2020 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20, 2020 · MetLife Stadium

Cleveland BrownsWinner

New York Giants

CLE -6 ✓U 44.5 ✓Browns closed -6 and covered, winning by 14.

Cleveland Browns 20–6. Biggest swing: Q1 5:37, NYG +10% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 5:37CLE — NYG NYG ball · 3rd & 6CLE 72%

(5:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-C.McCoy pass deep left to 86-D.Slayton ran ob at CLE 18 for 35 yards (29-S.Redwine).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 5:37NYG +10% win prob(5:37) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-C.McCoy pass deep left to 86-D.Slayton ran ob at CLE 18 for 35 yards (29-S.Redwine).
Q1 · 7:08CLE +8% win prob(7:08) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete short left to 81-A.Hooper (97-D.Lawrence II).
Q2 · 12:36NYG +7% win prob(12:36) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 81-A.Hooper for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 14:50NYG +6% win prob(14:50) 22-W.Gallman Jr. right guard to CLE 39 for 9 yards (29-S.Redwine; 39-T.Mitchell).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Browns	Giants
Offensive plays	63	53
Total yards	392 (edge)	289
Yards per play	6.2 (edge)	5.5
Expected points added / play	0.26 (edge)	-0.06
Success rate	54% (edge)	38%
Dropback rate	56%	64%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.62 (edge)	0.04
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.19 (edge)	-0.25
Third downs	9/13 (edge)	5/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	7 (edge)	6
First downs gained on snaps	24 (edge)	14
Sacks taken	1	1
Turnovers	0	0

Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.26 expected points added per play vs -0.06.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · CLE

Baker MayfieldQB

27/32, 297 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

20.4 expected points added · +23.2% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Colt McCoyQB

19/31, 221 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

4.2 expected points added · +0.9% completion over expected

Rushing · CLE

Nick ChubbRB

15 att, 50 yds, 1 TD

-0.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYG

Alfred MorrisRB

7 att, 39 yds, 0 TD

2.0 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · CLE

Rashard HigginsWR

4/5 for 76 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · 6.9 expected points added

Receiving · NYG

Darius SlaytonWR

4/9 for 74 yds, 0 TD

28% of team targets · 1.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYG	CLE 48	10	40	3:24	Turnover on downs
2	CLE	CLE 8	10	49	4:31	Turnover on downs
3	NYG	NYG 43	7	38	2:53	Turnover on downs
4	CLE	CLE 25	15	75	6:41	Touchdown
5	NYG	NYG 27	13	68	7:15	Turnover on downs
6	CLE	CLE 5	11	95	4:55	Touchdown
7	NYG	NYG 25	2	0	0:21	End of half
8	CLE	CLE 21	6	18	2:58	Punt
9	NYG	NYG 14	10	42	6:05	Punt
10	CLE	CLE 5	15	115	8:04	Touchdown
11	NYG	NYG 25	7	25	2:36	Punt
12	CLE	CLE 46	7	15	3:52	Punt
13	NYG	NYG 23	9	56	2:18	Turnover on downs
14	CLE	CLE 41	8	25	3:02	Punt
15	NYG	NYG 20	4	20	1:05	End of game

0 of 15 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 115 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Cleveland Browns

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Baker Mayfield	27/32	297	2	0	1	20.4

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Nick Chubb	15	50	3.3	1	-0.7
D'Ernest Johnson	4	24	6.0	0	0.1
Kareem Hunt	7	21	3.0	0	-4.2
Baker Mayfield	4	11	2.8	0	0.8

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Rashard Higgins	4	5	76	0	17%	6.9
Jarvis Landry	7	8	61	1	27%	4.7
Donovan Peoples-Jones	3	3	55	0	10%	4.0
Austin Hooper	5	6	41	1	20%	2.8
David Njoku	1	1	22	0	3%	1.6
Harrison Bryant	2	2	19	0	7%	1.4
Nick Chubb	2	2	16	0	7%	1.8
Kareem Hunt	3	3	7	0	10%	0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Karl Joseph	8	2	0.0	2
Sheldrick Redwine	4	4	0.0	0
B.J. Goodson	2	4	0.0	0
Denzel Ward	4	2	0.0	1
Sione Takitaki	1	3	0.0	0
Myles Garrett	1	2	0.5	0
Larry Ogunjobi	1	2	0.5	0
Malcolm Smith	2	1	0.0	0
Porter Gustin	1	1	0.0	0
Elijah Lee	1	0	0.0	0

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Colt McCoy	19/31	221	0	0	1	4.2
Riley Dixon	0/1	0	0	0	0	-2.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Alfred Morris	7	39	5.6	2.0
Wayne Gallman	9	29	3.2	-5.5
Dion Lewis	1	4	4.0	-0.8
Colt McCoy	2	3	1.5	-0.2
Elijhaa Penny	1	2	2.0	0.7
Sterling Shepard	1	-3	-3.0	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Darius Slayton	4	9	74	28%	1.9
Sterling Shepard	4	7	51	22%	3.7
Evan Engram	4	7	46	22%	-1.6
Dion Lewis	2	2	14	6%	0.2
Levine Toilolo	1	1	14	3%	0.8
Golden Tate	2	3	13	9%	0.0
Elijhaa Penny	1	1	9	3%	0.7
Nick Gates	0	1	0	3%	-2.6
Kaden Smith	1	1	0	3%	-0.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Blake Martinez	3	5	0.0	0
Logan Ryan	5	2	0.0	0
Julian Love	3	3	0.0	0
Dexter Lawrence	2	4	1.0	1
Isaac Yiadom	3	2	0.0	0
Leonard Williams	2	3	0.0	0
Tae Crowder	2	3	0.0	0
B.J. Hill	1	3	0.0	0
Jabaal Sheard	2	2	0.0	0
Xavier McKinney	2	2	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CLE -6
Closing total: 44.5
CLE moneyline: -271
NYG moneyline: +235

Browns closed -6 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 26 — under by 18.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 36°F, wind 0 mph
Referee: Shawn Hochuli
Rest: CLE 6 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches: Kevin Stefanski vs Joe Judge