2021 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 19, 2021 · Lincoln Financial Field

San Francisco 49ersWinner

Philadelphia Eagles

SF -3 ✓U 49 ✓49ers closed -3 and covered, winning by 6.

San Francisco 49ers 17–11. Biggest swing: Q2 7:12, PHI +14% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 7:12SF — PHI PHI ball · 1st & 10PHI 54%

(7:12) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 16-Q.Watkins to SF 6 for 91 yards (38-D.Lenoir; 3-J.Tartt).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 7:12PHI +14% win prob(7:12) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 16-Q.Watkins to SF 6 for 91 yards (38-D.Lenoir; 3-J.Tartt).
Q2 · 0:25PHI +14% win prob(:25) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 19-D.Samuel pushed ob at PHI 11 for 40 yards (2-D.Slay).
Q1 · 0:39PHI +8% win prob(:39) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass deep right to 16-Q.Watkins pushed ob at SF 36 for 26 yards (1-J.Ward; 3-J.Tartt). Penalty on SF-24-K.Williams, Illegal Contact, declined.
Q2 · 0:17PHI +8% win prob(:17) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short left to 15-J.Jennings for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	49ers	Eagles
Offensive plays	65	55
Total yards	309	331 (edge)
Yards per play	4.8	6.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.10 (edge)	-0.01
Success rate	43%	47% (edge)
Dropback rate	51%	56%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.21 (edge)	0.13
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.02 (edge)	-0.20
Third downs	6/13 (edge)	5/12
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	3	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	19 (edge)	16
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	2
Turnovers	0	0

49ers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.01.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

12/23, 190 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT

0.7 expected points added · -5.6% completion over expected

Passing · SF

Jimmy GaroppoloQB

22/30, 189 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT

6.5 expected points added · +0.1% completion over expected

Rushing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

10 att, 82 yds, 1 TD

6.0 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · PHI

Miles SandersRB

13 att, 55 yds, 0 TD

-3.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · SF

Deebo SamuelWR

6/8 for 93 yds, 0 TD

27% of team targets · 4.1 expected points added

Receiving · SF

Jamycal HastyRB

4/5 for 21 yds, 0 TD

17% of team targets · -0.9 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	SF	SF 25	5	6	1:32	Punt
2	PHI	PHI 32	6	8	2:58	Punt
3	SF	SF 20	4	-1	1:02	Punt
4	PHI	PHI 21	11	53	4:43	Turnover on downs
5	SF	SF 25	5	9	1:26	Punt
6	PHI	PHI 17	10	54	4:12	Turnover on downs
7	SF	SF 27	12	50	6:55	Punt
8	PHI	PHI 3	6	89	2:52	Turnover on downs
9	SF	SF 3	13	97	4:08	Touchdown
10	PHI	PHI 25	2	0	0:12	End of half
11	PHI	PHI 25	5	0	1:29	Punt
12	SF	SF 26	7	20	3:40	Punt
13	PHI	PHI 7	12	53	5:00	Punt
14	SF	SF 8	17	85	8:59	Touchdown
15	PHI	PHI 20	7	12	2:35	Punt
16	SF	SF 20	9	31	3:10	Turnover on downs
17	PHI	PHI 25	7	62	1:05	Touchdown
18	SF	SF 14	7	12	4:02	End of game

0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 97 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

San Francisco 49ers

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jimmy Garoppolo	22/30	189	1	0	0	6.5

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Elijah Mitchell	17	42	2.5	0	-6.2
Jamycal Hasty	5	38	7.6	0	1.9
Jimmy Garoppolo	11	20	1.8	1	4.7
Deebo Samuel	2	8	4.0	0	-1.1
Trey Sermon	1	8	8.0	0	1.6
Kyle Juszczyk	1	2	2.0	0	-0.4
Trenton Cannon	1	-1	-1.0	0	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Deebo Samuel	6	8	93	0	27%	4.1
Jamycal Hasty	4	5	21	0	17%	-0.9
George Kittle	4	4	17	0	13%	0.1
Jauan Jennings	2	2	17	1	7%	3.5
Kyle Juszczyk	2	3	15	0	10%	0.4
Elijah Mitchell	2	2	11	0	7%	0.3
Trent Sherfield	1	3	9	0	10%	-0.2
Brandon Aiyuk	1	2	6	0	7%	0.2
Mohamed Sanu	0	1	0	0	3%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Fred Warner	5	2	0.0	1
Jaquiski Tartt	3	4	0.0	1
Jimmie Ward	4	2	0.0	1
Azeez Al-Shaair	2	3	0.0	0
Deommodore Lenoir	3	2	0.0	2
Kentavius Street	1	3	0.0	0
D.J. Jones	4	0	0.0	0
Nick Bosa	2	1	2.0	0
Samson Ebukam	2	1	0.0	0
Josh Norman	1	1	0.0	0

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	12/23	190	0	0	2	0.7
Greg Ward	0/1	0	0	0	0	-2.8

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Jalen Hurts	10	82	8.2	1	6.0
Miles Sanders	13	55	4.2	0	-3.5
Kenneth Gainwell	6	14	2.3	0	-1.2

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	Tgt share	EPA
Quez Watkins	2	2	117	8%	8.5
Dallas Goedert	2	2	24	8%	2.6
Kenneth Gainwell	2	3	18	13%	1.5
DeVonta Smith	2	7	16	29%	-3.7
Zach Ertz	1	2	6	8%	1.1
Jalen Reagor	2	5	5	21%	-3.9
Miles Sanders	1	2	4	8%	-0.6
Jalen Hurts	0	1	0	4%	-2.8

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast
Alex Singleton	5	6
Anthony Harris	2	8
Eric Wilson	2	5
Genard Avery	3	4
Javon Hargrave	2	5
T.J. Edwards	3	3
Fletcher Cox	3	1
Derek Barnett	1	2
Marcus Epps	1	2
K'Von Wallace	3	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SF -3
Closing total: 49
SF moneyline: -144
PHI moneyline: +130

49ers closed -3 and covered, winning by 6.

Total closed 49; the game landed 28 — under by 21.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 76°F, wind 13 mph
Referee: Brad Allen
Rest: SF 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches: Kyle Shanahan vs Nick Sirianni