For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending.mdto eligible URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown.
2020 Week 4 · Sun, Oct 4, 2020 · Paul Brown Stadium
25
33
Cincinnati Bengals 33–25. Biggest swing: Q2 9:25, JAX +14% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(9:25) 9-J.Burrow pass short left intended for 89-D.Sample INTERCEPTED by 44-M.Jack at JAX -5. Touchback (89-D.Sample).
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Jaguars | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 63 | 69 |
| Total yards | 429 | 507 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.8 | 7.3 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.16 | 0.25 (edge) |
| Success rate | 48% | 52% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 71% | 57% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.22 | 0.24 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.02 | 0.26 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/9 | 4/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 9 | 12 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 | 27 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Bengals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.25 expected points added per play vs 0.16.
Who moved the needle
Passing · JAX
27/40, 351 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
10.3 expected points added · +8.0% completion over expected
Passing · CIN
25/36, 300 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
8.9 expected points added · +7.8% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | JAX 25 | 6 | 16 | 2:02 | Interception | |
| 2 | CIN | JAX 43 | 4 | 3 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 3 | JAX | JAX 20 | 9 | 45 | 4:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | CIN | CIN 38 | 9 | 55 | 3:57 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | JAX | JAX 25 | 7 | 40 | 2:20 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | CIN | CIN 11 | 13 | 83 | 6:00 | Interception | |
| 7 | JAX | JAX 20 | 11 | 66 | 5:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | CIN | CIN 25 | 11 | 75 | 2:49 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | JAX | JAX 25 | 9 | 73 | 0:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | CIN | CIN 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:03 | End of half | |
| 11 | CIN | CIN 25 | 7 | 75 | 2:31 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | JAX | JAX 25 | 6 | 5 | 0:52 | Punt | |
| 13 | CIN | CIN 39 | 8 | 56 | 3:09 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | JAX | JAX 25 | 5 | 7 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 15 | CIN | CIN 41 | 8 | 37 | 3:25 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | JAX | JAX 25 | 10 | 43 | 3:56 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | CIN | CIN 25 | 11 | 57 | 5:13 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | JAX | JAX 25 | 10 | 71 | 3:06 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | CIN | CIN 22 | 11 | 66 | 4:28 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | JAX | JAX 25 | 7 | 63 | 1:38 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | CIN | JAX 45 | 2 | 0 | 0:08 | End of game |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bengals gained 83 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a interception.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gardner Minshew | 27/40 | 351 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Robinson | 17 | 75 | 4.4 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Gardner Minshew | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Laviska Shenault Jr. | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Chark | 8 | 9 | 95 | 2 | 25% | 9.3 |
| Laviska Shenault Jr. | 5 | 6 | 86 | 0 | 17% | 5.7 |
| Keelan Cole | 4 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 14% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Jones | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Wingard | 5 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Chris Claybrooks | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dakota Allen |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 25/36 | 300 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | 25 | 151 | 6.0 | 2 |
Closing number vs result
Bengals closed -1 and covered, winning by 8.
Total closed 50; the game landed 58 — over by 8.0.
Conditions and crew
| 1.2 |
| Chris Conley | 3 | 4 | 44 | 0 | 11% | 2.5 |
| James Robinson | 4 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 11% | 3.2 |
| James O'Shaughnessy | 1 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 6% | 1.1 |
| Tyler Eifert | 2 | 6 | 22 | 0 | 17% | -5.1 |
| 2 |
| 4 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Joe Schobert | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Davon Hamilton | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Jack | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Dawuane Smoot | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| D.J. Hayden | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Tre Herndon | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5.5 |
| Giovani Bernard | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | 0 | 1.1 |
| Tee Higgins | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | 1.0 |
| Joe Burrow | 4 | 11 | 2.8 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Alex Erickson | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Tyler Boyd | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Boyd | 7 | 8 | 90 | 0 | 23% | 7.2 |
| Tee Higgins | 4 | 7 | 77 | 0 | 20% | 4.7 |
| Drew Sample | 3 | 5 | 47 | 0 | 14% | -4.0 |
| Joe Mixon | 6 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 17% | 3.5 |
| Cethan Carter | 1 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 3% | 1.5 |
| Auden Tate | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 3% | 2.0 |
| Alex Erickson | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 3% | -0.2 |
| Mike Thomas | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3% | 0.0 |
| A.J. Green | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14% | -4.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessie Bates | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| LeShaun Sims | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Vonn Bell | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| William Jackson | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| D.J. Reader | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Covington | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Hubbard | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Bynes | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Germaine Pratt | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Darius Phillips | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
