2020 Week 14 · Thu, Dec 10, 2020 · SoFi Stadium

New England Patriots

Los Angeles RamsWinner

LA -5 ✓U 43.5 ✓DomeRams closed -5 and covered, winning by 21.

Los Angeles Rams 24–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 15:00, NE +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 15:00NE — LA NE ball · 2nd & 9LA 80%

(15:00) 1-C.Newton pass short right intended for 37-D.Harris INTERCEPTED by 41-K.Young at LA 21. 41-K.Young for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 15:00NE +15% win prob(15:00) 1-C.Newton pass short right intended for 37-D.Harris INTERCEPTED by 41-K.Young at LA 21. 41-K.Young for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 1:00NE +6% win prob(1:00) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 17-R.Woods INTERCEPTED by 41-M.Bryant at LA 32. 41-M.Bryant for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was not down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 17-R.Woods INTERCEPTED by 41-M.Bryant at LA 32. 41-M.Bryant to LA 32 for no gain (17-R.Woods).
Q1 · 14:12LA +5% win prob(14:12) 23-C.Akers left tackle pushed ob at NE 10 for 35 yards (32-D.McCourty).
Q1 · 11:23LA +5% win prob(11:23) 16-J.Goff up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Patriots	Rams
Offensive plays	58	61
Total yards	220	319 (edge)
Yards per play	3.8	5.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.55	-0.03 (edge)
Success rate	34%	41% (edge)
Dropback rate	53%	44%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.81	-0.14 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.25	0.06 (edge)
Third downs	3/14	3/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	10	16 (edge)
Sacks taken	6	1 (edge)
Turnovers	1	1

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.55.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

16/25, 137 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-4.5 expected points added · -6.6% completion over expected

Passing · NE

Cam NewtonQB

9/16, 119 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-17.4 expected points added · -14.4% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Cam AkersRB

29 att, 171 yds, 0 TD

-0.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NE

Damien HarrisRB

11 att, 50 yds, 0 TD

0.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NE

N'Keal HarryTE

3/4 for 49 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 3.1 expected points added

Receiving · NE

Damiere ByrdWR

5/8 for 48 yds, 0 TD

35% of team targets · 0.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LA	LA 25	8	70	3:39	Touchdown
2	NE	NE 25	5	1	1:40	Punt
3	LA	LA 23	11	70	4:25	Turnover on downs
4	NE	NE 25	5	8	1:28	Punt
5	LA	LA 13	6	26	2:51	Defensive touchdown
6	NE	LA 32	3	13	1:11	Defensive touchdown
7	NE	NE 40	13	66	7:58	Turnover on downs
8	LA	LA 4	7	21	2:08	Punt
9	NE	NE 32	8	62	3:36	Turnover on downs
10	LA	LA 26	5	8	0:49	Punt
11	NE	NE 37	3	8	0:15	End of half
12	NE	NE 25	9	33	3:45	Punt
13	LA	LA 10	17	88	9:42	Touchdown
14	NE	NE 25	5	5	1:42	Punt
15	LA	LA 30	4	8	2:06	Punt
16	NE	NE 26	4	-3	0:52	Punt
17	LA	LA 6	4	3	1:41	Punt
18	NE	LA 34	7	18	2:56	Turnover on downs
19	LA	LA 16	6	24	2:35	Punt
20	NE	NE 28	4	0	1:09	Punt
21	LA	LA 18	4	1	1:45	Punt
22	NE	50	4	9	1:42	Turnover on downs
23	LA	LA 41	1	0	0:05	End of game

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 88 scrimmage yards over 17 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New England Patriots

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Cam Newton	9/16	119	0	1	4	-17.4
Jarrett Stidham	5/7	27	0	0	2	-7.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Damien Harris	11	50	4.5	0.9
Sony Michel	7	22	3.1	-3.0
Cam Newton	7	16	2.3	-5.1
James White	3	16	5.3	-0.5
Jarrett Stidham	1	3	3.0	0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
N'Keal Harry	3	4	49	17%	3.1
Damiere Byrd	5	8	48	35%	0.4
Jakobi Meyers	4	5	47	22%	-1.5
James White	1	2	2	9%	-1.5
Damien Harris	1	2	0	9%	-12.0
Sony Michel	0	1	0	4%	-0.7
Devin Asiasi	0	1	0	4%	-3.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks
Adrian Phillips	8	2	0.0
Ja'Whaun Bentley	5	4	0.0
Deatrich Wise	1	4	0.0
Jonathan Jones	2	2	0.0
Devin McCourty	3	1	0.0
Lawrence Guy	3	1	0.0
Stephon Gilmore	4	0	0.0
John Simon	4	0	0.0
Adam Butler	1	2	0.0
Byron Cowart	1	1	1.0

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	16/25	137	1	1	1	-4.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Cam Akers	29	171	5.9	0	-0.1
Jared Goff	4	11	2.8	1	4.5
Darrell Henderson	2	5	2.5	0	-0.6
Robert Woods	1	-1	-1.0	0	-1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Higbee	2	2	34	0	8%	2.7
Cooper Kupp	5	5	33	1	21%	2.1
Robert Woods	5	8	32	0	33%	-4.3
Cam Akers	2	3	23	0	13%	-0.8
Gerald Everett	1	3	9	0	13%	-0.5
Josh Reynolds	1	2	6	0	8%	-0.8
Malcolm Brown	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Kenny Young	6	2	1.0	1	1
Troy Reeder	4	3	0.0	0	0
Jordan Fuller	6	0	0.0	0	0
John Johnson	2	3	0.0	0	0
Sebastian Joseph	3	2	0.0	0	1
Justin Hollins	2	3	0.0	0	0
Leonard Floyd	2	2	0.5	0	0
Michael Brockers	2	2	2.0	0	0
Jalen Ramsey	2	1	0.0	0	0
Greg Gaines	1	2	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -5
Closing total: 43.5
NE moneyline: +201
LA moneyline: -228

Rams closed -5 and covered, winning by 21.

Total closed 43.5; the game landed 27 — under by 16.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Craig Wrolstad
Rest: NE 4 days · LA 4 days
Coaches: Bill Belichick vs Sean McVay