2020 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 11, 2020 · AT&T Stadium

New York Giants

Dallas CowboysWinner

DAL -7.5 no coverO 52 ✓DomeCowboys closed -7.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Dallas Cowboys 37–34 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q2 5:08, NYG +24% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 5:08NYG — DAL NYG ball · 1st & 10NYG 62%

(5:08) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 27 for -10 yards (90-D.Lawrence). FUMBLES (90-D.Lawrence) [90-D.Lawrence], RECOVERED by DAL-30-A.Brown at NYG 29. 30-A.Brown for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 5:08NYG +24% win prob(5:08) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 27 for -10 yards (90-D.Lawrence). FUMBLES (90-D.Lawrence) [90-D.Lawrence], RECOVERED by DAL-30-A.Brown at NYG 29. 30-A.Brown for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 6:01NYG +22% win prob(6:01) 4-D.Prescott pass short left intended for 21-E.Elliott INTERCEPTED by 51-K.Fackrell at DAL 46. 51-K.Fackrell for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 11:03NYG +18% win prob(11:03) 14-A.Dalton FUMBLES (Aborted) at DAL 19, RECOVERED by NYG-54-B.Martinez at DAL 17.
Q4 · 0:31DAL +17% win prob(:31) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass deep right to 13-M.Gallup to NYG 16 for 38 yards (37-R.Lewis). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Cowboys
Offensive plays	62	64
Total yards	303	402 (edge)
Yards per play	4.9	6.3 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.00	0.03 (edge)
Success rate	44%	58% (edge)
Dropback rate	58%	55%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.03	0.11 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.04 (edge)	-0.07
Third downs	7/13	5/9 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	19	24 (edge)
Sacks taken	2	2
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs 0.00.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

20/33, 222 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-0.9 expected points added · +2.5% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

14/21, 166 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-0.2 expected points added · -4.4% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

19 att, 91 yds, 2 TD

4.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Devonta FreemanRB

17 att, 60 yds, 1 TD

0.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

8/11 for 129 yds, 0 TD

38% of team targets · 11.3 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

8/11 for 124 yds, 0 TD

33% of team targets · 9.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 25	12	54	3:40	Turnover on downs
2	NYG	NYG 25	9	70	4:27	Touchdown
3	DAL	DAL 25	4	15	1:05	Defensive touchdown
4	DAL	DAL 25	5	2	1:27	Punt
5	NYG	NYG 25	12	38	5:51	Turnover on downs
6	DAL	DAL 25	16	70	6:59	Touchdown
7	NYG	NYG 25	5	4	1:31	Defensive touchdown
8	NYG	NYG 25	10	48	4:09	Turnover on downs
9	DAL	DAL 25	8	64	0:35	Touchdown
10	NYG	NYG 25	3	0	0:16	End of half
11	NYG	NYG 25	11	39	5:35	Turnover on downs
12	DAL	DAL 21	12	79	4:22	Touchdown
13	NYG	NYG 25	5	4	2:09	Punt
14	DAL	DAL 29	4	8	1:34	Punt
15	NYG	NYG 24	9	66	5:11	Turnover on downs
16	DAL	DAL 19	2	0	0:14	Fumble
17	NYG	DAL 17	6	19	2:09	Touchdown
18	DAL	DAL 25	12	38	6:50	Turnover on downs
19	NYG	NYG 24	7	15	1:04	Punt
20	DAL	DAL 12	5	72	0:52	Turnover on downs

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 79 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	20/33	222	0	0	2	-0.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Devonta Freeman	17	60	3.5	1	0.4
Wayne Gallman	5	24	4.8	0	0.4
Evan Engram	2	9	4.5	1	1.0
Elijhaa Penny	1	3	3.0	0	0.5
Daniel Jones	2	-7	-3.5	0	-1.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Darius Slayton	8	11	129	38%	11.3
Golden Tate	4	5	42	17%	3.3
Devonta Freeman	2	3	27	10%	1.7
Evan Engram	1	2	16	7%	0.4
Kaden Smith	1	1	7	3%	0.7
Dion Lewis	2	4	1	14%	-2.9
Wayne Gallman	2	2	0	7%	-1.8
Damion Ratley	0	1	0	3%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Logan Ryan	6	3	0.0	0
Blake Martinez	4	3	0.0	0
Adrian Colbert	5	2	0.0	0
Dalvin Tomlinson	4	2	1.0	0
Ryan Lewis	5	0	0.0	0
Jabrill Peppers	4	1	0.0	0
Tae Crowder	3	2	0.0	0
Dexter Lawrence	2	2	0.0	0
Darnay Holmes	2	1	0.5	2
Markus Golden	1	2	0.5	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	14/21	166	0	1	1	-0.2
Andy Dalton	9/11	111	0	0	1	1.4
Cedrick Wilson	1/1	11	1	0	0	2.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	19	91	4.8	2	4.4
Tony Pollard	6	30	5.0	0	1.2
Dak Prescott	2	7	3.5	0	-0.5
Andy Dalton	1	0	0.0	0	-6.1
Amari Cooper	1	-2	-2.0	0	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
CeeDee Lamb	8	11	124	0	33%	9.7
Michael Gallup	4	4	73	0	12%	3.5
Amari Cooper	2	4	23	0	12%	-1.2
Cedrick Wilson	4	4	22	0	12%	1.9
Ezekiel Elliott	1	2	14	0	6%	-7.6
Blake Bell	1	1	13	0	3%	0.8
Dak Prescott	1	1	11	1	3%	2.7
Dalton Schultz	1	3	6	0	9%	-0.9
Tony Pollard	2	3	2	0	9%	-2.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jaylon Smith	7	7	0.5	0
Joe Thomas	5	2	0.0	1
Xavier Woods	5	0	0.0	0
Jourdan Lewis	5	0	0.0	0
Aldon Smith	3	1	0.0	0
Darian Thompson	3	0	0.0	0
Demarcus Lawrence	2	1	1.0	0
Trevon Diggs	3	0	0.0	1
Donovan Wilson	1	1	0.0	0
Dorance Armstrong	1	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -7.5
Closing total: 52
NYG moneyline: +293
DAL moneyline: -347

Cowboys closed -7.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 52; the game landed 71 — over by 19.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Craig Wrolstad
Rest: NYG 7 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches: Joe Judge vs Mike McCarthy

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.