% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 6:31SF — NYG NYG ball · 1st & 10SF 60%

(6:31) 8-D.Jones FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYG 42, RECOVERED by SF-96-D.Jordan at NYG 42.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 6:31SF +13% win prob(6:31) 8-D.Jones FUMBLES (Aborted) at NYG 42, RECOVERED by SF-96-D.Jordan at NYG 42.
Q2 · 3:27NYG +8% win prob(3:27) (Shotgun) 4-N.Mullens pass short middle to 82-R.Dwelley to NYG 32 for 20 yards (20-J.Love, 54-B.Martinez).
Q2 · 1:03SF +8% win prob(1:03) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right intended for 88-E.Engram INTERCEPTED by 54-F.Warner at NYG 32. 54-F.Warner to NYG 26 for 6 yards (88-E.Engram). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right intended for 88-E.Engram INTERCEPTED by 54-F.Warner at NYG 32. 54-F.Warner to NYG 32 for no gain (88-E.Engram).
Q1 · 11:18SF +7% win prob(11:18) 4-N.Mullens sacked at NYG 48 for -9 yards (54-B.Martinez).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	49ers	Giants
Offensive plays	71	49
Total yards	423 (edge)	231
Yards per play	6.0 (edge)	4.7
Expected points added / play	0.31 (edge)	-0.32
Success rate	49% (edge)	33%
Dropback rate	55%	71%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.62 (edge)	-0.18
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.05 (edge)	-0.67
Third downs	8/11 (edge)	4/10
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7 (edge)	5
First downs gained on snaps	27 (edge)	12
Sacks taken	2	2
Turnovers	0 (edge)	3

49ers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.31 expected points added per play vs -0.32.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SF

Nick MullensQB

25/36, 343 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

24.9 expected points added · +8.3% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

17/32, 179 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-2.5 expected points added · -12.4% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

5 att, 49 yds, 0 TD

-5.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SF

Jerick McKinnonRB

14 att, 38 yds, 1 TD

-1.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SF

Brandon AiyukWR

5/8 for 70 yds, 0 TD

23% of team targets · 4.3 expected points added

Receiving · SF

Kendrick BourneWR

4/6 for 63 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 3.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	SF	SF 25	11	41	5:17	Turnover on downs
2	NYG	NYG 14	7	33	3:16	Fumble
3	SF	NYG 42	12	38	5:25	Turnover on downs
4	NYG	NYG 25	8	41	2:30	Turnover on downs
5	SF	SF 25	10	33	4:30	Turnover on downs
6	NYG	NYG 45	6	26	1:37	Turnover on downs
7	SF	SF 25	14	75	6:18	Touchdown
8	NYG	NYG 25	3	0	0:08	Interception
9	SF	NYG 32	4	34	0:56	Turnover on downs
10	NYG	—	1	0	0:03	End of half
11	NYG	NYG 18	14	53	6:54	Turnover on downs
12	SF	SF 25	10	70	4:52	Touchdown
13	NYG	NYG 21	6	4	2:30	Turnover on downs
14	SF	NYG 30	5	30	2:16	Touchdown
15	NYG	NYG 25	8	18	1:32	Punt
16	SF	SF 8	16	102	8:21	Touchdown
17	NYG	NYG 25	8	56	1:46	Fumble
18	SF	SF 19	3	0	1:49	End of game

0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 102 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Nick Mullens	25/36	343	1	0	2	24.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jerick McKinnon	14	38	2.7	1	-1.3
Brandon Aiyuk	3	31	10.3	1	3.3
Jeffery Wilson	12	15	1.3	1	-4.5
Jamycal Hasty	2	9	4.5	0	0.2
Nick Mullens	4	0	0.0	0	0.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Brandon Aiyuk	5	8	70	0	23%	4.3
Kendrick Bourne	4	6	63	0	17%	3.5
Jeffery Wilson	3	3	54	1	9%	8.1
Ross Dwelley	4	4	49	0	11%	4.9
Jerick McKinnon	3	4	39	0	11%	2.4
Jordan Reed	2	6	23	0	17%	0.2
Trent Taylor	1	1	20	0	3%	2.5
Jamycal Hasty	1	1	9	0	3%	0.1
Mohamed Sanu	1	1	9	0	3%	2.1
Kyle Juszczyk	1	1	7	0	3%	0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Fred Warner	3	4	0.0	1	1
K'Waun Williams	3	2	0.0	0	1
Jimmie Ward	3	2	0.0	0	0
Marcell Harris	3	1	0.0	0	1
Jaquiski Tartt	2	1	0.0	0	1
Arik Armstead	1	1	0.0	0	0
Kerry Hyder	1	1	1.0	0	0
Tarvarius Moore	1	1	0.0	0	0
Javon Kinlaw	1	1	0.0	0	1
Jason Verrett	2	0	0.0	0	1

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	17/32	179	0	1	2	-2.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Daniel Jones	5	49	9.8	-5.7
Devonta Freeman	5	10	2.0	-1.3
Wayne Gallman	4	7	1.8	-1.4
Dion Lewis	1	0	0.0	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Darius Slayton	3	7	53	23%	-4.3
Golden Tate	5	7	36	23%	-0.1
Damion Ratley	1	2	29	6%	1.5
Evan Engram	3	5	22	16%	-0.2
Kaden Smith	1	2	13	6%	-0.1
Dion Lewis	1	3	10	10%	0.5
C.J. Board	1	2	9	6%	-0.4
Wayne Gallman	2	3	7	10%	-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Julian Love	9	2	0.0	0
Isaac Yiadom	3	4	0.0	1
Logan Ryan	4	3	0.0	2
Blake Martinez	2	5	1.0	0
Leonard Williams	1	3	1.0	0
Kyler Fackrell	2	2	0.0	0
Oshane Ximines	2	1	0.0	0
Darnay Holmes	2	1	0.0	0
James Bradberry	2	1	0.0	3
Dalvin Tomlinson	1	2	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SF -3
Closing total: 44
SF moneyline: -149
NYG moneyline: +134

49ers closed -3 and covered, winning by 27.

Total closed 44; the game landed 45 — over by 1.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 75°F, wind 2 mph
Referee: Clay Martin
Rest: SF 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: Kyle Shanahan vs Joe Judge