2020 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13, 2020 · MetLife Stadium

Arizona CardinalsWinner

New York Giants

ARI -3 ✓U 47 ✓15 mph windCardinals closed -3 and covered, winning by 19.

Arizona Cardinals 26–7 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 13:08, ARI +18% win probability on one snap. Played in 15 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 13:08ARI — NYG NYG ball · 2nd & 10ARI 59%

(13:08) (No Huddle) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 44 for -6 yards (44-M.Golden). FUMBLES (44-M.Golden) [44-M.Golden], RECOVERED by ARI-44-M.Golden at NYG 39. 44-M.Golden to NYG 9 for 30 yards (22-W.Gallman Jr.; 85-L.Toilolo).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 13:08ARI +18% win prob(13:08) (No Huddle) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 44 for -6 yards (44-M.Golden). FUMBLES (44-M.Golden) [44-M.Golden], RECOVERED by ARI-44-M.Golden at NYG 39. 44-M.Golden to NYG 9 for 30 yards (22-W.Gallman Jr.; 85-L.Toilolo). ARI-97-J.Phillips was injured during the play.
Q2 · 8:24ARI +9% win prob2-M.Nugent kicks 65 yards from ARI 35 to NYG 0. 33-D.Lewis to NYG 15 for 15 yards (49-K.Fitts). FUMBLES (49-K.Fitts), RECOVERED by ARI-16-T.Sherfield at NYG 21.
Q1 · 10:49ARI +8% win prob(10:49) 1-K.Murray pass incomplete short right to 19-K.Johnson (24-J.Bradberry).
Q2 · 10:53NYG +5% win prob(10:53) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short middle to 85-D.Arnold to NYG 14 for 20 yards (29-X.McKinney; 23-L.Ryan).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cardinals	Giants
Offensive plays	76	49
Total yards	395 (edge)	159
Yards per play	5.2 (edge)	3.2
Expected points added / play	0.05 (edge)	-0.37
Success rate	42% (edge)	31%
Dropback rate	58%	65%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.16 (edge)	-0.54
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.11	-0.05 (edge)
Third downs	7/17 (edge)	3/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	22 (edge)	10
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	8
Turnovers	0 (edge)	3

Cardinals won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.37.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

24/35, 244 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

4.8 expected points added · +4.7% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Daniel JonesQB

11/21, 127 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-14.1 expected points added · -10.5% completion over expected

Rushing · ARI

Kenyan DrakeRB

23 att, 80 yds, 1 TD

-1.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Wayne GallmanRB

12 att, 57 yds, 0 TD

-0.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

DeAndre HopkinsWR

9/11 for 136 yds, 0 TD

34% of team targets · 8.7 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Sterling ShepardWR

3/5 for 35 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 0.8 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	NYG 25	6	14	2:03	Fumble
2	ARI	NYG 9	4	8	2:15	Turnover on downs
3	NYG	NYG 1	4	7	1:39	Punt
4	ARI	NYG 38	6	22	2:33	Turnover on downs
5	NYG	NYG 21	7	12	3:15	Punt
6	ARI	ARI 8	7	33	3:03	Punt
7	NYG	NYG 10	4	3	1:13	Punt
8	ARI	ARI 47	11	39	5:35	Turnover on downs
9	NYG	—	1	0	0:07	Fumble
10	ARI	NYG 21	5	21	1:24	Touchdown
11	NYG	NYG 29	8	20	2:33	Punt
12	ARI	ARI 20	8	44	2:36	Punt
13	NYG	NYG 20	4	2	1:26	Punt
14	ARI	ARI 43	4	32	0:18	End of half
15	ARI	ARI 23	13	77	6:08	Touchdown
16	NYG	NYG 25	9	75	3:14	Touchdown
17	ARI	ARI 25	9	33	3:56	Punt
18	NYG	NYG 7	4	9	1:03	Punt
19	ARI	50	8	34	3:01	Turnover on downs
20	NYG	NYG 26	5	-1	1:52	Punt
21	ARI	ARI 28	6	26	2:46	Punt
22	NYG	NYG 7	7	12	2:43	Punt
23	ARI	NYG 33	7	26	2:36	Turnover on downs
24	NYG	NYG 23	6	6	0:59	Fumble
25	ARI	NYG 29	3	0	1:42	End of game

0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 77 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kyler Murray	24/35	244	1	0	1	4.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Kenyan Drake	23	80	3.5	1	-1.7
Kyler Murray	13	47	3.6	0	-0.9
Chase Edmonds	7	32	4.6	0	-0.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DeAndre Hopkins	9	11	136	0	34%	8.7
Dan Arnold	2	4	27	1	13%	2.9
Chase Edmonds	4	5	21	0	16%	-1.9
Maxx Williams	2	2	17	0	6%	2.8
Christian Kirk	3	4	14	0	13%	0.1
Kenyan Drake	1	1	10	0	3%	0.9
Larry Fitzgerald	2	3	10	0	9%	-2.0
KeeSean Johnson	1	2	9	0	6%	-3.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Budda Baker	2	4	0.0	0
Jordan Hicks	1	4	0.0	0
Haason Reddick	5	0	5.0	0
De'Vondre Campbell	1	3	0.0	0
Dre Kirkpatrick	4	0	0.0	2
Byron Murphy	2	1	0.0	1
Zach Allen	1	2	0.0	1
Isaiah Simmons	3	0	0.0	0
Patrick Peterson	2	1	0.0	1
Markus Golden	2	0	1.0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Daniel Jones	11/21	127	0	0	6	-14.1
Colt McCoy	2/3	18	0	0	2	-3.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Wayne Gallman	12	57	4.8	0	-0.5
Dion Lewis	2	14	7.0	1	0.6
Alfred Morris	3	7	2.3	0	-1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Golden Tate	1	2	39	8%	3.2
Sterling Shepard	3	5	35	21%	0.8
Darius Slayton	3	8	31	33%	-1.0
Evan Engram	2	4	18	17%	-0.4
Wayne Gallman	3	4	16	17%	-0.2
Kaden Smith	1	1	6	4%	-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Jabrill Peppers	8	5	0
Julian Love	6	3	0
James Bradberry	7	0	1
Carter Coughlin	5	2	0
Blake Martinez	4	2	0
Logan Ryan	1	4	1
Xavier McKinney	1	3	0
Devante Downs	2	1	0
Isaac Yiadom	2	1	0
Dexter Lawrence	1	2	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: ARI -3
Closing total: 47
ARI moneyline: -154
NYG moneyline: +139

Cardinals closed -3 and covered, winning by 19.

Total closed 47; the game landed 33 — under by 14.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 59°F, wind 15 mph
Referee: Ronald Torbert
Rest: ARI 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: Kliff Kingsbury vs Joe Judge

Wind at 15 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.