2020 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 2020 · Nissan Stadium

Chicago Bears

Tennessee TitansWinner

TEN -6.5 ✓U 46.5 ✓Titans closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Tennessee Titans 24–17. Biggest swing: Q2 4:47, TEN +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 4:47CHI — TEN TEN ball · 3rd & 2TEN 80%

(4:47) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 4:47TEN +8% win prob(4:47) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep left to 11-A.Brown for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 4:53CHI +7% win prob(4:53) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short right to 32-D.Montgomery to TEN 34 for -4 yards (98-J.Simmons). FUMBLES (98-J.Simmons), RECOVERED by TEN-33-D.King at TEN 37. 33-D.King for 63 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on CHI-11-D.Mooney, Illegal Motion, declined.
Q2 · 13:23TEN +7% win prob(13:23) (Punt formation) Direct snap to 36-D.Houston-Carson. 50-B.Mingo right end pushed ob at CHI 47 for 11 yards (37-A.Hooker).
Q1 · 1:25TEN +7% win prob(1:25) 8-R.Allen punts 60 yards to CHI 20, Center-47-M.Overton, out of bounds.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bears	Titans
Offensive plays	75	53
Total yards	375 (edge)	230
Yards per play	5.0 (edge)	4.3
Expected points added / play	-0.16	-0.10 (edge)
Success rate	39% (edge)	30%
Dropback rate	75%	47%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.12	-0.04 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.30	-0.14 (edge)
Third downs	2/15	6/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	19 (edge)	11
Sacks taken	3	3
Turnovers	2	0 (edge)

Bears outgained Titans 375–230 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CHI

Nick FolesQB

36/52, 335 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

4.9 expected points added · +10.5% completion over expected

Passing · TEN

Ryan TannehillQB

10/21, 158 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

-1.0 expected points added · -16.9% completion over expected

Rushing · TEN

Derrick HenryRB

21 att, 68 yds, 0 TD

-2.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · CHI

David MontgomeryRB

14 att, 30 yds, 0 TD

-7.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · TEN

A.J. BrownWR

4/9 for 101 yds, 1 TD

43% of team targets · 3.6 expected points added

Receiving · CHI

Allen RobinsonWR

7/9 for 81 yds, 0 TD

19% of team targets · 2.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	TEN	TEN 25	5	3	0:57	Punt
2	CHI	CHI 25	6	41	2:53	Turnover on downs
3	TEN	TEN 34	4	1	1:05	Punt
4	CHI	CHI 33	4	7	1:34	Punt
5	TEN	TEN 22	8	56	4:09	Turnover on downs
6	CHI	CHI 20	5	4	1:50	Punt
7	TEN	TEN 33	4	-3	1:15	Punt
8	CHI	CHI 20	4	2	1:05	Punt
9	TEN	TEN 37	4	-8	0:58	Punt
10	CHI	CHI 32	8	23	3:25	Punt
11	TEN	TEN 9	13	91	6:10	Touchdown
12	CHI	CHI 25	6	15	2:45	Punt
13	TEN	TEN 9	4	-7	1:00	Punt
14	CHI	TEN 48	3	13	0:54	End of half
15	CHI	CHI 29	7	43	2:55	Punt
16	TEN	TEN 20	6	12	2:11	Punt
17	CHI	CHI 27	9	42	5:13	Defensive touchdown
18	CHI	CHI 33	16	63	7:11	Turnover on downs
19	TEN	TEN 24	10	76	4:20	Touchdown
20	CHI	CHI 25	11	68	3:04	Touchdown
21	TEN	TEN 25	5	2	1:13	Punt
22	CHI	CHI 39	1	4	0:07	Fumble
23	TEN	CHI 43	4	7	1:44	Punt
24	CHI	CHI 20	9	50	0:58	Touchdown
25	TEN	CHI 48	3	0	1:04	End of game

0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 91 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Chicago Bears

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Nick Foles	36/52	335	2	0	3	4.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
David Montgomery	14	30	2.1	-7.5
Cordarrelle Patterson	3	13	4.3	0.1
Barkevious Mingo	1	11	11.0	2.9
Nick Foles	2	2	1.0	-1.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Allen Robinson	7	9	81	0	19%	2.7
Anthony Miller	5	8	59	0	17%	0.4
Jimmy Graham	6	6	55	1	13%	3.2
Darnell Mooney	5	11	43	0	23%	-2.1
Ryan Nall	4	4	35	1	9%	4.8
Cordarrelle Patterson	4	4	27	0	9%	-0.1
Riley Ridley	2	2	23	0	4%	3.2
David Montgomery	3	3	12	0	6%	-8.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Roquan Smith	8	2	1.0	0
Buster Skrine	4	2	0.0	0
Danny Trevathan	1	4	0.0	1
Akiem Hicks	3	2	0.0	0
Daniel McCullers	3	1	0.0	0
Brent Urban	1	2	0.0	0
Khalil Mack	2	0	0.0	0
Kyle Fuller	0	2	0.0	1
Mario Edwards	1	1	1.0	0
Eddie Jackson	2	0	0.0	1

Tennessee Titans

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ryan Tannehill	10/21	158	2	0	3	-1.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Derrick Henry	21	68	3.2	-2.4
D'Onta Foreman	5	11	2.2	-2.6
Jeremy McNichols	2	10	5.0	0.9
Ryan Tannehill	3	3	1.0	-1.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
A.J. Brown	4	9	101	1	43%	3.6
Jonnu Smith	2	2	32	1	10%	3.6
Anthony Firkser	3	6	19	0	29%	-1.5
Cameron Batson	1	1	6	0	5%	0.1
Corey Davis	0	3	0	0	14%	-2.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Jayon Brown	6	5	1.0	1
Breon Borders	7	2	0.0	1
Amani Hooker	6	3	0.0	0
Kevin Byard	4	3	0.0	0
DaQuan Jones	4	3	0.5	0
Kenny Vaccaro	3	3	0.0	0
Rashaan Evans	1	3	0.5	0
Harold Landry	3	1	1.0	1
Malcolm Butler	3	1	0.0	2
Joshua Kalu	3	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: TEN -6.5
Closing total: 46.5
CHI moneyline: +243
TEN moneyline: -280

Titans closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 46.5; the game landed 41 — under by 5.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Nissan Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 77°F, wind 14 mph
Referee: Ronald Torbert
Rest: CHI 7 days · TEN 7 days
Coaches: Matt Nagy vs Mike Vrabel