2020 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 27, 2020 · FirstEnergy Stadium

Washington Commanders

Cleveland BrownsWinner

CLE -7.5 ✓O 45 ✓18 mph windBrowns closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 14.

Cleveland Browns 34–20. Biggest swing: Q2 7:41, WAS +17% win probability on one snap. Played in 18 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 7:41WAS — CLE WAS ball · 2nd & 25WAS 52%

(7:41) (Shotgun) 7-D.Haskins pass deep middle intended for 82-L.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 42-K.Joseph at CLE 16. 42-K.Joseph to WAS 35 for 49 yards (76-M.Moses). FUMBLES (76-M.Moses), recovered by CLE-20-T.Thomas at WAS 28.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 7:41WAS +17% win prob(7:41) (Shotgun) 7-D.Haskins pass deep middle intended for 82-L.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 42-K.Joseph at CLE 16. 42-K.Joseph to WAS 35 for 49 yards (76-M.Moses). FUMBLES (76-M.Moses), recovered by CLE-20-T.Thomas at WAS 28.
Q3 · 2:24CLE +16% win prob(2:24) (Shotgun) 7-D.Haskins pass short left to 80-D.Inman for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 11:19CLE +11% win prob(11:19) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short right to 88-H.Bryant for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 9:22CLE +11% win prob(9:22) (Shotgun) 7-D.Haskins pass short right to 17-T.McLaurin to CLE 26 for 33 yards (39-T.Mitchell; 21-D.Ward).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Commanders	Browns
Offensive plays	62	62
Total yards	309 (edge)	300
Yards per play	5.0 (edge)	4.8
Expected points added / play	-0.12	0.07 (edge)
Success rate	40%	42% (edge)
Dropback rate	66%	42%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.17	0.30 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.01 (edge)	-0.09
Third downs	5/11 (edge)	5/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	5
First downs gained on snaps	20 (edge)	18
Sacks taken	3	2 (edge)
Turnovers	5	0 (edge)

Commanders outgained Browns 309–300 but lost the turnover battle 5–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · WAS

Dwayne HaskinsQB

21/37, 224 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT

-6.3 expected points added · -3.4% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Baker MayfieldQB

16/23, 156 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

8.5 expected points added · +8.0% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Nick ChubbRB

19 att, 108 yds, 2 TD

2.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · WAS

Antonio GibsonRB

9 att, 49 yds, 1 TD

1.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · WAS

Terry McLaurinWR

4/8 for 83 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · 4.8 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

Odell BeckhamWR

4/6 for 59 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 7.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CLE	CLE 25	8	33	3:17	Punt
2	WAS	WAS 8	8	27	2:38	Punt
3	CLE	CLE 18	7	20	3:57	Punt
4	WAS	WAS 25	9	75	3:24	Touchdown
5	CLE	CLE 34	14	42	5:58	Turnover on downs
6	WAS	WAS 25	8	44	3:22	Interception
7	CLE	WAS 28	4	28	1:26	Touchdown
8	WAS	WAS 25	5	5	1:31	Punt
9	CLE	CLE 26	4	8	1:39	Punt
10	WAS	WAS 16	3	3	0:53	Interception
11	CLE	WAS 24	4	24	1:23	Touchdown
12	WAS	WAS 25	3	21	0:32	Fumble
13	WAS	WAS 25	5	0	2:02	Punt
14	CLE	CLE 15	4	9	1:31	Punt
15	WAS	CLE 49	7	47	2:22	Touchdown
16	CLE	CLE 25	5	-8	1:37	Punt
17	WAS	WAS 46	13	61	5:08	Touchdown
18	CLE	CLE 25	13	75	6:06	Touchdown
19	WAS	WAS 25	4	5	1:11	Interception
20	CLE	WAS 35	4	35	1:23	Touchdown
21	WAS	WAS 25	7	17	2:10	Fumble
22	CLE	WAS 41	10	34	5:20	Turnover on downs
23	WAS	WAS 25	3	4	1:10	End of game

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 75 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Washington Commanders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dwayne Haskins	21/37	224	2	3	3	-6.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Antonio Gibson	9	49	5.4	1	1.5
Antonio Gandy-Golden	1	22	22.0	0	2.1
J.D. McKissic	5	15	3.0	0	-1.7
Isaiah Wright	1	6	6.0	0	0.2
Peyton Barber	3	6	2.0	0	-1.2
Terry McLaurin	1	3	3.0	0	0.7
Dwayne Haskins	2	2	1.0	0	-2.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Terry McLaurin	4	8	83	0	22%	4.8
Dontrelle Inman	3	6	38	2	17%	-0.2
J.D. McKissic	3	4	37	0	11%	3.5
Logan Thomas	4	7	31	0	19%	-2.2
Isaiah Wright	4	6	24	0	17%	0.1
Antonio Gibson	3	3	11	0	8%	-1.2
Antonio Gandy-Golden	0	2	0	0	6%	-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jonathan Allen	6	3	1.0	0
Jon Bostic	5	3	0.0	0
Daron Payne	3	2	0.0	0
Ryan Anderson	2	2	0.0	0
Troy Apke	4	0	0.0	1
Shaun Dion Hamilton	4	0	0.0	0
Montez Sweat	3	1	1.0	0
Kevin Pierre-Louis	1	3	0.0	0
Ronald Darby	2	2	0.0	0
Landon Collins	2	2	0.0	0

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Baker Mayfield	16/23	156	2	0	2	8.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Nick Chubb	19	108	5.7	2	2.0
Kareem Hunt	16	46	2.9	0	-5.0
JoJo Natson	1	3	3.0	0	-0.2
Baker Mayfield	1	1	1.0	0	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Odell Beckham	4	6	59	0	27%	7.0
Jarvis Landry	4	4	36	0	18%	3.9
Austin Hooper	3	4	25	0	18%	2.6
Kareem Hunt	2	3	18	1	14%	1.9
Andy Janovich	1	1	13	0	5%	0.8
Harrison Bryant	1	2	3	1	9%	-0.3
Nick Chubb	1	1	2	0	5%	-0.6
KhaDarel Hodge	0	1	0	0	5%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Sione Takitaki	3	4	0.0	0	0
Karl Joseph	4	2	0.0	1	1
Myles Garrett	4	0	2.0	0	0
Sheldon Richardson	3	1	1.0	0	1
B.J. Goodson	4	0	0.0	1	1
Larry Ogunjobi	1	2	0.0	0	0
M.J. Stewart	3	0	0.0	0	0
Tavierre Thomas	3	0	0.0	0	0
Porter Gustin	2	1	0.0	0	0
Andrew Sendejo	2	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CLE -7.5
Closing total: 45
WAS moneyline: +282
CLE moneyline: -331

Browns closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 45; the game landed 54 — over by 9.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 73°F, wind 18 mph
Referee: Shawn Hochuli
Rest: WAS 7 days · CLE 10 days
Coaches: Ron Rivera vs Kevin Stefanski

Wind at 18 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.