2020 Week 14 · Sun, Dec 13, 2020 · Lumen Field

New York Jets

Seattle SeahawksWinner

SEA -16.5 ✓U 49.5 ✓Seahawks closed -16.5 and covered, winning by 37.

Seattle Seahawks 40–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 9:46, SEA +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 9:46NYJ — SEA SEA ball · 2nd & 6SEA 84%

(9:46) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 14-D.Metcalf to SEA 43 for 14 yards (44-H.Langi; 41-M.Farley). SEA-14-D.Metcalf was injured during the play.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 9:46SEA +6% win prob(9:46) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 14-D.Metcalf to SEA 43 for 14 yards (44-H.Langi; 41-M.Farley). SEA-14-D.Metcalf was injured during the play.
Q1 · 11:10NYJ +4% win prob(11:10) 21-F.Gore left tackle to SEA 27 for 1 yard (93-J.Bullard; 98-A.Robinson).
Q1 · 12:29SEA +4% win prob(12:29) 14-S.Darnold pass deep left to 19-B.Perriman to SEA 28 for 17 yards (29-D.Reed).
Q1 · 10:26SEA +4% win prob(10:26) 6-S.Castillo 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-42-T.Hennessy, Holder-7-B.Mann.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Jets	Seahawks
Offensive plays	52	68
Total yards	185	411 (edge)
Yards per play	3.6	6.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.34	0.21 (edge)
Success rate	31%	54% (edge)
Dropback rate	58%	49%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.20	0.45 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.52	-0.02 (edge)
Third downs	4/12	6/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	7 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	11	25 (edge)
Sacks taken	3	1 (edge)
Turnovers	1	1

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.21 expected points added per play vs -0.34.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · SEA

Russell WilsonQB

21/27, 206 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT

14.2 expected points added · +10.8% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Sam DarnoldQB

14/26, 132 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

-5.7 expected points added · +0.4% completion over expected

Rushing · SEA

Chris CarsonRB

12 att, 76 yds, 1 TD

2.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · SEA

Carlos HydeRB

15 att, 66 yds, 0 TD

0.1 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SEA

DK MetcalfWR

6/8 for 61 yds, 1 TD

25% of team targets · 0.7 expected points added

Receiving · SEA

Tyler LockettWR

5/5 for 52 yds, 0 TD

16% of team targets · 6.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYJ	NYJ 25	10	48	4:39	Turnover on downs
2	SEA	SEA 25	8	75	3:05	Touchdown
3	NYJ	NYJ 25	5	1	1:26	Punt
4	SEA	SEA 46	4	17	1:31	Interception
5	NYJ	NYJ 20	5	18	1:31	Punt
6	SEA	SEA 30	9	70	2:52	Touchdown
7	NYJ	NYJ 30	2	2	0:10	Fumble
8	SEA	NYJ 32	4	9	2:11	Turnover on downs
9	NYJ	SEA 30	8	11	2:31	Turnover on downs
10	SEA	SEA 27	4	5	1:24	Punt
11	NYJ	NYJ 36	11	36	6:12	Turnover on downs
12	SEA	SEA 31	10	69	1:56	Touchdown
13	NYJ	NYJ 31	6	49	0:30	Turnover on downs
14	SEA	SEA 33	1	0	0:02	End of half
15	SEA	SEA 25	13	65	6:27	Touchdown
16	NYJ	NYJ 10	5	-6	1:40	Punt
17	SEA	NYJ 40	8	45	3:56	Touchdown
18	NYJ	NYJ 25	5	-3	1:31	Punt
19	SEA	SEA 41	6	5	2:58	Punt
20	NYJ	NYJ 9	4	1	1:33	Punt
21	SEA	SEA 35	13	51	8:06	Turnover on downs
22	NYJ	NYJ 25	8	28	3:49	End of game

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 75 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Jets

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Sam Darnold	14/26	132	0	0	3	-5.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Josh Adams	6	27	4.5	-1.4
Frank Gore	8	23	2.9	-6.8
Ty Johnson	8	16	2.0	-3.2
Sam Darnold	1	3	3.0	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Braxton Berrios	3	5	49	22%	1.3
Breshad Perriman	3	7	26	30%	-2.8
Jaleel Scott	1	1	16	4%	1.2
Jeff Smith	1	2	14	9%	1.0
Christopher Herndon	1	1	9	4%	1.1
Frank Gore	1	1	8	4%	1.0
Jamison Crowder	2	4	7	17%	-1.3
Josh Adams	2	2	3	9%	-0.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Matthias Farley	3	5	0	0
Harvey Langi	3	5	0	0
Neville Hewitt	7	1	0	0
Blessuan Austin	7	0	0	0
Quinnen Williams	4	2	0	0
Arthur Maulet	4	1	0	0
Henry Anderson	2	3	0	0
Marcus Maye	3	1	1	1
Javelin Guidry	1	3	0	0
Frankie Luvu	2	1	0	0

Seattle Seahawks

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Russell Wilson	21/27	206	4	1	0	14.2
Geno Smith	4/5	33	0	0	1	0.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Chris Carson	12	76	6.3	1	2.0
Carlos Hyde	15	66	4.4	0	0.1
Penny Hart	1	19	19.0	0	1.2
David Moore	1	9	9.0	0	0.7
DeeJay Dallas	4	7	1.8	0	-1.7
Russell Wilson	1	-1	-1.0	0	0.0
Geno Smith	2	-2	-1.0	0	-3.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DK Metcalf	6	8	61	1	25%	0.7
Tyler Lockett	5	5	52	0	16%	6.9
Will Dissly	2	2	23	1	6%	2.8
Chris Carson	3	5	22	0	16%	0.5
Freddie Swain	2	3	22	1	9%	0.7
David Moore	3	5	20	1	16%	0.5
Jacob Hollister	1	1	20	0	3%	1.5
Colby Parkinson	2	2	16	0	6%	2.4
Penny Hart	1	1	3	0	3%	-0.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Bobby Wagner	4	2	0.0	0
K.J. Wright	3	3	0.0	0
Jamal Adams	2	3	1.0	1
Ben Burr-Kirven	5	0	0.0	0
Shaquill Griffin	3	0	0.0	1
D.J. Reed	2	1	0.0	0
Ugochukwu Amadi	2	1	0.0	2
Freddie Swain	2	0	0.0	0
Poona Ford	2	0	0.0	0
Cody Barton	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SEA -16.5
Closing total: 49.5
NYJ moneyline: +734
SEA moneyline: -1032

Seahawks closed -16.5 and covered, winning by 37.

Total closed 49.5; the game landed 43 — under by 6.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lumen Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 43°F, wind 8 mph
Referee: Scott Novak
Rest: NYJ 7 days · SEA 7 days
Coaches: Adam Gase vs Pete Carroll