2020 Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15, 2020 · SoFi Stadium

Seattle Seahawks

Los Angeles RamsWinner

LA -3 ✓U 55 ✓DomeRams closed -3 and covered, winning by 7.

Los Angeles Rams 23–16. Biggest swing: Q2 2:58, SEA +13% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 2:58SEA — LA LA ball · 1st & 10LA 77%

(2:58) 16-J.Goff sacked at LA 26 for -7 yards (33-J.Adams). FUMBLES (33-J.Adams), RECOVERED by SEA-29-D.Reed at LA 27.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 2:58SEA +13% win prob(2:58) 16-J.Goff sacked at LA 26 for -7 yards (33-J.Adams). FUMBLES (33-J.Adams), RECOVERED by SEA-29-D.Reed at LA 27.
Q2 · 2:12SEA +13% win prob(2:12) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left intended for 89-W.Dissly INTERCEPTED by 31-D.Williams at LA -6. Touchback.
Q2 · 0:02LA +8% win prob(:02) 5-J.Myers 61 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Q1 · 4:32LA +8% win prob(4:32) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep left to 89-T.Higbee ran ob at SEA 32 for 39 yards (37-Q.Diggs).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Seahawks	Rams
Offensive plays	65	67
Total yards	333	391 (edge)
Yards per play	5.1	5.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.18	0.09 (edge)
Success rate	45%	49% (edge)
Dropback rate	77%	63%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.14	0.11 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.33	0.04 (edge)
Third downs	7/14	9/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7 (edge)	6
First downs gained on snaps	19	23 (edge)
Sacks taken	6	3 (edge)
Turnovers	3	1 (edge)

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.18.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

27/37, 302 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

5.3 expected points added · +3.7% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Russell WilsonQB

22/37, 248 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT

-7.3 expected points added · -2.4% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Russell WilsonQB

8 att, 60 yds, 0 TD

-4.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Alex CollinsRB

11 att, 43 yds, 1 TD

-0.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Josh ReynoldsWR

8/10 for 94 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 6.0 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Tyler LockettWR

5/9 for 66 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 2.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LA	LA 25	11	70	5:23	Turnover on downs
2	SEA	SEA 22	9	78	3:37	Touchdown
3	LA	LA 23	9	77	3:36	Touchdown
4	SEA	SEA 25	11	34	4:08	Punt
5	LA	LA 7	14	98	6:57	Touchdown
6	SEA	SEA 32	7	49	2:34	Turnover on downs
7	LA	LA 18	3	9	0:54	Fumble
8	SEA	LA 27	2	5	0:48	Interception
9	LA	LA 20	7	21	0:52	Punt
10	SEA	SEA 9	10	48	1:11	Turnover on downs
11	SEA	SEA 33	5	9	1:53	Punt
12	LA	LA 12	15	95	6:45	Touchdown
13	SEA	SEA 47	5	-15	1:50	Punt
14	LA	LA 26	7	8	3:02	Punt
15	SEA	SEA 25	7	28	2:55	Fumble
16	LA	50	4	5	1:23	Punt
17	SEA	SEA 10	8	52	4:24	Interception
18	LA	SEA 45	8	8	4:19	Punt
19	SEA	SEA 5	13	45	3:04	Turnover on downs
20	LA	SEA 46	3	0	0:25	End of game

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 98 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Russell Wilson	22/37	248	0	2	6	-7.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Russell Wilson	8	60	7.5	0	-4.3
Alex Collins	11	43	3.9	1	-0.4
DeeJay Dallas	2	8	4.0	0	0.4
David Moore	1	2	2.0	0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Lockett	5	9	66	26%	2.1
Freddie Swain	3	4	37	11%	2.0
Greg Olsen	2	4	33	11%	-1.4
DK Metcalf	2	4	28	11%	0.9
DeeJay Dallas	2	3	23	9%	0.3
Travis Homer	3	3	19	9%	-0.3
David Moore	2	3	16	9%	1.9
Will Dissly	1	2	16	6%	-4.3
Jacob Hollister	1	1	6	3%	1.4
Alex Collins	1	2	4	6%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
D.J. Reed	10	0	0.0	0
Jamal Adams	6	1	2.0	0
Tre Flowers	5	1	0.0	0
Jordyn Brooks	4	2	0.0	1
Bobby Wagner	6	0	0.0	1
Quandre Diggs	5	1	0.0	0
Poona Ford	2	3	1.0	0
K.J. Wright	3	1	0.0	0
Ugochukwu Amadi	3	0	0.0	0
L.J. Collier	1	1	0.0	0

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	27/37	302	0	0	3	5.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Cam Akers	10	38	3.8	0	-2.5
Malcolm Brown	6	33	5.5	2	2.9
Darrell Henderson	7	28	4.0	1	-0.8
Jared Goff	5	4	0.8	0	-0.5
Robert Woods	1	3	3.0	0	-0.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Josh Reynolds	8	10	94	28%	6.0
Tyler Higbee	3	6	60	17%	1.9
Cooper Kupp	5	7	50	19%	-1.1
Robert Woods	5	6	33	17%	0.1
Gerald Everett	2	3	27	8%	2.3
Malcolm Brown	2	2	18	6%	3.5
Van Jefferson	1	1	15	3%	1.1
Darrell Henderson	1	1	5	3%	-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Micah Kiser	10	2	0.0	0
John Johnson	8	0	0.0	0
Leonard Floyd	5	0	3.0	0
Troy Hill	3	1	0.0	0
Sebastian Joseph	3	0	0.0	1
Jordan Fuller	3	0	0.0	0
Samson Ebukam	1	1	0.0	0
Nick Scott	2	0	0.0	0
Terrell Lewis	2	0	2.0	0
Michael Brockers	2	0	1.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -3
Closing total: 55
SEA moneyline: +132
LA moneyline: -146

Rams closed -3 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 55; the game landed 39 — under by 16.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Clete Blakeman
Rest: SEA 7 days · LA 14 days
Coaches: Pete Carroll vs Sean McVay

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.