2020 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 11, 2020 · MetLife Stadium

Arizona CardinalsWinner

New York Jets

ARI -7 ✓U 48.5 ✓Cardinals closed -7 and covered, winning by 20.

Arizona Cardinals 30–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 7:58, ARI +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 7:58ARI — NYJ ARI ball · 3rd & 6ARI 88%

(7:58) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right intended for 13-C.Kirk INTERCEPTED by 54-A.Williamson (46-N.Hewitt) at ARI 31. 54-A.Williamson pushed ob at ARI 10 for 21 yards (41-K.Drake).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 7:58ARI +10% win prob(7:58) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right intended for 13-C.Kirk INTERCEPTED by 54-A.Williamson (46-N.Hewitt) at ARI 31. 54-A.Williamson pushed ob at ARI 10 for 21 yards (41-K.Drake).
Q2 · 5:09NYJ +6% win prob(5:09) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep right to 17-A.Isabella to NYJ 34 for 24 yards (30-B.McDougald). Penalty on NYJ-93-T.Basham, Defensive Offside, declined.
Q3 · 5:59NYJ +5% win prob(5:59) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short right to 82-J.Crowder for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 9:05ARI +5% win prob(9:05) 26-L.Bell up the middle to ARI 13 for no gain (59-D.Campbell, 32-B.Baker).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cardinals	Jets
Offensive plays	65	64
Total yards	500 (edge)	285
Yards per play	7.7 (edge)	4.5
Expected points added / play	0.26 (edge)	-0.13
Success rate	52% (edge)	39%
Dropback rate	58%	63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.33 (edge)	-0.05
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.16 (edge)	-0.27
Third downs	5/11 (edge)	4/13
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	11 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	27 (edge)	17
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	3
Turnovers	1	1

Cardinals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.26 expected points added per play vs -0.13.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

27/37, 380 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

12.6 expected points added · +10.0% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Joe FlaccoQB

18/33, 195 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-2.7 expected points added · -5.4% completion over expected

Rushing · ARI

Kenyan DrakeRB

18 att, 60 yds, 1 TD

-1.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYJ

Le'Veon BellRB

13 att, 60 yds, 0 TD

-4.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

DeAndre HopkinsWR

6/7 for 131 yds, 1 TD

20% of team targets · 9.4 expected points added

Receiving · NYJ

Jamison CrowderWR

8/10 for 116 yds, 1 TD

32% of team targets · 6.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYJ	NYJ 25	5	9	1:24	Punt
2	ARI	ARI 17	4	5	1:29	Punt
3	NYJ	NYJ 27	4	8	1:21	Punt
4	ARI	ARI 11	9	89	3:13	Touchdown
5	NYJ	NYJ 12	7	15	2:50	Punt
6	ARI	ARI 34	7	32	2:48	Punt
7	NYJ	NYJ 8	14	69	7:57	Turnover on downs
8	ARI	ARI 13	4	19	1:10	Interception
9	NYJ	ARI 10	4	7	0:47	Turnover on downs
10	ARI	ARI 25	12	76	4:20	Touchdown
11	NYJ	NYJ 15	8	43	1:48	Fumble
12	ARI	ARI 19	6	52	0:50	Turnover on downs
13	NYJ	—	1	0	0:03	End of half
14	ARI	ARI 25	8	20	3:03	Punt
15	NYJ	NYJ 22	4	9	1:35	Punt
16	ARI	ARI 32	4	19	2:19	Punt
17	NYJ	NYJ 26	7	74	2:12	Touchdown
18	ARI	ARI 30	12	70	5:36	Touchdown
19	NYJ	NYJ 17	11	11	3:58	Punt
20	ARI	ARI 4	7	96	2:42	Touchdown
21	NYJ	NYJ 25	13	40	3:50	Turnover on downs
22	ARI	ARI 35	7	22	4:45	End of game

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 96 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kyler Murray	27/37	380	1	1	1	12.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kenyan Drake	18	60	3.3	1	-1.4
Chase Edmonds	3	36	12.0	1	2.8
Kyler Murray	9	31	3.4	1	0.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DeAndre Hopkins	6	7	131	1	20%	9.4
Christian Kirk	5	7	78	0	20%	-0.3
Chase Edmonds	5	6	56	0	17%	0.4
Darrell Daniels	2	2	37	0	6%	3.4
Larry Fitzgerald	4	7	35	0	20%	-0.3
Andy Isabella	2	3	30	0	9%	3.0
Trent Sherfield	1	1	6	0	3%	0.1
KeeSean Johnson	1	1	5	0	3%	0.8
Kenyan Drake	1	1	2	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Budda Baker	7	2	1.0	0
Jordan Hicks	7	2	0.0	1
De'Vondre Campbell	5	1	0.0	0
Byron Murphy	4	0	0.0	0
Deionte Thompson	3	1	0.0	1
Patrick Peterson	3	0	0.0	0
Kylie Fitts	1	1	0.0	0
Dennis Gardeck	2	0	2.0	0
Jordan Phillips	2	0	0.0	0
Kenyan Drake	1	0	0.0	0

New York Jets

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Flacco	18/33	195	1	0	2	-2.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Le'Veon Bell	13	60	4.6	-4.8
Frank Gore	9	30	3.3	-1.4
Joe Flacco	4	20	5.0	2.5
Braxton Berrios	1	13	13.0	0.8
Trevon Wesco	1	0	0.0	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jamison Crowder	8	10	116	1	32%	6.2
Christopher Herndon	2	3	24	0	10%	0.8
Jeff Smith	3	11	23	0	35%	-6.3
Chris Hogan	3	3	20	0	10%	2.3
Le'Veon Bell	1	1	7	0	3%	0.9
Trevon Wesco	1	1	5	0	3%	0.3
Braxton Berrios	0	2	0	0	6%	-2.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Pierre Desir	9	3	0.0	0	0
Neville Hewitt	3	6	0.0	0	1
Avery Williamson	5	2	0.0	1	2
Lamar Jackson	6	0	0.0	0	0
Marcus Maye	2	2	0.0	0	0
Bradley McDougald	2	2	0.0	0	1
John Franklin-Myers	1	2	1.0	0	0
Quinnen Williams	1	2	0.0	0	0
Brian Poole	2	1	0.0	0	1
Jordan Jenkins	3	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: ARI -7
Closing total: 48.5
ARI moneyline: -295
NYJ moneyline: +254

Cardinals closed -7 and covered, winning by 20.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 40 — under by 8.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 64°F, wind 8 mph
Referee: Adrian Hill
Rest: ARI 7 days · NYJ 10 days
Coaches: Kliff Kingsbury vs Adam Gase