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2020 Divisional Round · Sun, Jan 17, 2021 · Arrowhead Stadium
17
22
Kansas City Chiefs 22–17. Biggest swing: Q4 8:10, CLE +7% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(8:10) 4-C.Henne pass deep right intended for 11-D.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 42-K.Joseph at CLE -4. Touchback.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Browns | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 60 | 61 |
| Total yards | 308 | 439 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.1 | 7.2 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.07 | 0.24 (edge) |
| Success rate | 42% | 54% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 63% | 66% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.14 | 0.31 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.44 (edge) | 0.10 |
| Third downs | 6/13 | 5/10 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 | 11 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 20 | 23 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.24 expected points added per play vs 0.07.
Who moved the needle
Passing · KC
21/30, 255 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT
10.5 expected points added · +2.1% completion over expected
Passing · CLE
23/37, 204 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
1.6 expected points added · +0.0% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 25 | 12 | 70 | 5:49 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | CLE | CLE 25 | 13 | 47 | 6:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | KC | KC 25 | 9 | 85 | 3:53 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | CLE | CLE 25 | 9 | 23 | 4:10 | Punt | |
| 5 | KC | KC 15 | 13 | 68 | 6:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | CLE | CLE 25 | 7 | 74 | 1:35 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | KC | KC 20 | 9 | 70 | 1:32 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | CLE | — | 1 | 0 | 0:02 | End of half | |
| 9 | CLE | CLE 25 | 4 | 0 | 0:20 | Interception | |
| 10 | KC | CLE 19 | 4 | 4 | 0:33 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | CLE | CLE 23 | 9 | 77 | 4:38 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | KC | KC 25 | 12 | 60 | 5:05 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | CLE | CLE 25 | 20 | 75 | 8:17 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | KC | KC 25 | 6 | 57 | 3:07 | Interception | |
| 15 | CLE | CLE 20 | 8 | 12 | 3:51 | Punt | |
| 16 | KC | KC 28 | 8 | 25 | 4:09 | End of game |
0 of 16 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 85 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker Mayfield | 23/37 | 204 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.6 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chubb | 13 | 69 | 5.3 | 0 | 2.3 |
| Kareem Hunt | 6 | 32 | 5.3 | 1 | 3.3 |
| Baker Mayfield | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 0 | 3.9 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Higgins | 5 | 7 | 88 | 0 | 21% | -0.8 |
| David Njoku | 4 | 5 | 59 | 0 | 15% | 3.8 |
| Donovan Peoples-Jones | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 3% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance Mitchell | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| B.J. Goodson | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mack Wilson | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sione Takitaki |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | 21/30 | 255 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10.5 |
| Chad Henne | 6/8 | 66 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Chiefs closed -7.5, won by 5 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 55.5; the game landed 39 — under by 16.5.
Conditions and crew
| 2.2 |
| Jarvis Landry | 7 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 29% | -6.5 |
| Austin Hooper | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 9% | 3.9 |
| Nick Chubb | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15% | -2.7 |
| Kareem Hunt | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3% | -0.7 |
| Harrison Bryant | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3% | -0.4 |
| Baker Mayfield | 1 | 1 | -8 | 0 | 3% | -1.1 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Kevin Johnson | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Karl Joseph | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| M.J. Stewart | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronnie Harrison | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Denzel Ward | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheldon Richardson | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Darrel Williams | 13 | 78 | 6.0 | 0 | 3.3 |
| Patrick Mahomes | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 1 | 0.7 |
| Chad Henne | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Tyreek Hill | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.7 |
| Le'Veon Bell | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Mecole Hardman | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyreek Hill | 8 | 10 | 110 | 0 | 27% | 6.5 |
| Travis Kelce | 8 | 10 | 109 | 1 | 27% | 6.6 |
| Mecole Hardman | 4 | 4 | 58 | 0 | 11% | 3.5 |
| Darrel Williams | 4 | 4 | 16 | 0 | 11% | 0.1 |
| Byron Pringle | 2 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 8% | -0.3 |
| Demarcus Robinson | 1 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 8% | -2.7 |
| Le'Veon Bell | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8% | -2.7 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrann Mathieu | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 |
| L'Jarius Sneed | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Sorensen | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bashaud Breeland | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Charvarius Ward | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Hitchens | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Damien Wilson | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Chris Jones | 1 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Frank Clark | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derrick Nnadi | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
