2020 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 8, 2020 · AT&T Stadium

Pittsburgh SteelersWinner

Dallas Cowboys

PIT -14 no coverU 44 ✓DomeSteelers closed -14, won by 5 — but didn't cover.

Pittsburgh Steelers 24–19. Biggest swing: Q4 0:04, PIT +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:04PIT — DAL DAL ball · 3rd & 4PIT 86%

(:04) (Shotgun) 3-G.Gilbert pass incomplete deep middle to 88-C.Lamb (39-M.Fitzpatrick).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:04PIT +14% win prob(:04) (Shotgun) 3-G.Gilbert pass incomplete deep middle to 88-C.Lamb (39-M.Fitzpatrick).
Q2 · 7:52DAL +13% win prob(7:52) (Shotgun) 3-G.Gilbert pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 3:18DAL +12% win prob(3:18) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short left to 18-D.Johnson to DAL 13 for 42 yards (25-X.Woods).
Q3 · 11:51DAL +12% win prob(11:51) (Shotgun) 20-T.Pollard right tackle pushed ob at PIT 23 for 20 yards (39-M.Fitzpatrick).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Steelers	Cowboys
Offensive plays	64	70
Total yards	355	364 (edge)
Yards per play	5.5 (edge)	5.2
Expected points added / play	0.02 (edge)	-0.13
Success rate	45% (edge)	41%
Dropback rate	73%	59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.25 (edge)	-0.17
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.59	-0.07 (edge)
Third downs	5/13	8/17 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	10 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	18	19 (edge)
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	2
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Cowboys outgained Steelers 364–355 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PIT

Ben RoethlisbergerQB

29/42, 306 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

10.9 expected points added · -2.5% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Garrett GilbertQB

21/38, 243 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-5.2 expected points added · -6.4% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

9 att, 57 yds, 0 TD

2.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

18 att, 51 yds, 0 TD

-4.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PIT

JuJu Smith-SchusterWR

6/7 for 93 yds, 1 TD

16% of team targets · 8.4 expected points added

Receiving · PIT

Diontae JohnsonWR

6/10 for 77 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · -0.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PIT	PIT 26	11	25	4:18	Punt
2	DAL	DAL 15	12	65	6:47	Turnover on downs
3	PIT	PIT 25	5	0	2:11	Punt
4	DAL	DAL 21	4	9	1:53	Punt
5	PIT	PIT 30	7	35	3:25	Turnover on downs
6	DAL	DAL 35	9	65	3:41	Touchdown
7	PIT	PIT 25	5	7	1:44	Punt
8	DAL	PIT 31	4	5	2:15	Turnover on downs
9	PIT	PIT 25	11	75	2:36	Touchdown
10	DAL	DAL 25	2	14	0:18	Fumble
11	PIT	DAL 39	4	3	0:52	Turnover on downs
12	DAL	DAL 23	12	50	4:43	Turnover on downs
13	PIT	PIT 25	5	6	1:38	Punt
14	DAL	DAL 25	12	53	6:26	Turnover on downs
15	PIT	PIT 25	8	80	2:22	Touchdown
16	DAL	PIT 36	7	31	3:06	Interception
17	PIT	PIT 1	11	55	4:34	Fumble
18	DAL	DAL 25	8	15	3:00	Punt
19	PIT	PIT 21	7	64	1:57	Touchdown
20	DAL	DAL 25	6	-1	0:37	Turnover on downs
21	PIT	DAL 24	4	5	0:59	Turnover on downs
22	DAL	DAL 19	7	58	0:38	End of game

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Steelers gained 80 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Pittsburgh Steelers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Ben Roethlisberger	29/42	306	3	0	0	10.9
Mason Rudolph	2/3	3	0	0	0	-1.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
James Conner	9	22	2.4	-4.1
Ben Roethlisberger	1	8	8.0	1.8
Anthony McFarland	3	7	2.3	0.1
Diontae Johnson	1	4	4.0	-0.1
Chase Claypool	1	4	4.0	-0.2
Benny Snell	3	1	0.3	-5.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
JuJu Smith-Schuster	6	7	93	1	16%	8.4
Diontae Johnson	6	10	77	0	22%	-0.4
Chase Claypool	8	13	69	0	29%	-1.2
Eric Ebron	3	6	22	1	13%	2.1
James Washington	1	2	17	1	4%	0.9
Ray-Ray McCloud	2	2	16	0	4%	1.2
Anthony McFarland	2	2	15	0	4%	0.9
Vance McDonald	1	1	2	0	2%	-0.5
James Conner	2	2	-2	0	4%	-1.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Vince Williams	6	2	0.0	0	0
Robert Spillane	6	0	0.0	0	0
Minkah Fitzpatrick	5	1	0.0	1	2
Joe Haden	4	1	0.0	0	0
Terrell Edmunds	3	2	0.0	0	0
Stephon Tuitt	4	0	0.0	0	0
Cameron Sutton	4	0	0.0	0	0
Cameron Heyward	2	1	0.5	0	0
Isaiah Buggs	3	0	0.0	0	0
Alex Highsmith	3	0	1.0	0	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Garrett Gilbert	21/38	243	1	1	2	-5.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Tony Pollard	9	57	6.3	2.3
Ezekiel Elliott	18	51	2.8	-4.5
Garrett Gilbert	3	28	9.3	1.6
Amari Cooper	1	8	8.0	0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
CeeDee Lamb	4	7	71	1	19%	-1.2
Amari Cooper	5	6	67	0	16%	2.3
Dalton Schultz	4	7	48	0	19%	2.0
Michael Gallup	3	7	36	0	19%	-0.0
Ezekiel Elliott	2	3	18	0	8%	0.5
Cedrick Wilson	1	3	6	0	8%	-3.9
Tony Pollard	1	2	1	0	5%	-1.0
Blake Bell	1	2	-4	0	5%	-2.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Jaylon Smith	6	1	1
Trevon Diggs	7	0	0
Xavier Woods	4	2	0
Leighton Vander Esch	3	3	0
Anthony Brown	5	0	0
Demarcus Lawrence	3	1	1
Randy Gregory	2	1	0
Donovan Wilson	3	0	0
Jourdan Lewis	1	1	0
Aldon Smith	2	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PIT -14
Closing total: 44
PIT moneyline: -789
DAL moneyline: +591

Steelers closed -14, won by 5 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 44; the game landed 43 — under by 1.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Tony Corrente
Rest: PIT 7 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches: Mike Tomlin vs Mike McCarthy