2020 Week 15 · Sun, Dec 20, 2020 · State Farm Stadium

Philadelphia Eagles

Arizona CardinalsWinner

ARI -6.5 ✓O 49.5 ✓DomeCardinals closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Arizona Cardinals 33–26. Biggest swing: Q4 7:24, ARI +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 7:24PHI — ARI ARI ball · 3rd & 2ARI 74%

(7:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 10-D.Hopkins for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 7:24ARI +14% win prob(7:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 10-D.Hopkins for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q3 · 1:01ARI +13% win prob(1:01) (Shotgun) 2-J.Hurts scrambles up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 · 9:35ARI +13% win prob(9:35) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 10-D.Hopkins to PHI 40 for 44 yards (22-M.Epps).
Q4 · 14:56ARI +13% win prob(14:56) (Punt formation) 4-A.Lee pass short right to 47-E.Turner to PHI 41 for 26 yards (22-M.Epps).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Cardinals
Offensive plays	81	68
Total yards	422	526 (edge)
Yards per play	5.2	7.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.02 (edge)	0.02
Success rate	37%	49% (edge)
Dropback rate	68%	59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.18 (edge)	0.16
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.33	-0.19 (edge)
Third downs	6/18 (edge)	3/10
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	11 (edge)	10
First downs gained on snaps	25 (edge)	23
Sacks taken	6	1 (edge)
Turnovers	0 (edge)	3

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

27/36, 406 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

7.3 expected points added · +7.0% completion over expected

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

24/44, 338 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

5.6 expected points added · -4.8% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

17 att, 64 yds, 0 TD

-5.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

11 att, 63 yds, 1 TD

3.6 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

DeAndre HopkinsWR

9/11 for 169 yds, 1 TD

30% of team targets · 7.1 expected points added

Receiving · PHI

Zach ErtzTE

2/7 for 69 yds, 0 TD

18% of team targets · 0.7 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	ARI	ARI 25	10	62	4:38	Fumble
2	PHI	PHI 8	3	2	0:48	Turnover on downs
3	ARI	ARI 40	5	-1	0:54	Punt
4	PHI	PHI 20	4	6	1:57	Punt
5	ARI	ARI 34	4	51	0:57	Touchdown
6	PHI	PHI 20	7	22	3:20	Punt
7	ARI	PHI 6	3	6	0:08	Touchdown
8	PHI	PHI 26	9	74	3:17	Touchdown
9	ARI	ARI 25	6	53	2:24	Turnover on downs
10	PHI	PHI 25	7	30	1:59	Punt
11	ARI	ARI 17	3	9	1:03	Fumble
12	PHI	ARI 21	6	21	2:15	Touchdown
13	ARI	ARI 25	10	71	4:07	Touchdown
14	PHI	PHI 22	9	66	0:54	Touchdown
15	ARI	ARI 25	8	65	1:19	End of half
16	PHI	PHI 14	8	44	2:04	Punt
17	ARI	ARI 20	7	37	2:46	Punt
18	PHI	PHI 13	4	0	2:23	Punt
19	ARI	PHI 43	5	36	2:11	Interception
20	PHI	PHI 20	10	50	4:41	Touchdown
21	ARI	ARI 25	9	42	3:44	Turnover on downs
22	PHI	PHI 33	4	6	1:40	Punt
23	ARI	ARI 14	8	86	3:14	Touchdown
24	PHI	PHI 24	14	54	5:27	Turnover on downs
25	ARI	ARI 22	4	9	0:22	Punt
26	PHI	PHI 22	10	47	1:28	End of game

0 of 26 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 86 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	24/44	338	3	0	6	5.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Miles Sanders	17	64	3.8	0	-5.1
Jalen Hurts	11	63	5.7	1	3.6
Jalen Reagor	1	-10	-10.0	0	-1.7

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Zach Ertz	2	7	69	0	18%	0.7
Alshon Jeffery	2	3	63	0	8%	5.9
Jalen Reagor	5	8	49	0	20%	-1.1
Quez Watkins	3	4	40	1	10%	4.9
Dallas Goedert	4	8	39	0	20%	-4.4
Travis Fulgham	2	2	30	0	5%	2.1
Miles Sanders	1	2	26	0	5%	1.4
Greg Ward	4	5	15	2	13%	6.6
Boston Scott	1	1	7	0	3%	-0.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Alex Singleton	6	4	0.0	0	0
Nickell Robey	7	2	0.0	0	0
Marcus Epps	7	0	0.0	1	2
Michael Jacquet	5	2	1.0	0	2
Jalen Mills	3	2	0.0	0	1
Fletcher Cox	2	2	0.0	0	0
Derek Barnett	3	0	0.0	0	0
Malik Jackson	3	0	0.0	0	1
Javon Hargrave	2	0	0.0	0	0
Corey Clement	2	0	0.0	0	0

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kyler Murray	27/36	406	3	1	1	7.3
Andy Lee	1/1	26	0	0	0	4.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Chase Edmonds	11	47	4.3	0	-2.5
Kyler Murray	8	29	3.6	1	-1.4
Kenyan Drake	10	26	2.6	0	-2.6
DeAndre Hopkins	1	1	1.0	0	1.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
DeAndre Hopkins	9	11	169	1	30%	7.1
Dan Arnold	3	5	54	0	14%	4.3
Maxx Williams	1	1	42	0	3%	2.5
KeeSean Johnson	2	3	38	0	8%	-4.3
Larry Fitzgerald	3	4	35	1	11%	2.6
Christian Kirk	3	4	33	0	11%	-4.1
Ezekiel Turner	1	1	26	0	3%	4.0
Chase Edmonds	3	5	19	1	14%	-0.1
Kenyan Drake	2	2	14	0	5%	0.8
Darrell Daniels	1	1	2	0	3%	-0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Zach Allen	6	5	1.0	1
Patrick Peterson	6	0	0.0	1
Dennis Gardeck	5	0	2.0	0
Chris Banjo	5	0	0.0	1
Jordan Hicks	4	1	0.0	0
Haason Reddick	3	1	1.0	0
Byron Murphy	4	0	1.0	3
Isaiah Simmons	3	1	0.0	0
Markus Golden	1	3	0.0	0
Budda Baker	3	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: ARI -6.5
Closing total: 49.5
PHI moneyline: +226
ARI moneyline: -259

Cardinals closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 7.

Total closed 49.5; the game landed 59 — over by 9.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · grass
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Craig Wrolstad
Rest: PHI 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches: Doug Pederson vs Kliff Kingsbury