2020 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20, 2020 · SoFi Stadium

New York JetsWinner

Los Angeles Rams

LA -17.5 upsetU 44.5 ✓DomeRams closed -17.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

New York Jets 23–20 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 4:00, NYJ +21% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 4:00NYJ — LA LA ball · 4th & 4LA 52%

(4:00) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete deep right to 81-G.Everett (20-M.Maye).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 4:00NYJ +21% win prob(4:00) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete deep right to 81-G.Everett (20-M.Maye).
Q4 · 5:47NYJ +15% win prob(5:47) 7-B.Mann punts 50 yards to LA 23, Center-42-T.Hennessy. 14-N.Webster to NYJ 43 for 34 yards (7-B.Mann).
Q3 · 8:34LA +11% win prob(8:34) 21-F.Gore left tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 0:17LA +11% win prob(:17) 17-R.Woods left end pushed ob at NYJ 21 for 40 yards (46-N.Hewitt).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Jets	Rams
Offensive plays	61	56
Total yards	292	303 (edge)
Yards per play	4.8	5.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.01 (edge)	-0.26
Success rate	43% (edge)	34%
Dropback rate	57%	68%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.15 (edge)	-0.30
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.17 (edge)	-0.19
Third downs	7/16 (edge)	2/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4 (edge)	3
First downs gained on snaps	16 (edge)	15
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	3
Turnovers	0 (edge)	1

Rams outgained Jets 303–292 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

22/34, 209 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT

-11.1 expected points added · +1.3% completion over expected

Passing · NYJ

Sam DarnoldQB

22/31, 207 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

3.6 expected points added · +8.8% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

Cam AkersRB

15 att, 63 yds, 0 TD

-3.3 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · NYJ

Frank GoreRB

23 att, 59 yds, 1 TD

-3.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Tyler HigbeeTE

4/5 for 67 yds, 1 TD

17% of team targets · 4.5 expected points added

Receiving · NYJ

Jamison CrowderWR

6/8 for 66 yds, 0 TD

30% of team targets · 2.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LA	LA 25	5	8	1:23	Punt
2	NYJ	NYJ 26	14	74	7:12	Touchdown
3	LA	LA 21	5	18	2:23	Punt
4	NYJ	NYJ 27	4	3	2:29	Punt
5	LA	LA 36	5	7	2:19	Punt
6	NYJ	LA 27	4	6	1:30	Turnover on downs
7	LA	LA 19	5	9	2:58	Interception
8	NYJ	LA 22	5	7	2:09	Turnover on downs
9	LA	LA 25	5	3	1:33	Punt
10	NYJ	NYJ 31	4	5	2:09	Punt
11	LA	LA 22	7	18	2:07	Punt
12	NYJ	NYJ 10	4	9	0:51	Punt
13	LA	LA 39	8	34	0:57	Turnover on downs
14	NYJ	NYJ 28	13	72	6:30	Touchdown
15	LA	LA 25	7	75	2:21	Touchdown
16	NYJ	NYJ 25	11	72	4:30	Turnover on downs
17	LA	LA 25	8	64	2:52	Touchdown
18	NYJ	NYJ 25	6	21	1:59	Punt
19	LA	LA 31	11	51	5:13	Turnover on downs
20	NYJ	NYJ 25	5	2	1:02	Punt
21	LA	NYJ 43	5	16	1:39	Turnover on downs
22	NYJ	NYJ 37	8	21	3:54	End of game

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 75 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Jets

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Sam Darnold	22/31	207	1	0	2	3.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Frank Gore	23	59	2.6	1	-3.9
Sam Darnold	5	18	3.6	0	-0.6
Ty Johnson	3	16	5.3	0	-0.5

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Jamison Crowder	6	8	66	0	30%	2.1
Christopher Herndon	3	4	48	0	15%	1.9
Ty Johnson	6	6	39	1	22%	3.8
Breshad Perriman	1	1	21	0	4%	1.5
Denzel Mims	3	4	18	0	15%	-0.3
Braxton Berrios	2	3	9	0	11%	-0.6
Frank Gore	1	1	6	0	4%	1.3

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Neville Hewitt	6	3	0.0	0	0
Blessuan Austin	5	1	0.0	0	0
Harvey Langi	2	4	0.0	0	0
Marcus Maye	4	2	0.0	0	1
Javelin Guidry	5	0	0.0	0	0
Quinnen Williams	3	1	1.0	0	0
Nathan Shepherd	2	1	1.0	0	0
Bryce Hall	3	0	0.0	1	1
Frankie Luvu	2	0	0.0	0	0
Arthur Maulet	2	0	0.0	0	0

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	22/34	209	2	1	3	-11.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Cam Akers	15	63	4.2	-3.3
Robert Woods	1	40	40.0	2.3
Jared Goff	1	9	9.0	-0.2
Malcolm Brown	1	4	4.0	-1.1
Darrell Henderson	1	-2	-2.0	-1.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Tyler Higbee	4	5	67	1	17%	4.5
Robert Woods	6	7	56	1	23%	-1.3
Cooper Kupp	5	5	39	0	17%	0.6
Gerald Everett	2	5	28	0	17%	-4.8
Josh Reynolds	2	2	9	0	7%	-0.0
Malcolm Brown	1	1	6	0	3%	-0.2
Darrell Henderson	1	1	5	0	3%	-0.0
Van Jefferson	0	1	0	0	3%	-1.3
Cam Akers	1	3	-1	0	10%	-2.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Troy Reeder	5	5	0.0	1
John Johnson	6	1	0.0	0
Sebastian Joseph	4	3	0.0	0
Jordan Fuller	5	1	0.0	0
Michael Brockers	1	4	0.0	0
Darious Williams	3	1	0.0	0
Samson Ebukam	1	2	1.0	0
Aaron Donald	1	2	0.0	0
A'Shawn Robinson	2	1	0.0	0
Ogbonnia Okoronkwo	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -17.5
Closing total: 44.5
NYJ moneyline: +957
LA moneyline: -1601

Rams closed -17.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 44.5; the game landed 43 — under by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Tony Corrente
Rest: NYJ 7 days · LA 10 days
Coaches: Adam Gase vs Sean McVay