2020 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 11, 2020 · Heinz Field

Philadelphia Eagles

Pittsburgh SteelersWinner

PIT -7.5 ✓O 44 ✓Steelers closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 9.

Pittsburgh Steelers 38–29. Biggest swing: Q4 6:29, PHI +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 6:29PHI — PIT PIT ball · 3rd & 21PIT 77%

(6:29) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 85-E.Ebron to PHI 39 for 12 yards (50-D.Riley). FUMBLES (50-D.Riley), RECOVERED by PHI-34-C.LeBlanc at PHI 39. 34-C.LeBlanc to PHI 45 for 6 yards (30-J.Conner).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 6:29PHI +14% win prob(6:29) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 85-E.Ebron to PHI 39 for 12 yards (50-D.Riley). FUMBLES (50-D.Riley), RECOVERED by PHI-34-C.LeBlanc at PHI 39. 34-C.LeBlanc to PHI 45 for 6 yards (30-J.Conner).
Q4 · 3:23PHI +14% win prob(3:23) 4-J.Elliott 57 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-45-R.Lovato, Holder-1-C.Johnston.
Q1 · 0:19PIT +13% win prob(:19) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders up the middle for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 3:04PIT +13% win prob(3:04) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass deep middle to 11-C.Claypool for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Steelers
Offensive plays	58	65
Total yards	338	369 (edge)
Yards per play	5.8 (edge)	5.7
Expected points added / play	0.14	0.22 (edge)
Success rate	41% (edge)	40%
Dropback rate	76%	54%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.13	0.38 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.17 (edge)	0.03
Third downs	10/14	11/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	4
First downs gained on snaps	19	20 (edge)
Sacks taken	5	1 (edge)
Turnovers	2	1 (edge)

Steelers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.22 expected points added per play vs 0.14.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Carson WentzQB

20/35, 258 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

5.3 expected points added · -2.5% completion over expected

Passing · PIT

Ben RoethlisbergerQB

27/34, 239 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

15.8 expected points added · +10.5% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

11 att, 80 yds, 2 TD

2.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PIT

James ConnerRB

15 att, 44 yds, 1 TD

-0.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

Travis FulghamWR

10/13 for 152 yds, 1 TD

36% of team targets · 13.9 expected points added

Receiving · PIT

Chase ClaypoolWR

7/11 for 110 yds, 3 TD

32% of team targets · 13.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 17	5	-8	1:57	Punt
2	PIT	PIT 46	7	1	4:06	Punt
3	PHI	PHI 14	4	5	0:46	Punt
4	PIT	PIT 38	15	49	7:07	Touchdown
5	PHI	PHI 25	5	75	0:57	Touchdown
6	PIT	PIT 25	9	75	3:18	Touchdown
7	PHI	PHI 24	12	61	5:32	Touchdown
8	PIT	PIT 25	9	37	4:20	Turnover on downs
9	PHI	PHI 25	10	63	1:57	End of half
10	PIT	PIT 25	8	75	1:59	Touchdown
11	PHI	PHI 15	3	0	0:17	Interception
12	PIT	PHI 23	5	12	2:12	Touchdown
13	PHI	PHI 25	9	51	4:34	Touchdown
14	PIT	PIT 18	8	19	4:04	Punt
15	PHI	PHI 20	11	85	5:27	Touchdown
16	PIT	PIT 24	9	52	5:08	Fumble
17	PHI	PHI 45	7	16	3:01	Turnover on downs
18	PIT	PIT 47	5	38	0:19	Touchdown
19	PHI	PHI 25	5	-10	0:49	Interception
20	PIT	PIT 25	5	11	2:10	End of game

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 85 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	20/35	258	2	2	5	5.3
Jalen Hurts	1/1	18	0	0	0	1.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Miles Sanders	11	80	7.3	2	2.7
Carson Wentz	4	11	2.8	0	-0.5
Boston Scott	1	3	3.0	0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Travis Fulgham	10	13	152	1	36%	13.9
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside	1	1	37	0	3%	-0.5
Greg Ward	4	5	26	1	14%	2.0
Miles Sanders	2	4	19	0	11%	0.5
Richard Rodgers	1	1	18	0	3%	1.2
John Hightower	2	6	18	0	17%	0.7
Zach Ertz	1	6	6	0	17%	-5.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Duke Riley	3	6	0.0	0
Darius Slay	6	1	0.0	1
Jalen Mills	4	2	0.0	0
Rodney McLeod	3	3	0.0	2
Javon Hargrave	1	3	0.5	0
Nathan Gerry	1	3	0.0	0
Alex Singleton	2	2	0.0	0
Brandon Graham	3	0	0.0	0
Nickell Robey	3	0	0.0	0
Derek Barnett	1	1	0.0	0

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ben Roethlisberger	27/34	239	3	0	1	15.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Ray-Ray McCloud	2	63	31.5	0	3.8
James Conner	15	44	2.9	1	-0.2
Benny Snell	7	19	2.7	0	-3.1
Chase Claypool	3	6	2.0	1	1.5
Anthony McFarland	3	6	2.0	0	-1.1
Ben Roethlisberger	2	-2	-1.0	0	0.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Chase Claypool	7	11	110	3	32%	13.9
Eric Ebron	5	6	43	0	18%	0.2
JuJu Smith-Schuster	4	5	28	0	15%	-0.8
James Washington	3	4	25	0	12%	3.0
James Conner	3	3	19	0	9%	0.4
Ray-Ray McCloud	3	3	12	0	9%	-0.4
Vance McDonald	1	1	4	0	3%	-0.1
Diontae Johnson	1	1	-2	0	3%	-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Mike Hilton	6	0	1.0	0	0
Steven Nelson	4	1	0.0	2	2
Stephon Tuitt	2	3	1.5	0	1
Terrell Edmunds	4	0	0.0	0	1
Joe Haden	4	0	0.0	0	1
T.J. Watt	3	0	1.0	0	0
Minkah Fitzpatrick	2	1	0.0	0	0
Cameron Heyward	2	0	1.0	0	0
Vince Williams	1	1	0.0	0	0
Bud Dupree	0	2	0.5	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PIT -7.5
Closing total: 44
PHI moneyline: +312
PIT moneyline: -372

Steelers closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 9.

Total closed 44; the game landed 67 — over by 23.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Heinz Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 70°F, wind 4 mph
Referee: Ronald Torbert
Rest: PHI 7 days · PIT 14 days
Coaches: Doug Pederson vs Mike Tomlin