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2020 Divisional Round · Sat, Jan 16, 2021 · New Era Field
3
17
Buffalo Bills 17–3. Biggest swing: Q3 0:58, BAL +24% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:58) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson pass short middle intended for 89-M.Andrews INTERCEPTED by 24-T.Johnson at BUF -1. 24-T.Johnson for 101 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Ravens | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 72 | 51 |
| Total yards | 340 (edge) | 225 |
| Yards per play | 4.7 (edge) | 4.4 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.25 | -0.12 (edge) |
| Success rate | 42% (edge) | 35% |
| Dropback rate | 64% | 78% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.33 | -0.05 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.12 (edge) | -0.34 |
| Third downs | 7/17 (edge) | 4/12 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 10 (edge) | 3 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 (edge) | 15 |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 (edge) |
Ravens outgained Bills 340–225 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.
Who moved the needle
Passing · BUF
23/37, 206 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
-1.1 expected points added · -0.0% completion over expected
Passing · BAL
14/24, 162 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT
-12.5 expected points added · -1.0% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | BAL 25 | 13 | 46 | 7:24 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | BUF | BUF 31 | 5 | 17 | 1:19 | Punt | |
| 3 | BAL | BAL 10 | 4 | 5 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 4 | BUF | BAL 38 | 5 | 17 | 1:47 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | BAL | BAL 25 | 5 | 6 | 2:25 | Punt | |
| 6 | BUF | BUF 37 | 7 | 38 | 2:16 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | BAL | BAL 33 | 6 | 34 | 2:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | BUF | BUF 36 | 6 | 11 | 2:30 | Punt | |
| 9 | BAL | BAL 20 | 8 | 32 | 5:10 | Punt | |
| 10 | BUF | BUF 18 | 7 | 32 | 2:04 | Punt | |
| 11 | BAL | BAL 27 | 8 | 57 | 0:59 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | BUF | BUF 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:04 | End of half | |
| 13 | BUF | BUF 34 | 13 | 66 | 5:31 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | BAL | BAL 25 | 16 | 66 | 8:48 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 15 | BAL | BAL 25 | 5 | 19 | 1:27 | Punt | |
| 16 | BUF | BUF 24 | 10 | 37 | 5:09 | Punt | |
| 17 | BAL | BAL 10 | 7 | 19 | 2:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | BUF | BAL 29 | 4 | 3 | 1:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | BAL | BAL 34 | 12 | 56 | 2:49 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | BUF | BUF 10 | 6 | 4 | 2:41 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bills gained 66 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 14/24 | 162 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -12.5 |
| Tyler Huntley | 6/13 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.5 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Gus Edwards | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Lamar Jackson | 9 | 34 | 3.8 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Tyler Huntley | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquise Brown | 4 | 7 | 87 | 0 | 20% | 3.8 |
| J.K. Dobbins | 3 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 14% | 2.1 |
| Mark Andrews | 4 | 11 | 28 | 0 | 31% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Smith | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marcus Peters | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| DeShon Elliott | 4 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Williams |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 23/37 | 206 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Singletary | 7 | 25 | 3.6 | 0 |
Closing number vs result
Bills closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 14.
Total closed 50; the game landed 20 — under by 30.0.
Conditions and crew
| -15.9 |
| Willie Snead | 5 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 14% | 0.7 |
| Miles Boykin | 3 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 11% | 0.9 |
| Patrick Ricard | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 3% | 0.3 |
| Dez Bryant | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -1.3 |
| Justice Hill | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.5 |
| 2 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| L.J. Fort | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tramon Williams | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Judon | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Calais Campbell | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Marlon Humphrey | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Patrick Queen | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| -1.6 |
| T.J. Yeldon | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Josh Allen | 7 | 3 | 0.4 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefon Diggs | 8 | 11 | 106 | 1 | 31% | 6.5 |
| John Brown | 8 | 11 | 62 | 0 | 31% | -1.2 |
| Dawson Knox | 2 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 6% | 1.5 |
| Devin Singletary | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 9% | 0.4 |
| Isaiah McKenzie | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6% | -0.0 |
| Gabe Davis | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11% | -2.6 |
| Cole Beasley | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6% | -1.4 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tremaine Edmunds | 6 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Micah Hyde | 6 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Matt Milano | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 |
| Tre'Davious White | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Taron Johnson | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| Levi Wallace | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Harrison Phillips | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Norman | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ed Oliver | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| A.J. Klein | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
