2020 Week 7 · Mon, Oct 26, 2020 · SoFi Stadium

Chicago Bears

Los Angeles RamsWinner

LA -6.5 ✓U 44 ✓DomeRams closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 14.

Los Angeles Rams 24–10. Biggest swing: Q3 5:14, CHI +5% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q3 · 5:14CHI — LA CHI ball · 2nd & 4LA 92%

(5:14) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass deep left intended for 11-D.Mooney INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Rapp (22-T.Hill) at LA -8. Touchback.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q3 · 5:14CHI +5% win prob(5:14) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass deep left intended for 11-D.Mooney INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Rapp (22-T.Hill) at LA -8. Touchback.
Q2 · 2:55CHI +5% win prob(2:55) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles sacked at LA 47 for -4 yards (sack split by 91-G.Gaines and 99-A.Donald).
Q1 · 12:37CHI +4% win prob(12:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 32-D.Montgomery up the middle to LA 48 for 2 yards (97-M.Fox). PENALTY on CHI-74-G.Ifedi, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at 50 - No Play.
Q2 · 1:15LA +4% win prob(1:15) 16-P.O'Donnell punts 44 yards to LA 10, Center-48-P.Scales, fair catch by 10-C.Kupp.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bears	Rams
Offensive plays	61	66
Total yards	279	373 (edge)
Yards per play	4.6	5.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.39	-0.10 (edge)
Success rate	31%	47% (edge)
Dropback rate	72%	53%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.41	0.10 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.33 (edge)	-0.33
Third downs	4/14	4/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	13	21 (edge)
Sacks taken	4	1 (edge)
Turnovers	2	1 (edge)

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.39.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CHI

Nick FolesQB

28/40, 261 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-17.9 expected points added · +7.0% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

23/33, 220 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

3.5 expected points added · +3.4% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Darrell HendersonRB

15 att, 63 yds, 0 TD

-3.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Malcolm BrownRB

10 att, 57 yds, 1 TD

0.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CHI

Allen RobinsonWR

4/4 for 70 yds, 0 TD

11% of team targets · 6.3 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Josh ReynoldsWR

4/8 for 52 yds, 1 TD

26% of team targets · 5.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CHI	CHI 30	8	27	3:30	Punt
2	LA	LA 10	9	43	3:35	Punt
3	CHI	CHI 7	4	5	1:20	Punt
4	LA	LA 48	8	52	2:38	Touchdown
5	CHI	CHI 18	9	58	4:44	Turnover on downs
6	LA	LA 25	11	45	5:08	Punt
7	CHI	CHI 10	4	9	1:00	Punt
8	LA	LA 38	6	58	3:10	Turnover on downs
9	CHI	CHI 19	8	27	3:47	Punt
10	LA	LA 10	6	25	1:08	End of half
11	LA	LA 18	6	2	3:11	Punt
12	CHI	CHI 1	4	4	1:22	Punt
13	LA	LA 45	8	55	2:21	Touchdown
14	CHI	CHI 20	7	45	2:59	Interception
15	LA	LA 20	9	80	3:33	Touchdown
16	CHI	CHI 25	5	7	1:27	Turnover on downs
17	LA	CHI 32	4	7	2:22	Turnover on downs
18	CHI	CHI 38	8	50	3:39	Turnover on downs
19	LA	LA 12	3	2	1:36	Defensive touchdown
20	LA	LA 25	5	6	2:22	Punt
21	CHI	CHI 6	6	18	1:55	Interception
22	LA	CHI 39	4	-2	0:27	Punt
23	CHI	CHI 5	9	29	1:42	Turnover on downs
24	LA	CHI 33	2	0	1:04	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 80 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Chicago Bears

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Nick Foles	28/40	261	0	2	4	-17.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
David Montgomery	14	48	3.4	0	-0.6
Cordarrelle Patterson	3	1	0.3	0	-5.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Allen Robinson	4	4	70	11%	6.3
Cole Kmet	2	2	45	5%	2.7
Darnell Mooney	3	7	40	18%	-7.8
Jimmy Graham	5	6	31	16%	-3.4
David Montgomery	5	5	21	13%	-1.6
Anthony Miller	3	5	20	13%	0.1
Demetrius Harris	2	3	15	8%	0.2
Cordarrelle Patterson	3	4	11	11%	-3.2
Javon Wims	1	2	8	5%	-2.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Eddie Jackson	8	1	0.0
Roquan Smith	7	1	0.0
Buster Skrine	5	2	0.0
Kyle Fuller	4	1	0.0
Barkevious Mingo	4	1	0.0
Khalil Mack	4	0	1.0
Danny Trevathan	1	3	0.0
Akiem Hicks	1	2	0.0
James Vaughters	2	0	0.0
Mario Edwards	2	0	0.0

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	23/33	220	2	0	1	3.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Darrell Henderson	15	63	4.2	0	-3.3
Malcolm Brown	10	57	5.7	1	0.4
Robert Woods	4	23	5.8	0	-6.1
Cooper Kupp	1	16	16.0	0	0.9
Jared Goff	4	1	0.3	0	-4.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Josh Reynolds	4	8	52	1	26%	5.4
Johnny Mundt	3	3	48	0	10%	2.9
Cooper Kupp	6	6	43	0	19%	1.4
Gerald Everett	4	5	28	1	16%	-0.3
Robert Woods	3	5	22	0	16%	-1.1
Van Jefferson	1	1	14	0	3%	1.0
Darrell Henderson	2	2	13	0	6%	-0.1
Malcolm Brown	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Micah Kiser	3	5	0.0	0	0
Taylor Rapp	2	5	0.0	1	1
Michael Brockers	3	4	0.0	0	0
Troy Hill	4	3	0.0	0	1
Leonard Floyd	4	2	2.0	0	0
Justin Hollins	2	3	1.0	0	0
Terrell Burgess	4	1	0.0	0	0
John Johnson	3	2	0.0	0	1
Jalen Ramsey	4	0	0.0	1	1
Kenny Young	3	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -6.5
Closing total: 44
CHI moneyline: +251
LA moneyline: -291

Rams closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 44; the game landed 34 — under by 10.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Bill Vinovich
Rest: CHI 8 days · LA 8 days
Coaches: Matt Nagy vs Sean McVay