2020 Week 4 · Sun, Oct 4, 2020 · SoFi Stadium

New York Giants

Los Angeles RamsWinner

LA -13.5 no coverU 49.5 ✓DomeRams closed -13.5, won by 8 — but didn't cover.

Los Angeles Rams 17–9. Biggest swing: Q4 7:06, LA +13% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 7:06NYG — LA LA ball · 3rd & 3LA 80%

(7:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 10-C.Kupp for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 7:06LA +13% win prob(7:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle to 10-C.Kupp for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 12:39NYG +9% win prob(12:39) 6-J.Hekker punts 60 yards to end zone, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Touchback.
Q4 · 0:57NYG +9% win prob(:57) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right intended for 19-D.Ratley INTERCEPTED by 31-D.Williams at LA 5. 31-D.Williams to LA 7 for 2 yards (88-E.Engram).
Q3 · 4:18LA +7% win prob(4:18) 8-D.Jones pass short middle to 82-K.Smith to LA 38 for 10 yards (20-J.Ramsey).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Rams
Offensive plays	66	54
Total yards	295 (edge)	243
Yards per play	4.5	4.5 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.18	-0.10 (edge)
Success rate	36%	43% (edge)
Dropback rate	68%	63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.22	-0.17 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.09	0.02 (edge)
Third downs	4/13	5/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	2
First downs gained on snaps	18 (edge)	16
Sacks taken	5	2 (edge)
Turnovers	1	1

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.18.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

25/32, 200 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

0.0 expected points added · +5.1% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

23/36, 190 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-12.5 expected points added · -8.1% completion over expected

Rushing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

6 att, 45 yds, 0 TD

2.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Wayne GallmanRB

6 att, 45 yds, 0 TD

1.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Cooper KuppWR

5/7 for 69 yds, 1 TD

22% of team targets · 2.2 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

3/7 for 48 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · -1.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 31	5	-9	1:40	Punt
2	LA	LA 35	13	65	7:01	Touchdown
3	NYG	NYG 25	7	7	3:25	Punt
4	LA	LA 24	1	10	0:09	Fumble
5	NYG	LA 34	6	22	2:54	Turnover on downs
6	LA	LA 25	5	-6	1:28	Punt
7	NYG	NYG 35	4	-9	2:17	Punt
8	LA	LA 39	15	47	7:14	Turnover on downs
9	NYG	NYG 25	14	56	3:52	Turnover on downs
10	LA	LA 21	7	21	2:25	Punt
11	NYG	NYG 20	9	37	4:34	Punt
12	LA	LA 9	6	10	2:36	Punt
13	NYG	NYG 43	11	58	6:14	Turnover on downs
14	LA	LA 36	5	4	1:39	Punt
15	NYG	NYG 20	5	32	2:46	Punt
16	LA	LA 9	9	91	2:50	Touchdown
17	NYG	NYG 25	10	39	4:23	Turnover on downs
18	LA	LA 31	4	1	0:28	Punt
19	NYG	NYG 20	7	62	1:13	Interception
20	LA	LA 7	3	0	0:52	End of game

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 91 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	23/36	190	0	1	5	-12.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Daniel Jones	6	45	7.5	2.7
Wayne Gallman	6	45	7.5	1.0
Devonta Freeman	11	33	3.0	-3.6
Dion Lewis	1	10	10.0	0.8
C.J. Board	1	3	3.0	-0.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Darius Slayton	3	7	48	19%	-1.8
Devonta Freeman	4	4	35	11%	2.0
Evan Engram	6	10	35	28%	-0.6
Damion Ratley	3	4	34	11%	-1.8
Golden Tate	4	6	20	17%	-4.3
Kaden Smith	1	1	10	3%	3.0
Dion Lewis	2	3	8	8%	-0.9
C.J. Board	0	1	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Blake Martinez	8	5	0.0	0
Dexter Lawrence	3	3	0.0	0
Kyler Fackrell	4	0	1.0	0
Devante Downs	2	2	0.0	0
Logan Ryan	4	0	0.0	1
Leonard Williams	2	2	0.0	0
James Bradberry	3	1	0.0	0
Ryan Lewis	2	1	0.0	0
Adrian Colbert	1	1	0.0	0
Dalvin Tomlinson	1	1	0.0	1

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	25/32	200	1	0	2	0.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Malcolm Brown	9	38	4.2	0	1.6
Darrell Henderson	8	21	2.6	0	-0.9
Robert Woods	1	2	2.0	0	-0.5
Gerald Everett	1	2	2.0	1	0.9
Cooper Kupp	1	-2	-2.0	0	-0.8
Jared Goff	3	-3	-1.0	0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Cooper Kupp	5	7	69	1	22%	2.2
Robert Woods	6	7	36	0	22%	1.2
Josh Reynolds	3	4	25	0	13%	0.7
Tyler Higbee	3	4	20	0	13%	0.2
Malcolm Brown	5	6	19	0	19%	-1.0
Darrell Henderson	1	1	16	0	3%	0.8
Gerald Everett	1	1	10	0	3%	-5.0
Johnny Mundt	1	1	5	0	3%	-0.0
Van Jefferson	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Taylor Rapp	6	1	0.0	0	0
Micah Kiser	5	1	0.0	0	0
John Johnson	4	2	0.0	0	0
Troy Hill	5	0	0.0	0	2
Jalen Ramsey	4	1	0.0	0	0
Samson Ebukam	1	3	0.5	0	0
Darious Williams	3	1	0.0	1	2
Kenny Young	2	1	0.0	0	0
Troy Reeder	1	2	0.0	0	0
Ogbonnia Okoronkwo	2	0	1.0	0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -13.5
Closing total: 49.5
NYG moneyline: +652
LA moneyline: -890

Rams closed -13.5, won by 8 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 49.5; the game landed 26 — under by 23.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: John Hussey
Rest: NYG 7 days · LA 7 days
Coaches: Joe Judge vs Sean McVay