2020 Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1, 2020 · Lincoln Financial Field

Dallas Cowboys

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

PHI -10 ✓U 43 ✓17 mph windEagles closed -10 and covered, winning by 14.

Philadelphia Eagles 23–9. Biggest swing: Q4 5:34, DAL +19% win probability on one snap. Played in 17 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 5:34DAL — PHI DAL ball · 3rd & 6PHI 79%

(5:34) (Shotgun) 7-B.DiNucci sacked at PHI 31 for -10 yards (57-T.Edwards). FUMBLES (57-T.Edwards) [57-T.Edwards], touched at PHI 35, RECOVERED by PHI-23-R.McLeod at PHI 47. 23-R.McLeod for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 5:34DAL +19% win prob(5:34) (Shotgun) 7-B.DiNucci sacked at PHI 31 for -10 yards (57-T.Edwards). FUMBLES (57-T.Edwards) [57-T.Edwards], touched at PHI 35, RECOVERED by PHI-23-R.McLeod at PHI 47. 23-R.McLeod for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 12:20DAL +15% win prob(12:20) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass deep middle intended for 82-J.Hightower INTERCEPTED by 27-T.Diggs at DAL -2. 27-T.Diggs to DAL 31 for 33 yards (84-G.Ward).
Q1 · 5:57DAL +14% win prob(5:57) (Shotgun) 7-B.DiNucci sacked at PHI 17 for -10 yards (55-B.Graham). FUMBLES (55-B.Graham) [55-B.Graham], RECOVERED by PHI-55-B.Graham at PHI 17.
Q1 · 8:48DAL +11% win prob(8:48) 11-C.Wentz sacked at PHI 25 for -10 yards (37-D.Wilson). FUMBLES (37-D.Wilson) [37-D.Wilson], RECOVERED by DAL-37-D.Wilson at PHI 25.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cowboys	Eagles
Offensive plays	78	59
Total yards	265 (edge)	225
Yards per play	3.4	3.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.34	-0.31 (edge)
Success rate	41% (edge)	39%
Dropback rate	56%	59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.56	-0.45 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.07 (edge)	-0.10
Third downs	4/16	3/8 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	4
First downs gained on snaps	21 (edge)	16
Sacks taken	4	4
Turnovers	2 (edge)	4

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.31 expected points added per play vs -0.34.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Ben DiNucciQB

21/40, 180 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-25.1 expected points added · -11.2% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Carson WentzQB

15/27, 123 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

-15.5 expected points added · -2.4% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Boston ScottRB

15 att, 70 yds, 0 TD

-1.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

19 att, 63 yds, 0 TD

-3.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

Travis FulghamWR

6/7 for 78 yds, 1 TD

27% of team targets · 6.6 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

Michael GallupWR

7/12 for 61 yds, 0 TD

32% of team targets · 0.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 22	10	47	4:49	Turnover on downs
2	PHI	PHI 25	4	0	1:35	Fumble
3	DAL	PHI 25	5	8	2:48	Fumble
4	PHI	PHI 17	11	83	5:46	Touchdown
5	DAL	DAL 26	5	-3	1:01	Punt
6	PHI	PHI 30	6	16	2:31	Fumble
7	DAL	PHI 46	6	15	1:44	Turnover on downs
8	PHI	PHI 25	10	32	4:17	Punt
9	DAL	DAL 20	5	14	2:15	Punt
10	PHI	PHI 49	3	2	1:00	Interception
11	DAL	DAL 20	4	-3	0:31	Punt
12	PHI	PHI 47	4	9	1:14	Turnover on downs
13	DAL	DAL 45	5	14	0:23	Turnover on downs
14	PHI	PHI 25	2	0	0:06	End of half
15	PHI	PHI 20	6	11	2:56	Interception
16	DAL	DAL 31	10	35	5:51	Turnover on downs
17	PHI	PHI 42	10	55	4:19	Touchdown
18	DAL	DAL 25	12	42	4:10	Turnover on downs
19	PHI	PHI 35	4	4	1:26	Punt
20	DAL	DAL 25	11	40	6:00	Defensive touchdown
21	DAL	DAL 23	5	-7	1:23	Turnover on downs
22	PHI	DAL 45	7	13	2:00	Turnover on downs
23	DAL	DAL 32	12	63	1:55	End of game

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 83 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ben DiNucci	21/40	180	0	0	4	-25.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	19	63	3.3	-3.5
Tony Pollard	7	40	5.7	1.1
Ben DiNucci	5	22	4.4	2.0
CeeDee Lamb	1	19	19.0	1.4
Chris Jones	1	0	0.0	-0.0
Cedrick Wilson	2	-11	-5.5	-2.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Michael Gallup	7	12	61	32%	0.0
Dalton Schultz	6	8	53	21%	2.2
CeeDee Lamb	4	5	27	13%	1.3
Tony Pollard	2	2	24	5%	-1.3
Ezekiel Elliott	1	2	10	5%	0.6
Amari Cooper	1	5	5	13%	-4.8
Noah Brown	0	2	0	5%	-1.6
Cedrick Wilson	0	2	0	5%	-1.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jaylon Smith	5	2	0.0	0	0
Trevon Diggs	6	1	0.0	2	4
Jourdan Lewis	3	2	0.0	0	0
Donovan Wilson	5	0	1.0	0	0
Demarcus Lawrence	4	1	1.0	0	0
Randy Gregory	4	0	0.0	0	0
Anthony Brown	4	0	0.0	0	1
Xavier Woods	1	2	0.0	0	0
Aldon Smith	2	1	1.0	0	0
Dorance Armstrong	1	1	0.0	0	0

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	15/27	123	2	2	4	-15.5
Jalen Hurts	1/1	9	0	0	0	0.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Boston Scott	15	70	4.7	-1.6
Corey Clement	5	24	4.8	-0.8
Carson Wentz	4	17	4.3	0.9
Jalen Reagor	1	6	6.0	0.2
Greg Ward	1	2	2.0	-1.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Travis Fulgham	6	7	78	1	27%	6.6
Jalen Reagor	3	6	16	1	23%	-3.0
Dallas Goedert	1	1	15	0	4%	1.0
Greg Ward	3	5	10	0	19%	-2.3
Boston Scott	2	2	9	0	8%	0.3
Corey Clement	1	2	4	0	8%	-0.2
John Hightower	0	3	0	0	12%	-4.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
T.J. Edwards	6	7	1.0	0
Alex Singleton	5	3	0.0	0
Duke Riley	2	4	0.0	0
Josh Sweat	5	1	0.0	0
Will Parks	4	1	0.0	0
Avonte Maddox	5	0	0.0	0
Jalen Mills	5	0	0.0	1
Brandon Graham	2	2	1.0	0
Michael Jacquet	3	1	0.0	1
Nickell Robey	4	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -10
Closing total: 43
DAL moneyline: +335
PHI moneyline: -403

Eagles closed -10 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 43; the game landed 32 — under by 11.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 49°F, wind 17 mph
Referee: Jerome Boger
Rest: DAL 7 days · PHI 10 days
Coaches: Mike McCarthy vs Doug Pederson

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.

Wind at 17 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.