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2020 Week 6 · Mon, Oct 19, 2020 · New Era Field
26
17
Kansas City Chiefs 26–17. Biggest swing: Q3 1:24, BUF +9% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(1:24) (Shotgun) 31-Darr.Williams left guard for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Chiefs | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 71 | 50 |
| Total yards | 468 (edge) | 206 |
| Yards per play | 6.6 (edge) | 4.1 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.33 (edge) | -0.03 |
| Success rate | 62% (edge) | 42% |
| Dropback rate | 46% | 62% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.51 (edge) | 0.03 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.18 (edge) | -0.12 |
| Third downs | 10/15 (edge) | 4/9 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 11 (edge) | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 27 (edge) | 15 |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.33 expected points added per play vs -0.03.
Who moved the needle
Passing · KC
21/26, 225 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT
16.1 expected points added · +13.1% completion over expected
Passing · BUF
14/27, 122 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
-3.1 expected points added · -6.5% completion over expected
Receiving · KC
5/6 for 69 yds, 0 TD
23% of team targets · 3.4 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | BUF 26 | 5 | 0 | 0:37 | Punt | |
| 2 | KC | KC 17 | 9 | 33 | 4:14 | Punt | |
| 3 | BUF | BUF 32 | 11 | 38 | 4:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | KC | KC 25 | 7 | 75 | 2:37 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | BUF | BUF 25 | 15 | 51 | 6:43 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | KC | KC 25 | 14 | 86 | 6:26 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | BUF | BUF 25 | 10 | 11 | 3:49 | Punt | |
| 8 | KC | KC 10 | 5 | 38 | 1:01 | Fumble | |
| 9 | BUF | KC 49 | 2 | 15 | 0:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | KC | KC 20 | 10 | 29 | 4:31 | Punt | |
| 11 | BUF | BUF 13 | 5 | 17 | 1:24 | Punt | |
| 12 | KC | KC 18 | 14 | 87 | 7:47 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | BUF | BUF 25 | 5 | 9 | 1:51 | Punt | |
| 14 | KC | KC 6 | 10 | 45 | 5:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | BUF | BUF 25 | 8 | 62 | 2:33 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | KC | KC 13 | 13 | 75 | 4:38 | Fumble | |
| 17 | BUF | BUF 25 | 3 | 3 | 0:45 | Interception | |
| 18 | KC | BUF 38 | 2 | 0 | 1:11 | End of game |
0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 87 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 21/26 | 225 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 26 | 161 | 6.2 | 0 | 3.4 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 10 | 36 | 3.6 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Darrel Williams | 6 | 26 | 4.3 | 1 | 3.7 |
| Darwin Thompson | 3 | 17 | 5.7 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Tyreek Hill | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demarcus Robinson | 5 | 6 | 69 | 0 | 23% | 3.4 |
| Travis Kelce | 5 | 7 | 65 | 2 | 27% | 4.8 |
| Byron Pringle | 2 | 2 | 46 | 0 | 8% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Sorensen | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Bashaud Breeland | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charvarius Ward | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Derrick Nnadi |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 14/27 | 122 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 8 | 42 | 5.3 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Chiefs closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 9.
Total closed 55; the game landed 43 — under by 12.0.
Conditions and crew
| 4.4 |
| Tyreek Hill | 3 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 12% | 1.4 |
| Darrel Williams | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 4% | 1.9 |
| Clyde Edwards-Helaire | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 15% | 0.4 |
| Nick Keizer | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
| Ricky Seals-Jones | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.5 |
| Mecole Hardman | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4% | -0.0 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Damien Wilson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ben Niemann | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrann Mathieu | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Hitchens | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Byron Pringle | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Taco Charlton | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5.1 |
| Devin Singletary | 10 | 32 | 3.2 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Zack Moss | 5 | 10 | 2.0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | 6 | 8 | 46 | 1 | 32% | 2.4 |
| Cole Beasley | 4 | 7 | 45 | 1 | 28% | -0.0 |
| Devin Singletary | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 8% | -0.6 |
| Tyler Kroft | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 8% | -0.1 |
| Gabe Davis | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4% | 0.2 |
| Isaiah McKenzie | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4% | -0.1 |
| John Brown | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16% | -3.8 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremaine Edmunds | 8 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Poyer | 7 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Taron Johnson | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Norman | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| A.J. Klein | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Zimmer | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre'Davious White | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Quinton Jefferson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ed Oliver | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vernon Butler | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
