2020 Week 13 · Sun, Dec 6, 2020 · Lambeau Field

Philadelphia Eagles

Green Bay PackersWinner

GB -8 ✓U 50 ✓Packers closed -8 and covered, winning by 14.

Green Bay Packers 30–16. Biggest swing: Q2 8:33, GB +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 8:33PHI — GB GB ball · 4th & 1GB 75%

(8:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 8:33GB +6% win prob(8:33) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 17-D.Adams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 2:02PHI +6% win prob(2:02) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz sacked at GB 41 for -8 yards (96-K.Keke).
Q2 · 1:05GB +6% win prob(1:05) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep right to 85-R.Tonyan for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 6:48PHI +6% win prob(6:48) 6-J.Scott punts 52 yards to PHI 27, Center-43-H.Bradley. 18-J.Reagor MUFFS catch, and recovers at PHI 27. 18-J.Reagor for 73 yards, TOUCHDOWN. GB-24-R.Greene was injured during the play.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Packers
Offensive plays	59	58
Total yards	278	440 (edge)
Yards per play	4.7	7.6 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.10	0.32 (edge)
Success rate	36%	48% (edge)
Dropback rate	69%	62%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.11	0.43 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.10	0.13 (edge)
Third downs	4/13	5/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	7
First downs gained on snaps	15	20 (edge)
Sacks taken	7	2 (edge)
Turnovers	1	0 (edge)

Packers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.32 expected points added per play vs -0.10.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · GB

Aaron RodgersQB

25/34, 295 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

15.4 expected points added · +15.5% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

5/12, 109 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

2.2 expected points added · -15.6% completion over expected

Rushing · GB

Aaron JonesRB

15 att, 130 yds, 1 TD

6.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

10 att, 31 yds, 0 TD

-2.2 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · GB

Davante AdamsWR

10/12 for 121 yds, 2 TD

38% of team targets · 11.0 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

Dallas GoedertTE

5/7 for 66 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 3.3 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 25	16	46	7:07	Turnover on downs
2	GB	GB 25	5	2	2:12	Punt
3	PHI	PHI 38	7	21	4:30	Punt
4	GB	GB 12	15	88	7:42	Touchdown
5	PHI	PHI 10	7	4	3:46	Punt
6	GB	GB 18	8	82	3:46	Touchdown
7	PHI	PHI 25	7	19	0:57	End of half
8	GB	GB 33	5	3	1:11	Punt
9	PHI	PHI 10	5	37	1:49	Punt
10	GB	GB 1	8	99	4:21	Touchdown
11	PHI	PHI 25	8	44	4:04	Punt
12	GB	GB 6	14	72	7:16	Turnover on downs
13	PHI	PHI 27	11	83	3:27	Touchdown
14	GB	GB 23	5	3	1:22	Defensive touchdown
15	GB	GB 22	5	0	1:41	Punt
16	PHI	PHI 31	6	7	1:52	Punt
17	GB	GB 20	3	80	0:21	Touchdown
18	PHI	50	5	17	0:49	Interception
19	GB	GB 34	6	11	1:47	End of game

0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 99 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	5/12	109	1	1	3	2.2
Carson Wentz	6/15	79	0	0	4	-6.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Miles Sanders	10	31	3.1	-2.2
Jalen Hurts	5	29	5.8	-0.4
Jordan Howard	4	19	4.8	-0.2
Carson Wentz	3	18	6.0	0.5
Jalen Reagor	1	11	11.0	0.8
Boston Scott	2	9	4.5	-0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Dallas Goedert	5	7	66	0	28%	3.3
Greg Ward	3	5	57	1	20%	2.5
Jalen Reagor	1	1	34	0	4%	3.3
Zach Ertz	2	4	31	0	16%	1.5
Miles Sanders	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.2
Boston Scott	0	2	0	0	8%	-1.7
Travis Fulgham	0	2	0	0	8%	-1.0
John Hightower	0	2	0	0	8%	-1.6
Alshon Jeffery	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Alex Singleton	6	4	0.0	0
Avonte Maddox	4	1	0.0	1
Jalen Mills	3	1	0.0	0
T.J. Edwards	2	2	1.0	0
Rodney McLeod	3	1	0.0	0
Fletcher Cox	1	3	0.0	0
Raequan Williams	2	1	0.0	0
K'Von Wallace	2	1	0.0	0
Javon Hargrave	1	1	1.0	0
Duke Riley	1	1	0.0	0

Green Bay Packers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Aaron Rodgers	25/34	295	3	0	2	15.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Aaron Jones	15	130	8.7	1	6.3
Jamaal Williams	5	26	5.2	0	-0.7
Aaron Rodgers	4	-3	-0.8	0	-1.5
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	1	-4	-4.0	0	-1.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Davante Adams	10	12	121	2	38%	11.0
Allen Lazard	3	4	50	0	13%	3.8
Robert Tonyan	4	5	39	1	16%	2.1
Marcedes Lewis	1	1	36	0	3%	2.7
Aaron Jones	3	3	18	0	9%	-0.1
Malik Taylor	1	1	14	0	3%	1.3
Jamaal Williams	2	2	10	0	6%	-0.3
Equanimeous St. Brown	1	2	7	0	6%	-0.5
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	0	2	0	0	6%	-1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Christian Kirksey	5	2	0.0	0	1
Kevin King	5	0	0.0	0	0
Preston Smith	3	2	0.5	0	1
Dean Lowry	1	4	1.0	0	0
Rashan Gary	2	2	1.5	0	0
Kingsley Keke	3	1	2.0	0	0
Adrian Amos	4	0	0.0	0	0
Za'Darius Smith	2	1	1.5	0	0
Raven Greene	1	1	0.5	0	0
Darnell Savage	2	0	0.0	1	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: GB -8
Closing total: 50
PHI moneyline: +328
GB moneyline: -393

Packers closed -8 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 50; the game landed 46 — under by 4.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lambeau Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 34°F, wind 9 mph
Referee: Bill Vinovich
Rest: PHI 6 days · GB 7 days
Coaches: Doug Pederson vs Matt LaFleur