2020 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22, 2020 · FedExField

Cincinnati Bengals

Washington CommandersWinner

WAS -2 ✓U 48 ✓Commanders closed -2 and covered, winning by 11.

Washington Commanders 20–9. Biggest swing: Q2 0:26, CIN +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 0:26CIN — WAS WAS ball · 1st & 10CIN 56%

(:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle intended for 82-L.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Bates III (70-M.Hunt) at CIN 39. 30-J.Bates III to WAS 49 for 12 yards (17-T.McLaurin).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 0:26CIN +12% win prob(:26) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-A.Smith pass short middle intended for 82-L.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 30-J.Bates III (70-M.Hunt) at CIN 39. 30-J.Bates III to WAS 49 for 12 yards (17-T.McLaurin).
Q2 · 1:44WAS +11% win prob(1:44) 4-R.Bullock 53 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.
Q2 · 12:09CIN +11% win prob(12:09) (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow scrambles right end to WAS 1 for 2 yards (99-C.Young). FUMBLES (99-C.Young), RECOVERED by WAS-31-K.Curl at WAS -1. 31-K.Curl to WAS 1 for 2 yards (67-Q.Spain). FUMBLES (67-Q.Spain), recovered by WAS-23-R.Darby at WAS -1. 23-R.Darby tackled in End Zone, SAFETY NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on CIN-67-Q.Spain, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at WAS 3 - No Play. The Replay Official reviewed the loose ball recovery ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 9-J.Burrow scrambles right end to WAS 1 for 2 yards (99-C.Young). FUMBLES (99-C.Young), RECOVERED by WAS-23-R.Darby at WAS -1. Touchback. Penalty on CIN-67-Q.Spain, Offensive Holding, declined.
Q2 · 0:04CIN +9% win prob(:04) 4-R.Bullock 58 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bengals	Commanders
Offensive plays	66	58
Total yards	272	328 (edge)
Yards per play	4.1	5.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.18	-0.04 (edge)
Success rate	42%	43% (edge)
Dropback rate	76%	47%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.18	-0.13 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.21	0.04 (edge)
Third downs	3/13	4/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	16	19 (edge)
Sacks taken	4	2 (edge)
Turnovers	2	1 (edge)

Commanders won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.04 expected points added per play vs -0.18.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CIN

Joe BurrowQB

22/34, 203 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

6.8 expected points added · -0.8% completion over expected

Passing · WAS

Alex SmithQB

17/25, 166 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-3.5 expected points added · -0.2% completion over expected

Rushing · WAS

Antonio GibsonRB

16 att, 94 yds, 1 TD

1.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · WAS

J.D. McKissicRB

6 att, 43 yds, 0 TD

1.8 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CIN

Tyler BoydWR

9/11 for 85 yds, 0 TD

25% of team targets · 4.8 expected points added

Receiving · WAS

Terry McLaurinWR

5/7 for 84 yds, 0 TD

29% of team targets · 1.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	WAS	WAS 25	6	13	2:20	Punt
2	CIN	CIN 10	14	75	6:56	Turnover on downs
3	WAS	WAS 24	9	76	4:06	Touchdown
4	CIN	CIN 25	12	69	4:39	Fumble
5	WAS	WAS 20	4	3	0:58	Punt
6	CIN	CIN 32	8	53	3:29	Touchdown
7	WAS	WAS 25	5	9	2:04	Punt
8	CIN	CIN 24	9	41	3:49	Turnover on downs
9	WAS	WAS 27	6	24	1:21	Interception
10	CIN	WAS 49	4	9	0:18	Turnover on downs
11	CIN	CIN 25	5	0	0:54	Punt
12	WAS	WAS 35	4	8	1:44	Punt
13	CIN	CIN 2	4	8	0:57	Punt
14	WAS	WAS 45	6	55	2:27	Touchdown
15	CIN	CIN 25	5	0	1:55	Punt
16	WAS	WAS 37	6	28	2:16	Turnover on downs
17	CIN	CIN 25	8	13	2:39	Punt
18	WAS	WAS 3	14	79	7:24	Turnover on downs
19	CIN	CIN 25	5	-5	2:09	Punt
20	WAS	WAS 32	6	23	2:17	Punt
21	CIN	CIN 10	5	9	1:22	Turnover on downs
22	WAS	CIN 19	4	-1	1:59	Turnover on downs
23	CIN	CIN 28	1	0	0:07	Interception
24	WAS	CIN 46	4	11	1:50	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 79 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cincinnati Bengals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Joe Burrow	22/34	203	1	0	0	6.8
Ryan Finley	3/10	30	0	1	4	-14.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Ryan Finley	1	19	19.0	3.0
Samaje Perine	5	19	3.8	-0.9
Giovani Bernard	9	18	2.0	-2.9
Joe Burrow	2	12	6.0	-3.0
Alex Erickson	1	2	2.0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Boyd	9	11	85	0	25%	4.8
A.J. Green	4	9	41	1	20%	-1.1
Giovani Bernard	4	5	37	0	11%	2.1
Drew Sample	2	4	29	0	9%	1.8
Tee Higgins	3	10	26	0	23%	-7.2
Alex Erickson	1	1	8	0	2%	0.8
Auden Tate	1	2	5	0	5%	-1.5
Samaje Perine	1	2	2	0	5%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Vonn Bell	8	6	0.0	0	1
LeShaun Sims	1	5	0.0	0	0
Carl Lawson	3	2	1.0	0	0
Josh Bynes	3	2	0.0	0	0
Mackensie Alexander	2	3	0.0	0	0
Jessie Bates	3	1	0.0	1	1
Sam Hubbard	3	1	0.0	0	0
Germaine Pratt	2	2	0.0	0	0
Logan Wilson	3	1	0.0	0	0
William Jackson	2	1	0.0	0	2

Washington Commanders

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Alex Smith	17/25	166	1	1	2	-3.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Antonio Gibson	16	94	5.9	1	1.3
J.D. McKissic	6	43	7.2	0	1.8
Peyton Barber	8	28	3.5	0	-2.3
Logan Thomas	1	2	2.0	0	0.5
Alex Smith	3	-3	-1.0	0	-1.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Terry McLaurin	5	7	84	0	29%	1.9
J.D. McKissic	3	4	26	0	17%	0.6
Cam Sims	2	2	20	0	8%	1.6
Steven Sims	3	3	13	1	13%	1.2
Antonio Gibson	1	2	10	0	8%	-0.2
Isaiah Wright	1	1	7	0	4%	-0.8
Logan Thomas	2	5	6	0	21%	-3.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Kamren Curl	5	4	0.0	0	0
Kevin Pierre-Louis	4	2	0.0	0	0
Ronald Darby	5	1	0.0	0	4
Jon Bostic	3	0	0.0	0	0
Troy Apke	2	1	0.0	0	0
Montez Sweat	2	1	1.0	0	0
Ryan Kerrigan	3	0	1.0	0	0
Chase Young	2	1	0.0	0	1
Kendall Fuller	2	0	0.0	0	2
Fabian Moreau	2	0	0.0	1	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: WAS -2
Closing total: 48
CIN moneyline: +110
WAS moneyline: -121

Commanders closed -2 and covered, winning by 11.

Total closed 48; the game landed 29 — under by 19.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FedExField
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 57°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Shawn Smith
Rest: CIN 7 days · WAS 7 days
Coaches: Zac Taylor vs Ron Rivera