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2020 Week 16 · Sun, Dec 27, 2020 · TIAA Bank Stadium
41
17
Chicago Bears 41–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 0:35, CHI +12% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:35) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right intended for 12-A.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 47-J.Schobert [59-A.Lynch] at JAX -4. Touchback.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Bears | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 68 | 54 |
| Total yards | 393 (edge) | 279 |
| Yards per play | 5.8 (edge) | 5.2 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.26 (edge) | -0.13 |
| Success rate | 49% (edge) | 35% |
| Dropback rate | 57% | 70% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.37 (edge) | -0.13 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.11 (edge) | -0.12 |
| Third downs | 6/12 (edge) | 5/12 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 (edge) | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 26 (edge) | 13 |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 (edge) | 2 |
Bears won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.26 expected points added per play vs -0.13.
Who moved the needle
Passing · CHI
24/35, 265 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
13.9 expected points added · +4.5% completion over expected
Passing · JAX
24/37, 211 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT
-5.0 expected points added · -3.0% completion over expected
Receiving · CHI
10/13 for 103 yds, 0 TD
36% of team targets · 4.8 expected points added
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | JAX 21 | 13 | 71 | 6:46 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | CHI | CHI 25 | 12 | 70 | 4:56 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | JAX | JAX 22 | 5 | 6 | 1:49 | Punt | |
| 4 | CHI | CHI 35 | 8 | 42 | 3:12 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | JAX | JAX 30 | 12 | 70 | 4:56 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | CHI | CHI 25 | 5 | 0 | 1:19 | Punt | |
| 7 | JAX | JAX 17 | 5 | 18 | 2:32 | Punt | |
| 8 | CHI | CHI 19 | 11 | 60 | 4:06 | Interception | |
| 9 | JAX | JAX 20 | 2 | 6 | 0:16 | Interception | |
| 10 | CHI | JAX 32 | 2 | 10 | 0:08 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | CHI | CHI 23 | 13 | 77 | 5:46 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | JAX | JAX 30 | 5 | 8 | 1:56 | Punt | |
| 13 | CHI | CHI 46 | 9 | 54 | 4:01 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | JAX | JAX 25 | 3 | 0 | 0:14 | Interception | |
| 15 | CHI | JAX 25 | 3 | 25 | 0:33 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | JAX | JAX 30 | 5 | 0 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 17 | CHI | JAX 48 | 10 | 48 | 4:08 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | JAX | JAX 25 | 8 | 20 | 2:50 | Punt | |
| 19 | CHI | CHI 17 | 4 | 7 | 2:16 | Punt | |
| 20 | JAX | JAX 36 | 7 | 64 | 2:12 | Touchdown | |
| 21 | CHI | CHI 25 | 5 | 0 | 1:40 | Punt | |
| 22 | JAX | JAX 40 | 5 | 16 | 1:54 | Punt | |
| 23 | CHI | CHI 7 | 2 | 0 | 0:55 | End of game |
0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bears gained 77 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Trubisky | 24/35 | 265 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13.9 |
| Nick Foles | 0/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Montgomery | 23 | 95 | 4.1 | 1 | 2.1 |
| Artavis Pierce | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | 1 | 3.4 |
| Mitchell Trubisky | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 1 | 1.3 |
| Darnell Mooney | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Ryan Nall |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Robinson | 10 | 13 | 103 | 0 | 36% | 4.8 |
| Jimmy Graham | 4 | 5 | 69 | 2 | 14% | 7.0 |
| Darnell Mooney | 4 | 7 | 39 | 0 | 19% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roquan Smith | 8 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Kindle Vildor | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Fuller | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Trevathan |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Glennon | 24/37 | 211 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dare Ogunbowale | 14 | 71 | 5.1 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Bears closed -9.5 and covered, winning by 24.
Total closed 47; the game landed 58 — over by 11.0.
Conditions and crew
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| -0.9 |
| Nick Foles | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Cole Kmet | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 3.8 |
| David Montgomery | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 6% | 1.4 |
| Cole Kmet | 2 | 6 | 18 | 0 | 17% | -1.6 |
| Anthony Miller | 2 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 8% | -1.4 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 1.0 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| John Jenkins | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavier Crawford | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Duke Shelley | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Khalil Mack | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| James Vaughters | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Eddie Jackson | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -1.3 |
| Craig Reynolds | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Devine Ozigbo | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Chark | 4 | 6 | 62 | 1 | 17% | 4.5 |
| Laviska Shenault Jr. | 5 | 7 | 48 | 1 | 19% | 1.3 |
| Chris Conley | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 8% | 2.0 |
| Keelan Cole | 3 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 14% | -0.3 |
| James O'Shaughnessy | 2 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 8% | 1.5 |
| Tyler Eifert | 2 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 14% | -0.5 |
| Dare Ogunbowale | 3 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 14% | -7.6 |
| Craig Reynolds | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | -1.1 |
| Devine Ozigbo | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | -0.3 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Mabin | 10 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Jack | 6 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Joe Schobert | 6 | 2 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Josh Jones | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Wingard | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Doug Costin | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Ross | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre Herndon | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| K'Lavon Chaisson | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chris Claybrooks | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
