2020 Week 17 · Sun, Jan 3, 2021 · SoFi Stadium

Arizona Cardinals

Los Angeles RamsWinner

LA -1 ✓U 42 ✓DomeRams closed -1 and covered, winning by 11.

Los Angeles Rams 18–7. Biggest swing: Q2 0:37, ARI +36% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 0:37ARI — LA ARI ball · 2nd & 7ARI 66%

(:37) (Shotgun) 15-C.Streveler pass deep right intended for 16-T.Sherfield INTERCEPTED by 22-T.Hill at LA 16. 22-T.Hill for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 0:37ARI +36% win prob(:37) (Shotgun) 15-C.Streveler pass deep right intended for 16-T.Sherfield INTERCEPTED by 22-T.Hill at LA 16. 22-T.Hill for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 10:54ARI +14% win prob(10:54) (Shotgun) 9-J.Wolford pass short left intended for 11-J.Reynolds INTERCEPTED by 58-J.Hicks at LA 20. 58-J.Hicks to LA 14 for 6 yards (89-T.Higbee).
Q2 · 6:17ARI +14% win prob(6:17) 23-C.Akers left tackle to ARI 1 for 1 yard (59-D.Campbell, 48-I.Simmons). FUMBLES (48-I.Simmons), RECOVERED by ARI-33-B.Murphy at ARI 1. 33-B.Murphy to ARI 1 for no gain (17-R.Woods).
Q1 · 2:55LA +10% win prob(2:55) (Shotgun) 9-J.Wolford pass deep right to 17-R.Woods pushed ob at ARI 4 for 27 yards (58-J.Hicks).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Cardinals	Rams
Offensive plays	48	70
Total yards	215	333 (edge)
Yards per play	4.5	4.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.32	-0.14 (edge)
Success rate	38% (edge)	30%
Dropback rate	65%	60%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.34	-0.01 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.28 (edge)	-0.33
Third downs	2/9	6/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	8 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	14	19 (edge)
Sacks taken	4	2 (edge)
Turnovers	1 (edge)	2

Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.14 expected points added per play vs -0.32.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · LA

John WolfordQB

22/38, 231 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT

-3.3 expected points added · -5.8% completion over expected

Passing · ARI

Chris StrevelerQB

11/16, 105 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT

-13.4 expected points added · -2.9% completion over expected

Rushing · LA

John WolfordQB

6 att, 56 yds, 0 TD

7.1 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · ARI

Kenyan DrakeRB

10 att, 36 yds, 0 TD

-2.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · LA

Cam AkersRB

4/4 for 52 yds, 0 TD

11% of team targets · 2.6 expected points added

Receiving · LA

Van JeffersonWR

4/8 for 50 yds, 0 TD

22% of team targets · -0.1 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	ARI	ARI 25	9	16	3:29	Punt
2	LA	LA 5	2	10	0:43	Interception
3	ARI	LA 14	3	14	0:39	Touchdown
4	LA	LA 19	5	3	1:39	Punt
5	ARI	ARI 29	4	6	1:29	Punt
6	LA	LA 21	16	83	7:44	Turnover on downs
7	ARI	ARI 25	5	6	1:16	Punt
8	LA	LA 18	13	81	6:57	Fumble
9	ARI	ARI 1	1	1	0:43	Turnover on downs
10	LA	LA 41	5	8	2:22	Punt
11	ARI	ARI 20	4	-2	1:06	Punt
12	LA	LA 24	4	4	0:39	Punt
13	ARI	ARI 35	4	15	0:54	Defensive touchdown
14	ARI	ARI 29	2	0	0:20	End of half
15	LA	LA 25	14	59	8:44	Turnover on downs
16	ARI	ARI 25	7	52	3:05	Punt
17	LA	LA 20	11	71	3:46	Turnover on downs
18	ARI	ARI 25	12	56	5:24	Turnover on downs
19	LA	LA 20	4	2	1:12	Punt
20	ARI	ARI 31	8	23	3:25	Punt
21	LA	LA 20	7	12	4:05	Punt
22	ARI	ARI 13	3	28	0:19	End of game

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 83 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a turnover on downs.

Full stat lines

Box score

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Chris Streveler	11/16	105	1	1	2	-13.4
Kyler Murray	8/11	87	0	0	2	2.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Kenyan Drake	10	36	3.6	-2.3
Chris Streveler	3	12	4.0	0.4
Kyler Murray	2	3	1.5	-0.8
Chase Edmonds	3	-3	-1.0	-2.0

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Dan Arnold	3	3	46	0	11%	3.2
Trent Sherfield	4	6	44	0	22%	-7.6
DeAndre Hopkins	4	10	35	0	37%	-4.4
Chase Edmonds	2	2	28	0	7%	-0.1
Kenyan Drake	3	3	15	0	11%	-0.3
KeeSean Johnson	2	2	13	0	7%	1.6
Jonathan Ward	1	1	11	1	4%	2.2

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Tanner Vallejo	7	3	1.0	0	0
De'Vondre Campbell	5	1	0.0	0	1
Jordan Hicks	3	2	0.0	1	1
Haason Reddick	2	3	0.0	0	0
Budda Baker	4	1	0.0	0	2
Jalen Thompson	3	1	0.0	0	0
Patrick Peterson	3	1	0.0	0	0
Zach Allen	1	2	0.0	0	1
Dre Kirkpatrick	3	0	0.0	0	0
Isaiah Simmons	1	2	0.0	0	0

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
John Wolford	22/38	231	0	1	2	-3.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
John Wolford	6	56	9.3	7.1
Cam Akers	21	34	1.6	-14.7
Malcolm Brown	3	20	6.7	1.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Cam Akers	4	4	52	11%	2.6
Van Jefferson	4	8	50	22%	-0.1
Tyler Higbee	3	4	41	11%	6.1
Robert Woods	4	7	36	19%	0.4
Josh Reynolds	4	6	29	16%	-5.2
Gerald Everett	2	7	25	19%	-3.2
Malcolm Brown	1	1	-2	3%	-1.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Troy Reeder	4	2	0.0	0	0
Jordan Fuller	1	4	0.0	0	0
Troy Hill	3	2	0.0	1	2
John Johnson	4	0	0.0	0	0
Darious Williams	3	1	0.0	0	0
Aaron Donald	3	1	0.0	0	0
Morgan Fox	3	1	1.0	0	0
Jalen Ramsey	4	0	0.0	0	4
Samson Ebukam	3	0	2.0	0	0
Leonard Floyd	1	1	1.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -1
Closing total: 42
ARI moneyline: +113
LA moneyline: -125

Rams closed -1 and covered, winning by 11.

Total closed 42; the game landed 25 — under by 17.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: SoFi Stadium
Roof / surface: dome · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Carl Cheffers
Rest: ARI 8 days · LA 7 days
Coaches: Kliff Kingsbury vs Sean McVay

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.