2020 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 11, 2020 · FedExField

Los Angeles RamsWinner

Washington Commanders

LA -7 ✓U 45 ✓Rams closed -7 and covered, winning by 20.

Los Angeles Rams 30–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 15:00, WAS +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 15:00LA — WAS LA ball · 2nd & 6LA 75%

(15:00) 16-J.Goff pass deep left to 17-R.Woods for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 15:00WAS +11% win prob(15:00) 16-J.Goff pass deep left to 17-R.Woods for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 1:41WAS +8% win prob(1:41) (Shotgun) 8-K.Allen scrambles left end to LA 1 for 6 yards (22-T.Hill). Washington challenged the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 8-K.Allen scrambles left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 0:10WAS +5% win prob(:10) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short middle to 10-C.Kupp. PENALTY on WAS-22-D.Everett, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, enforced at LA 25 - No Play.
Q1 · 3:07WAS +5% win prob(3:07) (Shotgun) 8-K.Allen pass short right to 24-A.Gibson to LA 9 for 18 yards (41-K.Young; 90-M.Brockers).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Rams	Commanders
Offensive plays	64	52
Total yards	431 (edge)	108
Yards per play	6.7 (edge)	2.1
Expected points added / play	0.11 (edge)	-0.44
Success rate	42% (edge)	25%
Dropback rate	50%	77%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.45 (edge)	-0.55
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.24	-0.06 (edge)
Third downs	6/14 (edge)	2/13
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7 (edge)	0
First downs gained on snaps	18 (edge)	7
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	8
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.44.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

21/30, 309 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

12.5 expected points added · +1.8% completion over expected

Passing · WAS

Kyle AllenQB

9/13, 74 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-2.9 expected points added · +7.8% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Cam AkersRB

9 att, 61 yds, 0 TD

-0.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Darrell HendersonRB

15 att, 38 yds, 1 TD

-1.7 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Gerald EverettTE

4/4 for 90 yds, 0 TD

14% of team targets · 8.9 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Robert WoodsWR

4/5 for 71 yds, 1 TD

17% of team targets · 1.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	WAS	WAS 25	5	4	1:28	Punt
2	LA	LA 24	11	76	6:03	Touchdown
3	WAS	WAS 27	12	58	5:55	Touchdown
4	LA	LA 25	6	60	1:42	Touchdown
5	WAS	WAS 10	7	17	2:40	Punt
6	LA	LA 17	10	83	4:40	Touchdown
7	WAS	WAS 25	5	-5	1:43	Punt
8	LA	LA 22	6	17	2:54	Punt
9	WAS	WAS 11	6	11	1:23	Punt
10	LA	LA 24	4	15	0:43	Interception
11	WAS	WAS 41	5	29	0:49	Turnover on downs
12	LA	LA 25	5	-8	2:06	Punt
13	WAS	WAS 49	4	-10	1:59	Punt
14	LA	LA 20	10	70	3:51	Turnover on downs
15	WAS	WAS 25	5	1	1:35	Punt
16	LA	LA 30	4	8	2:07	Punt
17	WAS	WAS 6	4	-5	2:08	Punt
18	LA	WAS 43	4	9	1:19	Turnover on downs
19	WAS	WAS 35	4	8	1:23	Turnover on downs
20	LA	WAS 43	4	3	2:21	Punt
21	WAS	WAS 8	4	-5	1:40	Punt
22	LA	LA 49	6	51	2:54	Touchdown
23	WAS	WAS 25	5	-2	1:00	Punt
24	LA	LA 20	5	45	3:10	Punt
25	WAS	WAS 7	4	7	0:42	Punt
26	LA	LA 33	3	2	1:45	End of game

0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 83 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	21/30	309	2	1	1	12.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Cam Akers	9	61	6.8	0	-0.6
Darrell Henderson	15	38	2.5	1	-1.7
Malcolm Brown	8	30	3.8	0	-5.5
Jared Goff	3	0	0.0	1	2.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Gerald Everett	4	4	90	0	14%	8.9
Robert Woods	4	5	71	1	17%	1.4
Cooper Kupp	5	8	66	0	28%	1.3
Josh Reynolds	2	4	46	0	14%	0.8
Darrell Henderson	3	4	30	1	14%	3.6
Tyler Higbee	2	2	12	0	7%	0.3
Malcolm Brown	1	2	-6	0	7%	-2.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Troy Reeder	8	3	3.0	0
Kenny Young	2	3	0.0	0
John Johnson	4	1	0.0	1
Jordan Fuller	3	1	0.0	2
Aaron Donald	4	0	4.0	0
Darious Williams	3	0	0.0	1
Jachai Polite	3	0	1.0	0
Sebastian Joseph	1	1	0.0	0
Taylor Rapp	2	0	0.0	1
Morgan Fox	1	1	0.0	0

Washington Commanders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kyle Allen	9/13	74	0	0	2	-2.9
Alex Smith	9/17	37	0	0	6	-20.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Antonio Gibson	11	27	2.5	0	-1.6
Kyle Allen	1	7	7.0	1	1.9
J.D. McKissic	1	3	3.0	0	0.9
Alex Smith	1	1	1.0	0	-0.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
J.D. McKissic	6	8	46	29%	-2.6
Terry McLaurin	3	7	26	25%	-0.5
Antonio Gibson	5	5	24	18%	-1.6
Temarrick Hemingway	1	1	10	4%	0.8
Logan Thomas	1	4	4	14%	-5.1
Isaiah Wright	1	1	3	4%	-0.0
Jeremy Sprinkle	0	1	0	4%	-0.8
Dontrelle Inman	1	1	-2	4%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Landon Collins	4	6	0.0	0	0
Jonathan Allen	5	3	0.0	0	0
Montez Sweat	4	4	1.0	0	0
Ronald Darby	4	1	0.0	0	1
Troy Apke	4	1	0.0	0	0
Jon Bostic	2	3	0.0	0	0
Kevin Pierre-Louis	2	3	0.0	0	0
Kendall Fuller	4	0	0.0	1	2
Daron Payne	2	2	0.0	0	0
Tim Settle	2	1	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -7
Closing total: 45
LA moneyline: -305
WAS moneyline: +262

Rams closed -7 and covered, winning by 20.

Total closed 45; the game landed 40 — under by 5.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FedExField
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 69°F, wind 2 mph
Referee: Shawn Smith
Rest: LA 7 days · WAS 7 days
Coaches: Sean McVay vs Ron Rivera