2020 Week 11 · Thu, Nov 19, 2020 · Lumen Field

Arizona Cardinals

Seattle SeahawksWinner

SEA -3 ✓U 56.5 ✓Seahawks closed -3 and covered, winning by 7.

Seattle Seahawks 28–21. Biggest swing: Q2 0:20, SEA +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 0:20ARI — SEA SEA ball · 1st & 10SEA 76%

(:20) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep left to 14-D.Metcalf (21-P.Peterson). PENALTY on ARI-21-P.Peterson, Defensive Pass Interference, 46 yards, enforced at SEA 45 - No Play. Penalty on ARI-20-D.Kirkpatrick, De

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 0:20SEA +11% win prob(:20) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass incomplete deep left to 14-D.Metcalf (21-P.Peterson). PENALTY on ARI-21-P.Peterson, Defensive Pass Interference, 46 yards, enforced at SEA 45 - No Play. Penalty on ARI-20-D.Kirkpatrick, Defensive Holding, declined.
Q3 · 10:11SEA +9% win prob(10:11) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 85-D.Arnold for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 9:23ARI +9% win prob(9:23) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short left. PENALTY on ARI-1-K.Murray, Intentional Grounding, 12 yards, enforced at ARI 14.
Q4 · 0:38ARI +9% win prob(:38) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray sacked at SEA 33 for -6 yards (43-C.Dunlap).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cardinals	Seahawks
Offensive plays	63	61
Total yards	314	348 (edge)
Yards per play	5.0	5.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.13	0.21 (edge)
Success rate	48%	57% (edge)
Dropback rate	75%	62%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.24	0.29 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.18	0.07 (edge)
Third downs	6/11	8/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	8 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	22 (edge)	20
Sacks taken	3	3
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.21 expected points added per play vs 0.13.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

29/42, 269 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

10.6 expected points added · +7.5% completion over expected

Passing · SEA

Russell WilsonQB

23/28, 197 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

10.0 expected points added · +17.6% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Carlos HydeRB

14 att, 79 yds, 1 TD

3.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Russell WilsonQB

10 att, 42 yds, 0 TD

-0.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

Tyler LockettWR

9/9 for 67 yds, 1 TD

33% of team targets · 8.2 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

Larry FitzgeraldWR

8/10 for 62 yds, 0 TD

26% of team targets · 1.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	SEA	SEA 25	14	75	6:15	Touchdown
2	ARI	ARI 25	5	3	0:39	Punt
3	SEA	SEA 23	4	-1	2:09	Punt
4	ARI	ARI 36	4	4	2:12	Punt
5	SEA	SEA 22	4	6	2:02	Punt
6	ARI	50	9	50	2:52	Touchdown
7	SEA	SEA 25	12	75	5:24	Touchdown
8	ARI	ARI 24	10	43	4:43	Punt
9	SEA	SEA 11	4	9	1:50	Punt
10	ARI	ARI 38	4	7	0:37	Punt
11	SEA	SEA 13	7	41	1:17	Turnover on downs
12	ARI	ARI 19	13	56	4:53	Touchdown
13	SEA	SEA 28	10	67	4:47	Touchdown
14	ARI	ARI 10	17	105	7:01	Touchdown
15	SEA	SEA 25	7	28	3:56	Punt
16	ARI	ARI 14	1	0	0:11	Turnover on downs
17	SEA	SEA 40	13	48	6:53	Turnover on downs
18	ARI	ARI 21	12	46	1:45	Turnover on downs
19	SEA	SEA 33	1	0	0:34	End of game

0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 105 scrimmage yards over 17 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kyler Murray	29/42	269	2	0	3	10.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kenyan Drake	11	29	2.6	1	-0.7
Kyler Murray	5	15	3.0	0	-1.6
Chase Edmonds	2	13	6.5	0	0.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Larry Fitzgerald	8	10	62	0	26%	1.5
DeAndre Hopkins	5	8	51	0	21%	4.2
Christian Kirk	4	6	50	0	15%	3.7
Chase Edmonds	4	4	36	1	10%	5.4
Kenyan Drake	4	5	31	0	13%	1.3
Maxx Williams	2	2	29	0	5%	2.1
Andy Isabella	1	2	6	0	5%	-0.8
Dan Arnold	1	2	4	1	5%	0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Isaiah Simmons	8	1	1.0
Dre Kirkpatrick	6	1	0.0
Jordan Hicks	4	2	0.0
Haason Reddick	3	2	0.0
Budda Baker	3	2	0.0
Patrick Peterson	3	2	0.0
Byron Murphy	4	0	0.0
Chris Banjo	2	2	0.0
Josh Mauro	2	2	0.0
Jalen Thompson	2	1	0.0

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Russell Wilson	23/28	197	2	0	3	10.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Carlos Hyde	14	79	5.6	1	3.1
Russell Wilson	10	42	4.2	0	-0.9
Bo Scarbrough	6	31	5.2	0	0.1
DeeJay Dallas	1	13	13.0	0	0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Lockett	9	9	67	1	33%	8.2
DK Metcalf	3	5	46	1	19%	2.5
Greg Olsen	2	2	20	0	7%	1.8
DeeJay Dallas	2	2	19	0	7%	1.8
Carlos Hyde	2	3	16	0	11%	1.4
Jacob Hollister	2	3	14	0	11%	0.1
Will Dissly	1	1	10	0	4%	0.9
David Moore	2	2	5	0	7%	-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
D.J. Reed	9	2	0.0	1
Bobby Wagner	6	3	0.0	0
Ugochukwu Amadi	4	1	0.0	0
K.J. Wright	3	2	0.0	0
Carlos Dunlap	2	2	2.0	0
Jamal Adams	1	2	0.0	0
Ryan Neal	1	2	0.0	0
Tre Flowers	3	0	0.0	0
Nick Bellore	2	1	0.0	0
Jarran Reed	0	2	0.0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -3
Closing total: 56.5
ARI moneyline: +147
SEA moneyline: -164

Seahawks closed -3 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 56.5; the game landed 49 — under by 7.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lumen Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 48°F, wind 11 mph
Referee: Tony Corrente
Rest: ARI 4 days · SEA 4 days
Coaches: Kliff Kingsbury vs Pete Carroll

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.