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2020 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 6, 2020 · U.S. Bank Stadium
24
27
Minnesota Vikings 27–24 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:18, JAX +30% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:18) 5-D.Bailey 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-2-B.Colquitt.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Jaguars | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 69 | 85 |
| Total yards | 392 | 420 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.7 (edge) | 4.9 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.09 (edge) | -0.12 |
| Success rate | 48% (edge) | 45% |
| Dropback rate | 68% | 56% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.15 | -0.03 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.03 (edge) | -0.23 |
| Third downs | 4/13 | 7/16 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 | 8 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 | 27 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 5 | 2 (edge) |
Who moved the needle
Passing · MIN
28/43, 305 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
-1.7 expected points added · +0.8% completion over expected
Passing · JAX
28/42, 280 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
2.6 expected points added · -1.3% completion over expected
Receiving · MIN
9/12 for 121 yds, 1 TD
30% of team targets · 4.6 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | JAX 25 | 7 | 75 | 2:27 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | MIN | MIN 21 | 5 | 7 | 1:22 | Punt | |
| 3 | JAX | JAX 30 | 10 | 66 | 5:07 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | MIN | MIN 25 | 7 | 5 | 3:08 | Punt | |
| 5 | JAX | JAX 11 | 5 | 21 | 2:34 | Punt | |
| 6 | MIN | MIN 21 | 4 | 8 | 1:16 | Punt | |
| 7 | JAX | JAX 25 | 11 | 59 | 6:26 | Interception | |
| 8 | MIN | MIN 22 | 11 | 78 | 4:50 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | JAX | JAX 25 | 5 | 9 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 10 | MIN | MIN 26 | 6 | 6 | 0:56 | Punt | |
| 11 | JAX | JAX 23 | 4 | 9 | 0:31 | Punt | |
| 12 | MIN | MIN 21 | 3 | 11 | 0:18 | End of half | |
| 13 | MIN | MIN 40 | 2 | 0 | 0:10 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 14 | MIN | MIN 25 | 10 | 85 | 3:42 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | JAX | JAX 25 | 9 | 15 | 3:51 | Punt | |
| 16 | MIN | MIN 10 | 9 | 57 | 3:50 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | JAX | JAX 25 | 4 | 7 | 1:03 | Fumble | |
| 18 | MIN | JAX 34 | 6 | 33 | 2:29 | Fumble | |
| 19 | JAX | JAX 2 | 3 | -2 | 0:44 | Fumble | |
| 20 | MIN | MIN 38 | 8 | 22 | 3:39 | Punt | |
| 21 | JAX | JAX 20 | 4 | 8 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 22 | MIN | MIN 34 | 4 | -1 | 2:01 | Punt | |
| 23 | JAX | JAX 18 | 3 | 26 | 1:32 | Fumble | |
| 24 | MIN | JAX 44 | 5 | 14 | 1:39 | Turnover on downs | |
| 25 | JAX | JAX 25 | 12 | 82 | 2:42 | Touchdown | |
| 26 | MIN | MIN 25 | 9 | 42 | 0:55 | Turnover on downs | |
| 27 | JAX | JAX 41 | 3 | 15 | 0:13 | Turnover on downs | |
| 28 | MIN | MIN 24 | 5 | 3 | 1:54 | Punt | |
| 29 | JAX | JAX 18 | 3 | 2 | 0:53 | Interception | |
| 30 | MIN | JAX 46 | 11 | 50 | 5:24 | Turnover on downs |
0 of 30 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 85 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Glennon | 28/42 | 280 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Robinson | 18 | 78 | 4.3 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Laviska Shenault Jr. | 2 | 30 | 15.0 | 0 | 2.3 |
| Mike Glennon | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 0 | -4.5 |
| Dare Ogunbowale | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Johnson | 4 | 6 | 66 | 0 | 15% | 3.9 |
| Tyler Eifert | 6 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 15% | 5.2 |
| D.J. Chark | 2 | 7 | 41 | 0 | 17% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Schobert | 5 | 7 | 1.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Myles Jack | 6 | 5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Jones | 7 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre Herndon |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk Cousins | 28/43 | 305 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalvin Cook | 32 | 120 | 3.8 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Vikings closed -10.5, won by 3 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 51 and landed exactly there — a push.
Conditions and crew
| -3.0 |
| James O'Shaughnessy | 4 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 15% | 1.2 |
| Laviska Shenault Jr. | 3 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 7% | 2.7 |
| James Robinson | 6 | 6 | 30 | 0 | 15% | 1.4 |
| Chris Conley | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 5% | -3.9 |
| Keelan Cole | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 5% | -1.3 |
| Dare Ogunbowale | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5% | -1.3 |
| Eric Saubert | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2% | -5.0 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| Joe Giles-Harris | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Doug Costin | 1 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Luq Barcoo | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jarrod Wilson | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dawuane Smoot | 3 | 1 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josiah Scott | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -1.8 |
| Kirk Cousins | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Justin Jefferson | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | 9 | 12 | 121 | 1 | 30% | 4.6 |
| Adam Thielen | 8 | 11 | 75 | 1 | 28% | 6.7 |
| Dalvin Cook | 6 | 9 | 59 | 0 | 23% | -7.4 |
| Ameer Abdullah | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 3% | 0.7 |
| C.J. Ham | 1 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 3% | 1.5 |
| Tyler Conklin | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3% | 0.9 |
| Chad Beebe | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 8% | 0.0 |
| Kyle Rudolph | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5% | -1.2 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Davis | 3 | 8 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eric Wilson | 4 | 7 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Kris Boyd | 2 | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrison Smith | 4 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 |
| Anthony Harris | 2 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jeff Gladney | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Dantzler | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Troy Dye | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eddie Yarbrough | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hercules Mata'afa | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
