2020 Week 7 · Thu, Oct 22, 2020 · Lincoln Financial Field

New York Giants

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

PHI -5 no coverU 44.5 ✓Eagles closed -5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Philadelphia Eagles 22–21 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:29, NYG +19% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:29NYG — PHI NYG ball · 2nd & 12PHI 79%

(:29) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 17 for -6 yards (55-B.Graham). FUMBLES (55-B.Graham) [55-B.Graham], RECOVERED by PHI-75-V.Curry at NYG 17.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:29NYG +19% win prob(:29) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 17 for -6 yards (55-B.Graham). FUMBLES (55-B.Graham) [55-B.Graham], RECOVERED by PHI-75-V.Curry at NYG 17.
Q4 · 14:11NYG +18% win prob(14:11) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete short right to 89-H.Butler (23-L.Ryan). PHI-65-L.Johnson was injured during the play.
Q3 · 8:51PHI +17% win prob(8:51) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones right end to PHI 8 for 80 yards (21-J.Mills).
Q4 · 0:46PHI +16% win prob(:46) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep right to 35-B.Scott for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Eagles
Offensive plays	54	73
Total yards	326	443 (edge)
Yards per play	6.0	6.1 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.05	0.04 (edge)
Success rate	39%	45% (edge)
Dropback rate	63%	67%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.11	0.14 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.04 (edge)	-0.18
Third downs	3/10	4/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7 (edge)	6
First downs gained on snaps	14	26 (edge)
Sacks taken	3	3
Turnovers	3	1 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.04 expected points added per play vs -0.05.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Carson WentzQB

25/43, 359 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

6.4 expected points added · +2.2% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

20/30, 187 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-3.5 expected points added · +6.3% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Boston ScottRB

12 att, 46 yds, 0 TD

-2.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Wayne GallmanRB

10 att, 34 yds, 1 TD

-0.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

Richard RodgersTE

6/8 for 85 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 3.6 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

Travis FulghamWR

5/11 for 73 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 1.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 25	13	75	6:15	Touchdown
2	NYG	NYG 27	6	24	2:42	Punt
3	PHI	PHI 11	4	-7	1:43	Punt
4	NYG	PHI 39	2	39	0:07	Touchdown
5	PHI	PHI 30	14	83	5:45	Turnover on downs
6	NYG	NYG 25	9	28	3:25	Interception
7	PHI	PHI 44	10	36	5:17	Interception
8	NYG	NYG 20	5	31	2:53	Punt
9	PHI	PHI 9	4	4	0:56	Punt
10	NYG	NYG 35	2	3	0:14	Fumble
11	PHI	NYG 42	6	31	0:28	Turnover on downs
12	NYG	NYG 20	1	0	0:15	End of half
13	NYG	NYG 26	5	7	1:53	Punt
14	PHI	PHI 22	4	9	2:13	Punt
15	NYG	NYG 21	4	-1	1:04	Punt
16	PHI	PHI 32	4	2	0:59	Punt
17	NYG	NYG 12	5	86	2:06	Touchdown
18	PHI	PHI 25	5	1	0:53	Punt
19	NYG	NYG 27	4	5	1:58	Punt
20	PHI	PHI 31	8	66	4:47	Turnover on downs
21	NYG	NYG 3	16	75	7:50	Touchdown
22	PHI	PHI 22	6	68	1:39	Touchdown
23	NYG	NYG 20	7	27	2:36	Punt
24	PHI	PHI 29	7	75	1:22	Touchdown
25	NYG	NYG 25	3	2	0:19	Fumble
26	PHI	NYG 17	1	0	0:21	End of game

0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 86 scrimmage yards over 5 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	20/30	187	2	1	3	-3.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Daniel Jones	4	92	23.0	0	4.8
Wayne Gallman	10	34	3.4	1	-0.8
Dion Lewis	3	23	7.7	0	-1.8
Devonta Freeman	3	8	2.7	0	-0.9
Evan Engram	2	3	1.5	0	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Sterling Shepard	6	8	59	1	29%	7.1
Evan Engram	6	9	46	0	32%	-5.2
Golden Tate	1	2	39	1	7%	2.9
Darius Slayton	2	3	23	0	11%	0.6
Wayne Gallman	5	5	20	0	18%	-0.3
Devonta Freeman	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Blake Martinez	7	2	0.0	0	1
Julian Love	4	3	0.0	0	1
Jabrill Peppers	4	2	1.0	0	0
James Bradberry	5	0	0.0	1	1
Devante Downs	5	0	0.0	0	0
Logan Ryan	3	2	0.0	0	1
Kyler Fackrell	1	2	0.0	0	0
Dalvin Tomlinson	3	0	0.0	0	1
B.J. Hill	3	0	0.0	0	0
David Mayo	2	1	0.0	0	0

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	25/43	359	2	1	3	6.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Boston Scott	12	46	3.8	0	-2.6
Carson Wentz	7	14	2.0	1	-3.3
Jason Huntley	2	13	6.5	0	0.9
DeSean Jackson	1	12	12.0	0	0.8
Corey Clement	2	9	4.5	0	-0.2
Jalen Hurts	2	2	1.0	0	-1.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Richard Rodgers	6	8	85	0	20%	3.6
Travis Fulgham	5	11	73	0	27%	1.0
John Hightower	1	2	59	0	5%	-0.1
Boston Scott	3	5	46	1	12%	5.2
Greg Ward	5	6	42	1	15%	3.4
DeSean Jackson	3	5	34	0	12%	0.9
Corey Clement	1	1	12	0	2%	0.4
J.J. Arcega-Whiteside	1	1	8	0	2%	1.0
Jason Huntley	0	1	0	0	2%	-0.8
Hakeem Butler	0	1	0	0	2%	-2.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Nathan Gerry	4	4	1.0	0	0
Rodney McLeod	3	3	0.0	0	0
Alex Singleton	5	1	0.0	0	0
Jalen Mills	3	1	0.0	1	1
Brandon Graham	3	1	1.0	0	0
Duke Riley	2	1	0.0	0	0
Nickell Robey	1	2	0.0	0	0
Darius Slay	3	0	0.0	0	0
Javon Hargrave	1	1	0.0	0	0
Derek Barnett	1	1	1.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -5
Closing total: 44.5
NYG moneyline: +197
PHI moneyline: -223

Eagles closed -5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 43 — under by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 70°F, wind 4 mph
Referee: Adrian Hill
Rest: NYG 4 days · PHI 4 days
Coaches: Joe Judge vs Doug Pederson

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.