2020 Week 6 · Mon, Oct 19, 2020 · AT&T Stadium

Arizona CardinalsWinner

Dallas Cowboys

DAL -1 upsetU 55.5 ✓DomeCowboys closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Arizona Cardinals 38–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 2:44, ARI +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 2:44ARI — DAL DAL ball · 2nd & 9DAL 58%

(2:44) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle to 21-E.Elliott to ARI 49 for no gain (32-B.Baker). FUMBLES (32-B.Baker), RECOVERED by ARI-97-J.Phillips at ARI 46.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 2:44ARI +11% win prob(2:44) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle to 21-E.Elliott to ARI 49 for no gain (32-B.Baker). FUMBLES (32-B.Baker), RECOVERED by ARI-97-J.Phillips at ARI 46.
Q2 · 13:04DAL +8% win prob(13:04) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 13-C.Kirk for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Short shovel pass to Kirk in the backfield
Q2 · 12:19ARI +8% win prob(12:19) 21-E.Elliott left tackle to DAL 28 for 2 yards (97-J.Phillips). FUMBLES (97-J.Phillips), RECOVERED by ARI-33-B.Murphy at DAL 30. 33-B.Murphy to DAL 27 for 3 yards (86-D.Schultz; 52-C.Williams).
Q2 · 14:10DAL +7% win prob(14:10) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray left end ran ob at DAL 7 for 11 yards (25-X.Woods).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cardinals	Cowboys
Offensive plays	59	84
Total yards	439 (edge)	344
Yards per play	7.4 (edge)	4.1
Expected points added / play	0.32 (edge)	-0.18
Success rate	46% (edge)	39%
Dropback rate	46%	70%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.15 (edge)	-0.15
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.47 (edge)	-0.24
Third downs	7/13 (edge)	6/15
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	10 (edge)	5
First downs gained on snaps	20	23 (edge)
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	3
Turnovers	0 (edge)	4

Cardinals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.32 expected points added per play vs -0.18.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Andy DaltonQB

34/54, 266 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-4.7 expected points added · -4.6% completion over expected

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

9/24, 188 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

1.4 expected points added · -24.5% completion over expected

Rushing · ARI

Kenyan DrakeRB

20 att, 164 yds, 2 TD

9.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

10 att, 74 yds, 1 TD

8.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

Christian KirkWR

2/3 for 86 yds, 2 TD

14% of team targets · 7.6 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Amari CooperWR

7/10 for 79 yds, 1 TD

19% of team targets · 4.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	ARI	ARI 25	5	4	0:56	Punt
2	DAL	DAL 28	4	4	1:49	Punt
3	ARI	ARI 24	11	36	3:58	Punt
4	DAL	DAL 10	4	4	1:05	Punt
5	ARI	ARI 49	4	3	1:55	Punt
6	DAL	DAL 26	6	35	2:41	Fumble
7	ARI	ARI 46	12	54	4:38	Touchdown
8	DAL	DAL 25	3	3	0:48	Fumble
9	ARI	DAL 27	6	27	1:39	Touchdown
10	DAL	DAL 25	12	40	5:38	Punt
11	ARI	ARI 20	2	80	0:10	Touchdown
12	DAL	DAL 34	15	50	4:33	Turnover on downs
13	ARI	ARI 25	2	0	0:10	End of half
14	DAL	DAL 25	6	33	2:35	Interception
15	ARI	ARI 21	10	73	4:32	Touchdown
16	DAL	DAL 25	11	35	2:10	Turnover on downs
17	ARI	ARI 48	7	5	3:02	Punt
18	DAL	DAL 14	12	65	4:23	Interception
19	ARI	ARI 10	9	82	4:24	Turnover on downs
20	DAL	DAL 25	20	62	6:06	Touchdown
21	ARI	ARI 25	5	75	0:59	Touchdown
22	DAL	DAL 25	4	13	1:49	End of game

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 82 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kyler Murray	9/24	188	2	0	1	1.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kenyan Drake	20	164	8.2	2	9.4
Kyler Murray	10	74	7.4	1	8.5
Chase Edmonds	5	23	4.6	0	-0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Christian Kirk	2	3	86	2	14%	7.6
DeAndre Hopkins	2	8	73	0	36%	1.6
Larry Fitzgerald	3	4	22	0	18%	2.1
Chase Edmonds	1	2	6	0	9%	-0.4
Darrell Daniels	1	1	1	0	5%	0.4
Kenyan Drake	0	2	0	0	9%	-2.1
Andy Isabella	0	2	0	0	9%	-3.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jordan Hicks	5	5	0.0	0	0
Byron Murphy	7	1	0.0	0	2
Patrick Peterson	7	1	0.0	0	0
De'Vondre Campbell	5	2	0.0	0	0
Budda Baker	7	0	1.0	1	1
Haason Reddick	4	1	2.0	0	1
Deionte Thompson	3	1	0.0	0	0
Isaiah Simmons	2	2	0.0	0	1
Dre Kirkpatrick	4	0	0.0	1	1
Trevon Coley	1	2	0.0	0	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Andy Dalton	34/54	266	1	2	3	-4.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	12	49	4.1	-6.0
Tony Pollard	10	31	3.1	1.3
Rico Dowdle	3	13	4.3	-1.2
Andy Dalton	2	4	2.0	-0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Amari Cooper	7	10	79	1	19%	4.5
CeeDee Lamb	7	11	64	0	21%	-3.6
Dalton Schultz	4	5	35	0	10%	0.6
Ezekiel Elliott	8	10	31	0	19%	-7.8
Michael Gallup	2	6	23	0	12%	0.5
Noah Brown	2	2	15	0	4%	3.8
Cedrick Wilson	2	3	10	0	6%	0.3
Tony Pollard	2	4	9	0	8%	-1.1
Blake Bell	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jaylon Smith	6	3	0.0	0
Donovan Wilson	7	2	0.0	0
Justin Hamilton	1	2	0.0	0
Anthony Brown	3	0	1.0	0
Xavier Woods	3	0	0.0	0
Leighton Vander Esch	2	1	0.0	0
Aldon Smith	2	1	0.0	1
Trevon Diggs	2	1	0.0	1
Neville Gallimore	1	1	0.0	0
Amari Cooper	1	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -1
Closing total: 55.5
ARI moneyline: +103
DAL moneyline: -114

Cowboys closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 55.5; the game landed 48 — under by 7.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Clete Blakeman
Rest: ARI 8 days · DAL 8 days
Coaches: Kliff Kingsbury vs Mike McCarthy