2020 Week 11 · Sun, Nov 22, 2020 · FirstEnergy Stadium

Philadelphia Eagles

Cleveland BrownsWinner

CLE -2.5 ✓U 45.5 ✓Browns closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 5.

Cleveland Browns 22–17. Biggest swing: Q2 13:47, PHI +22% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 13:47PHI — CLE PHI ball · 2nd & 7PHI 52%

(13:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left intended for 26-M.Sanders INTERCEPTED by 44-S.Takitaki [21-D.Ward] at 50. 44-S.Takitaki for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 13:47PHI +22% win prob(13:47) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short left intended for 26-M.Sanders INTERCEPTED by 44-S.Takitaki [21-D.Ward] at 50. 44-S.Takitaki for 50 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 13:04CLE +14% win prob(13:04) 11-C.Wentz pass deep right to 85-R.Rodgers to CLE 26 for 29 yards (29-S.Redwine).
Q1 · 8:08PHI +13% win prob(8:08) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders right guard to CLE 4 for 1 yard (69-C.Malveaux). FUMBLES (69-C.Malveaux), RECOVERED by CLE-42-K.Joseph at CLE 4.
Q3 · 11:59CLE +12% win prob(11:59) 11-C.Wentz pass deep right to 85-R.Rodgers for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Browns
Offensive plays	65	63
Total yards	315	325 (edge)
Yards per play	4.8	5.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.24	-0.18 (edge)
Success rate	42% (edge)	33%
Dropback rate	62%	38%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.24	0.00 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.24 (edge)	-0.30
Third downs	2/12	4/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6	6
First downs gained on snaps	17 (edge)	16
Sacks taken	5	3 (edge)
Turnovers	3	1 (edge)

Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.18 expected points added per play vs -0.24.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Carson WentzQB

21/35, 235 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

-9.6 expected points added · +0.8% completion over expected

Passing · CLE

Baker MayfieldQB

12/22, 204 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

0.1 expected points added · +7.8% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Nick ChubbRB

20 att, 114 yds, 0 TD

-1.6 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

16 att, 66 yds, 0 TD

-6.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · PHI

Dallas GoedertTE

5/6 for 77 yds, 1 TD

18% of team targets · 6.0 expected points added

Receiving · CLE

KhaDarel HodgeWR

3/5 for 73 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 3.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CLE	CLE 25	5	1	1:10	Punt
2	PHI	PHI 25	10	71	5:54	Fumble
3	CLE	CLE 4	13	82	6:47	Turnover on downs
4	PHI	PHI 1	5	53	2:34	Defensive touchdown
5	PHI	PHI 25	7	16	3:48	Punt
6	CLE	CLE 11	6	22	2:54	Punt
7	PHI	PHI 20	8	33	4:21	Punt
8	CLE	CLE 20	4	3	1:34	Punt
9	PHI	PHI 38	4	2	0:28	Punt
10	CLE	CLE 20	5	15	0:30	Turnover on downs
11	PHI	PHI 25	5	5	2:16	Punt
12	CLE	CLE 28	2	-8	0:45	Fumble
13	PHI	CLE 19	2	19	0:06	Touchdown
14	CLE	CLE 25	6	47	2:54	Turnover on downs
15	PHI	PHI 25	5	1	1:04	Punt
16	CLE	CLE 42	7	10	3:18	Punt
17	PHI	PHI 2	3	-2	1:26	Turnover on downs
18	CLE	PHI 48	9	25	4:17	Turnover on downs
19	PHI	PHI 37	7	38	2:30	Turnover on downs
20	CLE	CLE 21	6	79	2:11	Touchdown
21	PHI	PHI 25	5	0	0:52	Punt
22	CLE	CLE 47	10	48	4:32	Turnover on downs
23	PHI	PHI 25	9	32	1:48	Interception
24	CLE	CLE 3	4	1	0:22	Punt
25	PHI	CLE 47	9	47	1:09	Touchdown
26	CLE	PHI 46	2	0	0:30	End of game

0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 82 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	21/35	235	2	2	5	-9.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Miles Sanders	16	66	4.1	-6.6
Boston Scott	5	24	4.8	1.5
Carson Wentz	3	10	3.3	-0.9
Jalen Hurts	1	6	6.0	0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Dallas Goedert	5	6	77	1	18%	6.0
Jalen Reagor	4	5	52	0	15%	6.5
Richard Rodgers	2	2	48	1	6%	4.9
Boston Scott	3	3	26	0	9%	1.2
Miles Sanders	3	5	15	0	15%	-9.5
Greg Ward	3	4	9	0	12%	-1.5
Travis Fulgham	1	7	8	0	21%	-4.1
Alshon Jeffery	0	2	0	0	6%	-6.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Alex Singleton	7	4	1.0
Javon Hargrave	3	4	0.0
Josh Sweat	4	1	1.0
T.J. Edwards	4	1	0.0
Brandon Graham	3	2	0.0
Jalen Mills	4	0	0.0
Duke Riley	2	2	0.0
Rodney McLeod	2	2	0.0
Cre'von LeBlanc	3	0	0.0
Davion Taylor	3	0	0.0

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Baker Mayfield	12/22	204	0	0	3	0.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Nick Chubb	20	114	5.7	0	-1.6
Kareem Hunt	13	11	0.8	1	-9.1
Baker Mayfield	6	9	1.5	0	-3.1
Jarvis Landry	1	3	3.0	0	0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
KhaDarel Hodge	3	5	73	28%	3.5
Rashard Higgins	3	4	65	22%	3.9
Austin Hooper	3	5	33	28%	0.2
Jarvis Landry	2	2	23	11%	2.7
Kareem Hunt	1	1	10	6%	-0.0
David Njoku	0	1	0	6%	-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Andrew Sendejo	4	1	0.0	0	0
Olivier Vernon	4	1	3.0	0	1
Mack Wilson	3	1	0.0	0	0
Malcolm Smith	4	0	0.0	0	0
Sheldon Richardson	3	1	0.0	0	0
Terrance Mitchell	4	0	0.0	0	2
Karl Joseph	3	0	0.0	0	0
Larry Ogunjobi	0	3	0.5	0	0
Denzel Ward	3	0	0.0	1	4
Porter Gustin	1	2	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CLE -2.5
Closing total: 45.5
PHI moneyline: +122
CLE moneyline: -135

Browns closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 39 — under by 6.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 38°F, wind 8 mph
Referee: Adrian Hill
Rest: PHI 7 days · CLE 7 days
Coaches: Doug Pederson vs Kevin Stefanski