For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending.mdto eligible URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown.
2020 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22, 2020 · Empower Field at Mile High
13
20
Denver Broncos 20–13. Biggest swing: Q4 1:10, MIA +20% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(1:10) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass deep middle intended for 11-D.Parker INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Simmons at DEN -4. Touchback.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Dolphins | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 61 | 63 |
| Total yards | 223 | 459 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.7 | 7.3 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.16 | -0.04 (edge) |
| Success rate | 34% | 40% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 74% | 49% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.22 | 0.14 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.01 (edge) | -0.22 |
| Third downs | 7/16 (edge) | 4/12 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 10 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 17 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 6 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 2 |
Broncos won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.04 expected points added per play vs -0.16.
Who moved the needle
Passing · DEN
18/30, 270 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
1.5 expected points added · -2.7% completion over expected
Passing · MIA
12/18, 117 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
1.4 expected points added · -0.7% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA | MIA 25 | 5 | 4 | 1:08 | Punt | |
| 2 | DEN | DEN 20 | 3 | 0 | 0:49 | Interception | |
| 3 | MIA | DEN 22 | 6 | 17 | 2:55 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | DEN | DEN 25 | 5 | 1 | 1:02 | Punt | |
| 5 | MIA | MIA 26 | 4 | 4 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 6 | DEN | DEN 27 | 12 | 83 | 6:00 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | MIA | MIA 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 8 | DEN | DEN 28 | 4 | 9 | 1:44 | Punt | |
| 9 | MIA | MIA 17 | 4 | 0 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 10 | DEN | DEN 41 | 5 | 48 | 1:54 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | MIA | MIA 25 | 15 | 52 | 7:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | DEN | DEN 11 | 10 | 60 | 2:34 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | DEN | DEN 25 | 11 | 61 | 5:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | MIA | MIA 14 | 4 | 3 | 2:03 | Punt | |
| 15 | DEN | DEN 19 | 10 | 66 | 4:46 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | MIA | MIA 25 | 10 | 15 | 4:38 | Punt | |
| 17 | DEN | DEN 18 | 4 | 5 | 2:09 | Punt | |
| 18 | MIA | MIA 21 | 8 | 44 | 2:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | DEN | DEN 25 | 6 | 64 | 2:38 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 20 | MIA | MIA 1 | 13 | 79 | 4:10 | Interception | |
| 21 | DEN | DEN 20 | 4 | 62 | 1:03 | End of game |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Broncos gained 83 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 12/18 | 117 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.4 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | 11/20 | 83 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -9.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salvon Ahmed | 12 | 43 | 3.6 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Ryan Fitzpatrick | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Matt Breida | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Jakeem Grant | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeVante Parker | 6 | 9 | 61 | 1 | 24% | 2.2 |
| Mike Gesicki | 4 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 14% | 2.9 |
| Salvon Ahmed | 5 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 16% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Rowe | 7 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavien Howard | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Bobby McCain | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elandon Roberts |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Lock | 18/30 | 270 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Gordon | 15 | 84 | 5.6 | 2 |
Closing number vs result
Dolphins closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 46; the game landed 33 — under by 13.0.
Conditions and crew
| -1.6 |
| Malcolm Perry | 3 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 14% | 0.6 |
| Antonio Callaway | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 3% | 2.1 |
| Jakeem Grant | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 16% | -3.3 |
| Mack Hollins | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 5% | -0.6 |
| Patrick Laird | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 5% | -1.6 |
| Durham Smythe | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Kyle Van Noy | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nik Needham | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Byron Jones | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Clayton Fejedelem | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Ogbah | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Zach Sieler | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -7.4 |
| Phillip Lindsay | 16 | 82 | 5.1 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Drew Lock | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | 0 | 3.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Patrick | 5 | 8 | 119 | 0 | 27% | -1.9 |
| Noah Fant | 4 | 5 | 55 | 0 | 17% | 1.7 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 3 | 8 | 37 | 0 | 27% | -2.4 |
| K.J. Hamler | 4 | 6 | 35 | 0 | 20% | 2.4 |
| Nick Vannett | 2 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 7% | 2.4 |
| Troy Fumagalli | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.7 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Simmons | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Alexander Johnson | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Malik Reed | 4 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Bradley Chubb | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bryce Callahan | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeShawn Williams | 3 | 0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josey Jewell | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Essang Bassey | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kareem Jackson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sylvester Williams | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
