2021 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 19, 2021 · State Farm Stadium

Minnesota Vikings

Arizona CardinalsWinner

ARI -4 no coverO 51 ✓DomeCardinals closed -4, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Arizona Cardinals 34–33 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:04, MIN +66% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 0:04MIN — ARI MIN ball · 1st & 10MIN 66%

(:04) 1-G.Joseph 37 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-3-J.Berry.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 0:04MIN +66% win prob(:04) 1-G.Joseph 37 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-42-A.DePaola, Holder-3-J.Berry.
Q4 · 6:12ARI +27% win prob(6:12) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep middle to 13-C.Kirk to MIN 6 for 35 yards (24-M.Alexander).
Q3 · 14:09MIN +27% win prob(14:09) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right intended for 4-R.Moore INTERCEPTED by 59-N.Vigil at ARI 38. 59-N.Vigil for 38 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 1:46ARI +26% win prob(1:46) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 4-R.Moore for 77 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Vikings	Cardinals
Offensive plays	60	60
Total yards	419	474 (edge)
Yards per play	7.0	7.9 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.19 (edge)	0.12
Success rate	52%	52%
Dropback rate	58%	70%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.28 (edge)	0.21
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.07 (edge)	-0.10
Third downs	2/10	3/9 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	7
First downs gained on snaps	21	22 (edge)
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	3
Turnovers	0 (edge)	3

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · ARI

Kyler MurrayQB

29/36, 400 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT

4.6 expected points added · +14.6% completion over expected

Passing · MIN

Kirk CousinsQB

22/32, 244 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

7.0 expected points added · -1.5% completion over expected

Rushing · MIN

Dalvin CookRB

22 att, 131 yds, 0 TD

2.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · ARI

Chase EdmondsRB

8 att, 46 yds, 0 TD

0.9 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · ARI

Rondale MooreWR

7/8 for 114 yds, 1 TD

24% of team targets · -2.7 expected points added

Receiving · ARI

Maxx WilliamsTE

7/7 for 94 yds, 0 TD

21% of team targets · 6.0 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	MIN	MIN 25	4	75	0:44	Touchdown
2	ARI	ARI 25	5	12	2:20	Punt
3	MIN	MIN 25	4	8	1:31	Punt
4	ARI	ARI 27	10	73	4:36	Touchdown
5	MIN	MIN 25	11	75	5:25	Touchdown
6	ARI	ARI 25	5	8	1:10	Punt
7	MIN	MIN 16	10	84	5:18	Touchdown
8	ARI	ARI 25	12	85	5:41	Touchdown
9	MIN	MIN 25	5	9	1:29	Punt
10	ARI	ARI 23	2	77	0:13	Touchdown
11	MIN	MIN 25	9	41	1:12	Turnover on downs
12	ARI	ARI 34	4	22	0:21	Turnover on downs
13	ARI	ARI 24	3	8	1:00	Defensive touchdown
14	ARI	ARI 25	10	75	4:49	Touchdown
15	MIN	MIN 18	6	27	2:51	Punt
16	ARI	ARI 18	5	44	2:51	Interception
17	MIN	MIN 31	10	20	4:17	Turnover on downs
18	ARI	ARI 25	7	9	3:49	Punt
19	MIN	MIN 2	4	8	1:32	Punt
20	ARI	ARI 36	10	60	4:26	Turnover on downs
21	MIN	MIN 25	5	14	1:40	Punt
22	ARI	ARI 39	4	1	0:36	Punt
23	MIN	MIN 23	9	58	2:09	Turnover on downs

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 85 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Minnesota Vikings

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kirk Cousins	22/32	244	3	0	1	7.0

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Dalvin Cook	22	131	6.0	2.0
Kirk Cousins	2	35	17.5	2.8
Alexander Mattison	3	11	3.7	-0.3

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
K.J. Osborn	5	6	91	1	19%	4.7
Justin Jefferson	6	10	65	1	31%	2.2
Adam Thielen	6	7	39	1	22%	2.7
Dalvin Cook	2	3	17	0	9%	0.0
Alexander Mattison	1	1	17	0	3%	0.9
Tyler Conklin	2	4	15	0	13%	-0.8
Ameer Abdullah	0	1	0	0	3%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Eric Kendricks	7	2	0.0	0	0
Nick Vigil	4	4	0.0	1	1
Harrison Smith	7	1	0.0	0	0
Danielle Hunter	5	2	3.0	0	0
Mackensie Alexander	3	2	0.0	0	0
Stephen Weatherly	3	1	0.0	0	0
Bashaud Breeland	3	1	0.0	0	0
Xavier Woods	2	1	0.0	1	1
Blake Lynch	2	0	0.0	0	0
Troy Dye	2	0	0.0	0	0

Arizona Cardinals

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Kyler Murray	29/36	400	3	2	3	4.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Chase Edmonds	8	46	5.8	0	0.9
Kyler Murray	5	31	6.2	1	3.4
James Conner	8	26	3.3	0	-1.9

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Rondale Moore	7	8	114	1	24%	-2.7
Maxx Williams	7	7	94	0	21%	6.0
Christian Kirk	3	4	65	0	12%	4.0
DeAndre Hopkins	4	4	54	1	12%	4.7
A.J. Green	3	6	44	1	18%	0.4
Chase Edmonds	5	5	29	0	15%	-1.0

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Budda Baker	7	1	0.0	0
Isaiah Simmons	6	2	0.0	0
Jalen Thompson	6	1	0.0	0
Jordan Hicks	3	3	0.0	1
Robert Alford	4	1	0.0	0
Antonio Hamilton	4	0	0.0	1
Markus Golden	2	1	1.0	0
Byron Murphy	2	1	0.0	0
Zach Allen	1	1	0.0	0
Chris Banjo	1	1	0.0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: ARI -4
Closing total: 51
MIN moneyline: +170
ARI moneyline: -191

Cardinals closed -4, won by 1 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 51; the game landed 67 — over by 16.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · grass
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: Bill Vinovich
Rest: MIN 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches: Mike Zimmer vs Kliff Kingsbury