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2020 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 11, 2020 · Levi's Stadium
43
17
Miami Dolphins 43–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 4:01, SF +13% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(4:01) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep left to 88-M.Gesicki to SF 10 for 70 yards (20-J.Ward). caught at MIA46, 44 YAC
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Dolphins | 49ers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 61 | 59 |
| Total yards | 437 (edge) | 259 |
| Yards per play | 7.2 (edge) | 4.4 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.34 (edge) | -0.30 |
| Success rate | 49% (edge) | 44% |
| Dropback rate | 51% | 68% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.80 (edge) | -0.51 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.14 | 0.14 (edge) |
| Third downs | 4/12 (edge) | 2/10 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 9 (edge) | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 (edge) | 15 |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 3 |
Dolphins won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.34 expected points added per play vs -0.30.
Who moved the needle
Passing · MIA
22/28, 350 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
23.5 expected points added · +20.6% completion over expected
Passing · SF
9/18, 94 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
-7.9 expected points added · -17.1% completion over expected
Receiving · MIA
4/5 for 106 yds, 1 TD
19% of team targets · 6.6 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | SF 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:23 | Punt | |
| 2 | MIA | MIA 21 | 7 | 70 | 2:52 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | SF | SF 25 | 8 | 31 | 3:12 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | MIA | MIA 44 | 8 | 48 | 3:19 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | SF | SF 14 | 8 | 28 | 3:35 | Punt | |
| 6 | MIA | MIA 5 | 4 | 8 | 2:14 | Punt | |
| 7 | SF | MIA 49 | 4 | 49 | 1:18 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | MIA | MIA 22 | 9 | 71 | 4:38 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | SF | SF 25 | 8 | 27 | 2:49 | Punt | |
| 10 | MIA | MIA 21 | 6 | 71 | 2:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | SF | SF 25 | 4 | 0 | 0:19 | Interception | |
| 12 | MIA | SF 37 | 4 | 5 | 1:03 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | SF | SF 25 | 4 | 0 | 0:24 | Interception | |
| 14 | MIA | SF 19 | 3 | 8 | 0:14 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | MIA | MIA 25 | 8 | 18 | 3:33 | Punt | |
| 16 | SF | SF 26 | 10 | 54 | 3:20 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | MIA | MIA 25 | 9 | 75 | 3:25 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | SF | SF 25 | 10 | 41 | 3:56 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | MIA | MIA 25 | 10 | 50 | 7:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | SF | SF 25 | 5 | 8 | 1:08 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | MIA | SF 33 | 4 | 2 | 1:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | SF | SF 25 | 8 | 16 | 1:43 | Fumble | |
| 23 | MIA | SF 31 | 6 | 11 | 4:09 | End of game |
0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Dolphins gained 75 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 22/28 | 350 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Gaskin | 16 | 57 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Matt Breida | 9 | 28 | 3.1 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Lynn Bowden | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Clayton Fejedelem | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 2.0 |
| Jakeem Grant | 1 | -12 | -12.0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Williams | 4 | 5 | 106 | 1 | 19% | 6.6 |
| Mike Gesicki | 5 | 6 | 91 | 0 | 22% | 6.1 |
| DeVante Parker | 2 | 3 | 50 | 1 | 11% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Baker | 6 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Van Ginkel | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Rowe | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Nik Needham |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Beathard | 9/18 | 94 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -7.9 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 7/17 | 77 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -12.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
49ers closed -8.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 50.5; the game landed 60 — over by 9.5.
Conditions and crew
| 5.9 |
| Myles Gaskin | 5 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 19% | 1.4 |
| Matt Breida | 1 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 4% | 2.1 |
| Isaiah Ford | 2 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 7% | 2.7 |
| Chandler Cox | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4% | 0.2 |
| Jakeem Grant | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11% | -0.6 |
| Adam Shaheen | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4% | 1.4 |
| 2 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Emmanuel Ogbah | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bobby McCain | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Davon Godchaux | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Sieler | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sam Eguavoen | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Christian Wilkins | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Raheem Mostert | 11 | 90 | 8.2 | 0 | 2.6 |
| Jeffery Wilson | 4 | 27 | 6.8 | 0 | 1.8 |
| Kyle Juszczyk | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 1 | 1.8 |
| Deebo Samuel | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Jerick McKinnon | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Aiyuk | 3 | 6 | 44 | 0 | 17% | -1.0 |
| George Kittle | 4 | 8 | 44 | 0 | 23% | 1.1 |
| Kendrick Bourne | 2 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 11% | 0.5 |
| Raheem Mostert | 3 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 9% | 1.0 |
| Deebo Samuel | 2 | 8 | 19 | 0 | 23% | -5.3 |
| Jerick McKinnon | 2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 11% | -5.2 |
| Jeffery Wilson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
| Kyle Juszczyk | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred Warner | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jimmie Ward | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dre Greenlaw | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaquiski Tartt | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kwon Alexander | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brian Allen | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ahkello Witherspoon | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javon Kinlaw | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Arik Armstead | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Givens | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
