2020 Week 13 · Tue, Dec 8, 2020 · M&T Bank Stadium

Dallas Cowboys

Baltimore RavensWinner

BAL -8.5 ✓O 46 ✓Ravens closed -8.5 and covered, winning by 17.

Baltimore Ravens 34–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 8:20, DAL +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 8:20DAL — BAL DAL ball · 1st & 10BAL 59%

(8:20) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle intended for 19-A.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 48-P.Queen (98-B.Williams) at DAL 38. 48-P.Queen to DAL 38 for no gain (73-J.Looney).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 8:20DAL +16% win prob(8:20) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle intended for 19-A.Cooper INTERCEPTED by 48-P.Queen (98-B.Williams) at DAL 38. 48-P.Queen to DAL 38 for no gain (73-J.Looney).
Q1 · 0:32BAL +13% win prob(:32) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson up the middle for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 8:57DAL +10% win prob(8:57) 9-J.Tucker 36 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.
Q1 · 7:11DAL +9% win prob(7:11) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 15-M.Brown INTERCEPTED by 23-D.Thompson at BAL 37. 23-D.Thompson to BAL 34 for 3 yards (43-J.Hill).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cowboys	Ravens
Offensive plays	77	54
Total yards	388	401 (edge)
Yards per play	5.0	7.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.03	0.27 (edge)
Success rate	40%	52% (edge)
Dropback rate	64%	41%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.16 (edge)	0.05
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.20	0.43 (edge)
Third downs	6/15	5/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6	10 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	28 (edge)	18
Sacks taken	1	0 (edge)
Turnovers	1	1

Ravens won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.27 expected points added per play vs 0.03.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Andy DaltonQB

31/48, 285 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

8.1 expected points added · +5.5% completion over expected

Passing · BAL

Lamar JacksonQB

12/17, 107 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-4.6 expected points added · +1.5% completion over expected

Rushing · BAL

Gus EdwardsRB

7 att, 101 yds, 0 TD

6.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · BAL

Lamar JacksonQB

13 att, 94 yds, 1 TD

9.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

Michael GallupWR

7/11 for 86 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 4.4 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

6/9 for 46 yds, 0 TD

20% of team targets · 2.2 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 19	10	28	5:03	Punt
2	BAL	BAL 16	5	17	2:54	Interception
3	DAL	BAL 34	6	21	2:42	Turnover on downs
4	BAL	BAL 25	9	83	3:56	Touchdown
5	DAL	BAL 28	5	28	1:06	Touchdown
6	BAL	BAL 25	10	62	5:26	Turnover on downs
7	DAL	DAL 26	2	11	0:38	Interception
8	BAL	DAL 38	2	38	0:07	Touchdown
9	DAL	DAL 25	13	58	6:06	Turnover on downs
10	BAL	BAL 30	6	35	1:16	Turnover on downs
11	DAL	DAL 10	8	40	0:46	Turnover on downs
12	BAL	BAL 32	5	6	1:38	Punt
13	DAL	DAL 38	9	27	4:15	Turnover on downs
14	BAL	BAL 43	10	62	4:27	Touchdown
15	DAL	DAL 22	13	44	5:26	Turnover on downs
16	BAL	BAL 42	11	54	5:59	Turnover on downs
17	DAL	DAL 25	14	72	4:16	Touchdown
18	BAL	DAL 44	8	44	1:51	Touchdown
19	DAL	DAL 25	11	59	2:08	End of game

0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 83 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Andy Dalton	31/48	285	2	1	1	8.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	18	77	4.3	-2.8
Tony Pollard	8	22	2.8	-5.8
Amari Cooper	1	10	10.0	0.7
Andy Dalton	1	2	2.0	2.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Michael Gallup	7	11	86	1	24%	4.4
CeeDee Lamb	6	9	46	0	20%	2.2
Dalton Schultz	4	4	44	0	9%	1.5
Amari Cooper	5	9	43	1	20%	-0.6
Noah Brown	3	4	40	0	9%	4.6
Ezekiel Elliott	4	6	18	0	13%	0.7
Tony Pollard	1	1	6	0	2%	-0.7
Blake Bell	1	1	2	0	2%	-0.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Jaylon Smith	7	5	0	0
Darian Thompson	5	2	1	1
Chidobe Awuzie	4	1	0	0
Jourdan Lewis	5	0	0	0
Leighton Vander Esch	2	2	0	0
Neville Gallimore	2	2	0	0
Xavier Woods	2	1	0	0
Dorance Armstrong	2	1	0	0
Rashard Robinson	1	2	0	0
Justin Hamilton	2	0	0	0

Baltimore Ravens

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Lamar Jackson	12/17	107	2	1	0	-4.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Gus Edwards	7	101	14.4	0	6.3
Lamar Jackson	13	94	7.2	1	9.1
J.K. Dobbins	11	71	6.5	1	3.0
Mark Ingram	6	28	4.7	0	1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Marquise Brown	5	8	39	1	47%	-4.1
Miles Boykin	1	3	38	1	18%	0.6
Luke Willson	1	1	12	0	6%	0.1
Patrick Ricard	2	2	11	0	12%	0.7
Justice Hill	1	1	4	0	6%	-0.8
Devin Duvernay	1	1	2	0	6%	-0.6
Mark Ingram	1	1	1	0	6%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Derek Wolfe	2	7	0	0
DeShon Elliott	7	0	0	0
Anthony Averett	5	1	0	1
Marcus Peters	5	0	0	0
Chuck Clark	1	4	0	0
Pernell McPhee	4	1	0	0
Patrick Queen	3	2	1	1
Marlon Humphrey	4	0	0	0
Tyus Bowser	1	3	0	0
L.J. Fort	1	3	0	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BAL -8.5
Closing total: 46
DAL moneyline: +326
BAL moneyline: -390

Ravens closed -8.5 and covered, winning by 17.

Total closed 46; the game landed 51 — over by 5.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 38°F, wind 9 mph
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: DAL 12 days · BAL 6 days
Coaches: Mike McCarthy vs John Harbaugh