2020 Week 12 · Mon, Nov 30, 2020 · Lincoln Financial Field

Seattle SeahawksWinner

Philadelphia Eagles

SEA -6.5 no coverU 50 ✓16 mph windSeahawks closed -6.5, won by 6 — but didn't cover.

Seattle Seahawks 23–17. Biggest swing: Q2 12:17, PHI +12% win probability on one snap. Played in 16 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 12:17SEA — PHI SEA ball · 3rd & 13SEA 69%

(12:17) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 14-D.Metcalf to PHI 1 for 52 yards (24-D.Slay) [55-B.Graham].

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 12:17PHI +12% win prob(12:17) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 14-D.Metcalf to PHI 1 for 52 yards (24-D.Slay) [55-B.Graham].
Q1 · 7:01SEA +11% win prob(7:01) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 83-D.Moore to PHI 7 for -5 yards (96-D.Barnett, 93-J.Hargrave).
Q1 · 1:59PHI +7% win prob(1:59) 1-C.Johnston punts 63 yards to SEA 10, Center-45-R.Lovato. 83-D.Moore to SEA 16 for 6 yards (38-M.Jacquet; 22-M.Epps).
Q2 · 13:49PHI +7% win prob(13:49) 1-C.Johnston punts 57 yards to SEA 20, Center-45-R.Lovato. 29-D.Reed to SEA 32 for 12 yards (22-M.Epps).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Seahawks	Eagles
Offensive plays	61	66
Total yards	303 (edge)	252
Yards per play	5.0 (edge)	3.8
Expected points added / play	-0.06 (edge)	-0.16
Success rate	43% (edge)	36%
Dropback rate	57%	82%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.04 (edge)	-0.22
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.09	0.09 (edge)
Third downs	2/10	8/17 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	4
First downs gained on snaps	15	16 (edge)
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	6
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.06 expected points added per play vs -0.16.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Russell WilsonQB

22/31, 230 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-1.1 expected points added · +9.1% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Carson WentzQB

25/45, 215 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-13.2 expected points added · -3.9% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Carson WentzQB

5 att, 42 yds, 0 TD

3.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Chris CarsonRB

8 att, 41 yds, 1 TD

5.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

DK MetcalfWR

10/13 for 177 yds, 0 TD

43% of team targets · 12.9 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

Dallas GoedertTE

7/10 for 75 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 3.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 19	5	0	0:29	Punt
2	SEA	SEA 35	14	52	7:34	Turnover on downs
3	PHI	PHI 7	4	1	1:38	Punt
4	SEA	PHI 45	4	7	1:40	Turnover on downs
5	PHI	PHI 38	4	-6	1:53	Punt
6	SEA	SEA 16	4	12	1:31	Punt
7	PHI	PHI 27	4	1	1:38	Punt
8	SEA	SEA 32	7	68	2:41	Touchdown
9	PHI	PHI 20	5	8	1:31	Punt
10	SEA	SEA 34	8	56	3:58	Touchdown
11	PHI	PHI 25	17	70	5:15	Touchdown
12	SEA	SEA 25	2	0	0:12	End of half
13	SEA	SEA 25	5	3	1:38	Punt
14	PHI	PHI 28	12	48	5:49	Turnover on downs
15	SEA	SEA 22	10	52	5:27	Turnover on downs
16	PHI	PHI 25	8	23	3:36	Turnover on downs
17	SEA	PHI 48	7	43	2:22	Turnover on downs
18	PHI	PHI 23	8	24	2:33	Interception
19	SEA	SEA 20	8	7	4:41	Punt
20	PHI	PHI 12	7	23	1:40	Turnover on downs
21	SEA	PHI 24	4	3	1:01	Turnover on downs
22	PHI	PHI 42	6	60	1:01	Touchdown
23	SEA	SEA 49	2	0	0:12	End of game

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 70 scrimmage yards over 17 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Russell Wilson	22/31	230	1	0	2	-1.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Chris Carson	8	41	5.1	1	5.1
Carlos Hyde	15	22	1.5	0	-7.2
Russell Wilson	6	12	2.0	0	-1.2
David Moore	1	1	1.0	0	0.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DK Metcalf	10	13	177	0	43%	12.9
Tyler Lockett	3	4	23	0	13%	-0.8
Chris Carson	2	2	18	0	7%	0.7
Jacob Hollister	2	5	11	0	17%	-1.9
Carlos Hyde	2	3	7	0	10%	-2.4
David Moore	3	3	-6	1	10%	-3.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jamal Adams	7	1	1.0	0	0
Jordyn Brooks	4	1	0.0	0	1
K.J. Wright	4	1	1.0	0	1
Shaquill Griffin	3	1	0.0	0	1
Poona Ford	2	2	1.0	0	0
Tre Flowers	4	0	0.0	0	0
Bobby Wagner	3	1	0.0	0	1
Quandre Diggs	3	0	0.0	1	1
Jarran Reed	2	1	0.5	0	0
L.J. Collier	2	1	0.0	0	0

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Carson Wentz	25/45	215	2	1	6	-13.2
Jalen Hurts	1/1	6	0	0	0	0.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Carson Wentz	5	42	8.4	3.3
Miles Sanders	6	15	2.5	-1.3
Boston Scott	2	7	3.5	-0.0
Corey Clement	1	6	6.0	0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Dallas Goedert	7	10	75	1	24%	3.6
Richard Rodgers	3	6	53	1	14%	1.2
Boston Scott	5	6	40	0	14%	0.1
Travis Fulgham	2	2	16	0	5%	-0.1
Alshon Jeffery	2	4	15	0	10%	-0.1
Jalen Reagor	3	7	11	0	17%	-5.6
Miles Sanders	2	3	7	0	7%	-0.0
Greg Ward	1	3	3	0	7%	-1.6
John Hightower	1	1	1	0	2%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Darius Slay	8	1	0.0
T.J. Edwards	6	1	0.0
Jalen Mills	4	2	0.0
Fletcher Cox	4	1	1.0
Alex Singleton	3	2	0.0
Duke Riley	3	1	0.0
Rodney McLeod	3	1	0.0
Marcus Epps	2	1	0.0
Brandon Graham	2	1	0.0
Nickell Robey	3	0	0.0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -6.5
Closing total: 50
SEA moneyline: -274
PHI moneyline: +237

Seahawks closed -6.5, won by 6 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 50; the game landed 40 — under by 10.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 60°F, wind 16 mph
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: SEA 11 days · PHI 8 days
Coaches: Pete Carroll vs Doug Pederson

Wind at 16 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.