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2020 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15, 2020 · Gillette Stadium
17
23
New England Patriots 23–17. Biggest swing: Q2 1:10, NE +10% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(1:10) 16-J.Meyers pass deep right to 34-R.Burkhead for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN [95-D.Wolfe]. backwards pass from Newton to Meyers before TD pass
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Ravens | Patriots |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 64 | 56 |
| Total yards | 357 (edge) | 310 |
| Yards per play | 5.6 (edge) | 5.5 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.05 | 0.19 (edge) |
| Success rate | 55% (edge) | 52% |
| Dropback rate | 63% | 34% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.14 | 0.36 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.11 | 0.11 (edge) |
| Third downs | 6/13 (edge) | 5/11 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 8 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 | 21 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
Ravens outgained Patriots 357–310 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · BAL
24/34, 249 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
4.3 expected points added · +2.5% completion over expected
Passing · NE
13/17, 118 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
3.3 expected points added · +11.0% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | BAL 25 | 6 | 16 | 1:47 | Punt | |
| 2 | NE | NE 30 | 12 | 29 | 5:15 | Punt | |
| 3 | BAL | BAL 6 | 14 | 94 | 8:04 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | NE | NE 25 | 9 | 60 | 3:08 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | BAL | BAL 25 | 12 | 65 | 6:14 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | NE | NE 25 | 12 | 75 | 4:30 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | BAL | BAL 25 | 8 | 37 | 0:55 | Interception | |
| 8 | NE | NE 6 | 1 | 0 | 0:07 | End of half | |
| 9 | NE | NE 25 | 6 | 71 | 1:43 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | BAL | BAL 27 | 7 | 21 | 3:37 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | NE | BAL 37 | 7 | 28 | 3:16 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | BAL | BAL 25 | 13 | 75 | 6:16 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | NE | NE 25 | 5 | 3 | 1:54 | Punt | |
| 14 | BAL | BAL 26 | 4 | 8 | 1:49 | Punt | |
| 15 | NE | NE 4 | 9 | 24 | 4:16 | Punt | |
| 16 | BAL | BAL 20 | 7 | 29 | 2:49 | Punt | |
| 17 | NE | NE 18 | 8 | 20 | 3:15 | Punt | |
| 18 | BAL | BAL 17 | 4 | 12 | 1:03 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | NE | BAL 21 | 1 | 0 | 0:02 | End of game |
0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 94 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 24/34 | 249 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4.3 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 11 | 55 | 5.0 | 0 | 1.4 |
| Gus Edwards | 7 | 42 | 6.0 | 0 | 4.9 |
| J.K. Dobbins | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Mark Ingram | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Snead | 5 | 7 | 64 | 2 | 21% | 4.3 |
| Mark Andrews | 7 | 9 | 61 | 0 | 26% | 1.0 |
| Devin Duvernay | 3 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 9% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Queen | 4 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derek Wolfe | 3 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chuck Clark | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeShon Elliott |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Newton | 13/17 | 118 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3.3 |
| Jakobi Meyers | 1/1 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Ravens closed -7 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 44; the game landed 40 — under by 4.0.
Conditions and crew
| 3.3 |
| Gus Edwards | 1 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 3% | 2.3 |
| Mark Ingram | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 6% | 1.5 |
| Marquise Brown | 2 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 21% | -4.9 |
| Nick Boyle | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3% | -0.0 |
| Justice Hill | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| Patrick Ricard | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3% | 0.6 |
| J.K. Dobbins | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6% | -2.1 |
| 4 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Marlon Humphrey | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Judon | 3 | 0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Peters | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Justin Ellis | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaylon Ferguson | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nnamdi Madubuike | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Damien Harris | 22 | 121 | 5.5 | 0 | 1.3 |
| Rex Burkhead | 6 | 31 | 5.2 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Cam Newton | 11 | 21 | 1.9 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Meyers | 5 | 7 | 59 | 0 | 41% | 2.9 |
| Rex Burkhead | 4 | 5 | 35 | 2 | 29% | 2.5 |
| Jakob Johnson | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 12% | 2.6 |
| Ryan Izzo | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 6% | 1.7 |
| James White | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 12% | 0.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Dugger | 6 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Terez Hall | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chase Winovich | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adrian Phillips | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Jones | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Devin McCourty | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jason McCourty | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lawrence Guy | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| John Simon | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Adam Butler | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
