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2020 Week 8 · Sun, Nov 1, 2020 · Hard Rock Stadium

Los Angeles Rams

17

Miami DolphinsWinner

28

LA -3.5 upsetU 46.5 ✓

Miami Dolphins 28–17. Biggest swing: Q2 10:17, LA +34% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3MIA ↑LA ↓
Q2 · 10:17LA — MIA LA ball · 2nd & 9LA 71%

(10:17) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at MIA 17 for -8 yards (91-E.Ogbah). FUMBLES (91-E.Ogbah) [91-E.Ogbah], RECOVERED by MIA-43-A.Van Ginkel at MIA 22. 43-A.Van Ginkel for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 10:17LA +34% win prob(10:17) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at MIA 17 for -8 yards (91-E.Ogbah). FUMBLES (91-E.Ogbah) [91-E.Ogbah], RECOVERED by MIA-43-A.Van Ginkel at MIA 22. 43-A.Van Ginkel for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 12:45LA +16% win prob(12:45) (Shotgun) 1-T.Tagovailoa sacked at MIA 18 for -5 yards (99-A.Donald). FUMBLES (99-A.Donald) [90-M.Brockers], touched at MIA 20, RECOVERED by LA-54-L.Floyd at MIA 15.
  3. Q2 · 3:01LA +15% win prob(3:01) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at LA 23 for -8 yards (90-S.Lawson). FUMBLES (90-S.Lawson) [90-S.Lawson], RECOVERED by MIA-53-K.Van Noy at LA 29. 53-K.Van Noy to LA 1 for 28 yards (34-M.Brown).
  4. Q1 · 3:02LA +12% win prob(3:02) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short middle intended for 10-C.Kupp INTERCEPTED by 94-C.Wilkins at LA 41. 94-C.Wilkins to LA 33 for 8 yards (10-C.Kupp).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricRamsDolphins
Offensive plays9147
Total yards471 (edge)147
Yards per play5.2 (edge)3.1
Expected points added / play-0.25 (edge)-0.49
Success rate47% (edge)34%
Dropback rate68%51%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.41 (edge)-0.45
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.08 (edge)-0.54
Third downs7/17 (edge)3/12
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)6 (edge)0
First downs gained on snaps30 (edge)8
Sacks taken21 (edge)
Turnovers42 (edge)

Rams outgained Dolphins 471–147 but lost the turnover battle 4–2. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

35/61, 355 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-25.5 expected points added · -6.5% completion over expected

Passing · MIA

Tua TagovailoaQB

12/22, 93 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-10.2 expected points added · -16.7% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Darrell HendersonRB

8 att, 47 yds, 0 TD

2.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · MIA

Myles GaskinRB

18 att, 47 yds, 1 TD

-10.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Cooper KuppWR

11/20 for 110 yds, 0 TD

35% of team targets · -7.2 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Robert WoodsWR

7/8 for 85 yds, 1 TD

14% of team targets · 8.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LALA 25781:39Punt
2MIAMIA 20200:43Fumble
3LAMIA 154151:25Touchdown
4MIAMIA 497122:31Punt
5LALA 78422:47Punt
6MIAMIA 10451:44Punt
7LALA 124271:16Interception
8MIALA 337332:55Touchdown
9LALA 248453:49Punt
10MIAMIA 3140:08Fumble
11LAMIA 72-151:02Defensive touchdown
12LALA 24541:17Defensive touchdown
13LALA 408334:00Interception
14MIAMIA 26460:55Punt
15LALA 29300:58Fumble
16MIALA 1210:04Touchdown
17LALA 2514652:36Turnover on downs
18MIAMIA 25200:11End of half
19MIAMIA 25592:12Punt
20LALA 284-31:43Punt
21MIAMIA 316152:49Punt
22LALA 106202:09Punt
23MIAMIA 26441:05Punt
24LALA 257443:40Turnover on downs
25MIAMIA 414132:15Punt
26LALA 1111894:09Touchdown
27MIAMIA 258273:28Punt
28LALA 811622:52Turnover on downs
29MIAMIA 387182:30Punt
30LALA 55351:08End of game

0 of 30 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 89 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Jared Goff35/61355122-25.5

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Darrell Henderson8475.902.1
Malcolm Brown10404.00-1.6
Cam Akers9353.900.1
Robert Woods294.511.7

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Cooper Kupp1120110035%-7.2
Robert Woods7885114%8.6
Josh Reynolds4944016%-0.9
Gerald Everett5932016%-7.7
Van Jefferson222304%1.5
Cam Akers111902%1.2
Malcolm Brown221704%0.4
Tyler Higbee241407%-1.6
Darrell Henderson121104%0.1

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Micah Kiser150.000
Sebastian Joseph320.000
Troy Hill320.000
Kenny Young310.001
Aaron Donald311.000
Justin Hollins120.000
Taylor Rapp300.001
David Long300.000
Samson Ebukam120.000
Greg Gaines110.000

Miami Dolphins

Passing

PlayerC/AttYdsTDINTSackedEPA
Tua Tagovailoa12/2293101-10.2

Rushing

PlayerAttYdsAvgTDEPA
Myles Gaskin18472.61-10.3
Matt Breida4133.30-0.7
Tua Tagovailoa200.00-0.5
Malcolm Perry1-5-5.00-1.6

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTDTgt shareEPA
Myles Gaskin3616027%-3.0
Durham Smythe221609%0.9
Jakeem Grant121509%-0.6
Preston Williams2515023%-2.0
Isaiah Ford111005%0.9
Malcolm Perry111005%0.8
Mike Gesicki12809%-1.1
DeVante Parker12319%0.3
Adam Shaheen01005%-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

PlayerSoloAstSacksINTPD
Jerome Baker370.002
Nik Needham550.000
Kyle Van Noy440.002
Eric Rowe520.015
Xavien Howard610.002
Christian Wilkins320.011
Elandon Roberts410.000
Zach Sieler220.000
Raekwon Davis130.000
Andrew Van Ginkel030.001

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
LA -3.5
Closing total
46.5
LA moneyline
-176
MIA moneyline
+157

Rams closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 45 — under by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Hard Rock Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
86°F, wind 10 mph
Referee
John Hussey
Rest
LA 6 days · MIA 14 days
Coaches
Sean McVay vs Brian Flores