2020 Divisional Round · Sat, Jan 16, 2021 · Lambeau Field

Los Angeles Rams

Green Bay PackersWinner

GB -7 ✓O 45 ✓Packers closed -7 and covered, winning by 14.

Green Bay Packers 32–18. Biggest swing: Q2 0:33, GB +6% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 0:33LA — GB LA ball · 2nd & 4GB 93%

(:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 12-V.Jefferson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 0:33GB +6% win prob(:33) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 12-V.Jefferson for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 11:40GB +5% win prob(11:40) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short right to 17-D.Adams for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 5:27LA +5% win prob(5:27) 23-C.Akers left tackle to GB 14 for 1 yard (91-P.Smith).
Q4 · 7:00GB +4% win prob(7:00) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 13-A.Lazard for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Rams	Packers
Offensive plays	51	71
Total yards	246	488 (edge)
Yards per play	4.8	6.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.05	0.34 (edge)
Success rate	55%	61% (edge)
Dropback rate	65%	55%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.02	0.44 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.19	0.22 (edge)
Third downs	2/8	8/11 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	7 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	18	29 (edge)
Sacks taken	4	0 (edge)
Turnovers	0	0

Packers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.34 expected points added per play vs 0.05.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · GB

Aaron RodgersQB

23/36, 296 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT

16.5 expected points added · +4.1% completion over expected

Passing · LA

Jared GoffQB

21/27, 174 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

-0.9 expected points added · +9.7% completion over expected

Rushing · GB

Aaron JonesRB

14 att, 99 yds, 1 TD

2.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · LA

Cam AkersRB

18 att, 90 yds, 1 TD

3.4 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · GB

Allen LazardWR

4/8 for 96 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · 7.7 expected points added

Receiving · GB

Davante AdamsWR

9/10 for 66 yds, 1 TD

29% of team targets · 5.4 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	LA	LA 25	5	4	1:35	Punt
2	GB	GB 32	12	63	4:46	Turnover on downs
3	LA	LA 19	9	67	4:03	Turnover on downs
4	GB	GB 16	16	69	7:59	Touchdown
5	LA	LA 22	5	0	2:22	Punt
6	GB	LA 47	10	57	5:46	Touchdown
7	LA	LA 25	11	75	3:00	Touchdown
8	GB	GB 25	6	54	0:29	Turnover on downs
9	GB	GB 25	8	75	2:50	Touchdown
10	LA	LA 27	5	-6	1:39	Punt
11	GB	GB 15	7	34	3:05	Punt
12	LA	LA 21	12	76	5:45	Touchdown
13	GB	GB 26	10	27	3:24	Punt
14	LA	LA 6	8	25	3:31	Punt
15	GB	GB 27	6	72	2:54	Touchdown
16	LA	LA 41	8	5	1:53	Turnover on downs
17	GB	LA 46	9	37	4:59	End of game

0 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 76 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Los Angeles Rams

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jared Goff	21/27	174	1	0	4	-0.9

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Cam Akers	18	90	5.0	1	3.4
Jared Goff	1	6	6.0	0	0.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Josh Reynolds	3	4	65	0	15%	4.1
Robert Woods	8	10	48	0	38%	0.4
Van Jefferson	6	7	46	1	27%	3.7
Cam Akers	1	1	6	0	4%	1.6
Tyler Higbee	2	2	5	0	8%	-0.7
Malcolm Brown	1	1	4	0	4%	-0.5
Gerald Everett	0	1	0	0	4%	-0.7

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	PD
Troy Reeder	3	10	1
John Johnson	8	1	1
Michael Brockers	4	4	0
Sebastian Joseph	2	4	0
Nick Scott	2	3	0
Jordan Fuller	2	2	0
Jalen Ramsey	1	3	0
Kenny Young	2	2	0
Justin Hollins	1	2	0
Leonard Floyd	1	2	0

Green Bay Packers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Aaron Rodgers	23/36	296	2	0	0	16.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Aaron Jones	14	99	7.1	1	2.4
Jamaal Williams	12	65	5.4	0	5.2
A.J. Dillon	6	27	4.5	0	-0.6
Aaron Rodgers	4	-3	-0.8	1	-2.4

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Allen Lazard	4	8	96	1	24%	7.7
Davante Adams	9	10	66	1	29%	5.4
Robert Tonyan	4	4	60	0	12%	3.6
Marquez Valdes-Scantling	4	8	33	0	24%	0.1
Equanimeous St. Brown	1	2	27	0	6%	2.6
Aaron Jones	1	2	14	0	6%	-0.5

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Krys Barnes	7	3	0.0	1
Kevin King	5	3	0.0	0
Chandon Sullivan	6	2	0.0	0
Adrian Amos	4	1	0.0	0
Preston Smith	2	1	0.0	2
Kenny Clark	1	2	1.5	0
Rashan Gary	2	1	1.5	0
Henry Black	1	2	0.0	0
Darnell Savage	1	1	0.0	0
Christian Kirksey	2	0	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: GB -7
Closing total: 45
LA moneyline: +296
GB moneyline: -351

Packers closed -7 and covered, winning by 14.

Total closed 45; the game landed 50 — over by 5.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lambeau Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 35°F, wind 13 mph
Referee: Ronald Torbert
Rest: LA 7 days · GB 13 days
Coaches: Sean McVay vs Matt LaFleur