Bills 38 – Patriots 9 (2020 Week 16) | Box Score, Drive Chart & Win Probability

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Bills 38 – Patriots 9 (2020 Week 16) | Box Score, Drive Chart & Win Probability | Dynatyze

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bills	Patriots
Offensive plays	67	48
Total yards	478 (edge)	201
Yards per play	7.1 (edge)	4.2
Expected points added / play	0.40 (edge)	-0.15
Success rate	51% (edge)	33%
Dropback rate	61%	54%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.57 (edge)	-0.29
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.14 (edge)	0.00
Third downs	5/11 (edge)	4/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	30 (edge)	9
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	3
Turnovers	0	0

Bills won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.40 expected points added per play vs -0.15.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NE	NE 35	7	38	2:16	Turnover on downs
2	BUF	BUF 47	11	49	6:01	Turnover on downs
3	NE	NE 25	5	-10	1:25	Punt
4	BUF	BUF 30	13	65	5:28	Touchdown
5	NE	NE 10	11	85	4:11	Touchdown
6	BUF	BUF 25	12	75	5:07	Touchdown
7	NE	NE 21	5	3	0:50	Punt
8	BUF	BUF 33	4	67	0:47	Touchdown
9	NE	NE 11	11	28	3:50	Punt
10	BUF	BUF 15	1	0	0:05	End of half
11	BUF	BUF 25	10	75	3:32	Touchdown
12	NE	NE 25	5	8	1:59	Punt
13	BUF	BUF 29	4	4	1:08	Punt
14	NE	NE 5	8	33	2:40	Punt
15	BUF	BUF 5	11	85	7:25	Touchdown
16	NE	NE 25	5	4	1:20	Punt
17	BUF	BUF 7	8	32	4:24	Punt
18	NE	NE 15	7	12	1:48	Punt
19	BUF	BUF 17	8	26	5:44	End of game

0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Patriots gained 85 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	EPA
Josh Allen	27/36	320	4	18.4
Jaquan Johnson	1/1	13	0	3.1
Matt Barkley	2/3	11	0	0.1

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Zack Moss	12	57	4.8	1	1.6
Devin Singletary	10	36	3.6	0	-2.2
Josh Allen	4	35	8.8	0	5.2
Isaiah McKenzie

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Stefon Diggs	9	11	145	3	29%	11.4
Dawson Knox	3	4	51	0	11%	5.1
Gabe Davis	3	5	33	0	13%

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Matt Milano	7	0	1.0	0	0
Tremaine Edmunds	3	2	0.0	0	0
Jordan Poyer	4	0	0.0	0	0
Mario Addison

New England Patriots

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jarrett Stidham	4/11	44	0	0	1	-3.8
Cam Newton	5/10	34	0	0	2	-6.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Jakobi Meyers	4	6	45	33%	0.6
James White	3	3	23	17%	1.2
Damiere Byrd	1	3	7	17%	-1.4
N'Keal Harry	1	4	3	22%	-2.2
Devin Asiasi	0	2	0	11%	-1.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast
Jonathan Jones	6	1
Adrian Phillips	4	2
Kyle Dugger	3	2
J.C. Jackson	4	0
Devin McCourty	2	2
Jason McCourty	2	1
Cody Davis	2	1
Terrence Brooks	2	0
Adam Butler	1	1
Deatrich Wise	2	0

Sony Michel	10	69	6.9	0	1.0
J.J. Taylor	6	38	6.3	0	-0.4
Cam Newton	4	24	6.0	1	2.5
James White	4	14	3.5	0	-0.2

Buffalo BillsWinner

New England Patriots

Win probability

Highest-leverage plays

Situational splits

Top performers

Drive chart

Box score

Buffalo Bills

Passing

Rushing

Receiving

Defense (top contributors)

New England Patriots

Passing

Rushing

Betting context

Game environment

Receiving

Defense (top contributors)