2021 Week 3 · Mon, Sep 27, 2021 · AT&T Stadium

Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas CowboysWinner

DAL -3.5 ✓O 51.5 ✓Cowboys closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 20.

Dallas Cowboys 41–21 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 10:04, PHI +16% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 10:04PHI — DAL DAL ball · 2nd & 6DAL 75%

(10:04) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL -4 for -9 yards (97-J.Hargrave). FUMBLES (97-J.Hargrave), RECOVERED by PHI-91-F.Cox at DAL -5. TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 10:04PHI +16% win prob(10:04) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott sacked at DAL -4 for -9 yards (97-J.Hargrave). FUMBLES (97-J.Hargrave), RECOVERED by PHI-91-F.Cox at DAL -5. TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 5:50PHI +12% win prob(5:50) (Run formation) 4-D.Prescott up the middle to PHI 1 for no gain (49-A.Singleton; 96-D.Barnett). Dallas challenged the short of the goal line ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #1 at 05:43.)
Q1 · 12:36DAL +11% win prob(12:36) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 88-C.Lamb to PHI 1 for 44 yards (3-S.Nelson). PENALTY on PHI-97-J.Hargrave, Unnecessary Roughness, 0 yards, enforced at PHI 1.
Q3 · 14:17PHI +6% win prob(14:17) (Shotgun) 1-J.Hurts pass short left intended for 6-D.Smith INTERCEPTED by 7-T.Diggs at DAL 41. 7-T.Diggs for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Eagles	Cowboys
Offensive plays	53	68
Total yards	367	383 (edge)
Yards per play	6.9 (edge)	5.6
Expected points added / play	-0.20	0.10 (edge)
Success rate	40%	59% (edge)
Dropback rate	91%	47%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.21	0.32 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.18	-0.10 (edge)
Third downs	4/12	6/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6 (edge)	5
First downs gained on snaps	12	23 (edge)
Sacks taken	2 (edge)	4
Turnovers	2	1 (edge)

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.10 expected points added per play vs -0.20.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · PHI

Jalen HurtsQB

25/39, 326 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT

-6.2 expected points added · -3.8% completion over expected

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

21/26, 238 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT

11.6 expected points added · +16.8% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

17 att, 95 yds, 2 TD

4.7 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

11 att, 60 yds, 0 TD

2.3 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · DAL

Dalton SchultzTE

6/7 for 80 yds, 2 TD

28% of team targets · 9.3 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

3/3 for 66 yds, 0 TD

12% of team targets · 4.5 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 25	8	75	3:13	Touchdown
2	PHI	PHI 25	4	43	1:06	Interception
3	DAL	DAL 1	2	-1	0:44	Defensive touchdown
4	DAL	DAL 25	12	53	4:14	Turnover on downs
5	PHI	PHI 1	4	5	1:06	Punt
6	DAL	50	7	55	3:06	Touchdown
7	PHI	PHI 25	5	7	1:31	Punt
8	DAL	DAL 35	14	80	7:50	Touchdown
9	PHI	PHI 25	6	29	2:10	Punt
10	DAL	DAL 6	4	0	1:03	Punt
11	PHI	PHI 24	6	37	3:46	Punt
12	DAL	DAL 11	1	0	0:11	End of half
13	PHI	PHI 25	4	28	0:53	Defensive touchdown
14	PHI	PHI 25	5	4	1:22	Punt
15	DAL	DAL 32	4	10	1:42	Punt
16	PHI	PHI 10	9	95	3:55	Touchdown
17	DAL	DAL 25	8	24	3:06	Punt
18	PHI	PHI 11	4	4	1:24	Punt
19	DAL	DAL 39	13	56	6:12	Touchdown
20	PHI	PHI 25	8	11	3:10	Turnover on downs
21	DAL	PHI 31	4	31	1:20	Touchdown
22	PHI	PHI 25	9	95	3:47	Touchdown
23	DAL	DAL 25	5	0	1:31	Punt
24	PHI	PHI 35	4	9	0:52	Turnover on downs
25	DAL	PHI 44	2	0	0:46	End of game

0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 95 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

Philadelphia Eagles

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Jalen Hurts	25/39	326	2	2	2	-6.2

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	EPA
Jalen Hurts	9	35	3.9	-5.3
Miles Sanders	2	27	13.5	1.3
Kenneth Gainwell	1	2	2.0	-0.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Dallas Goedert	2	4	66	0	11%	2.3
Jalen Reagor	5	8	53	0	21%	-1.2
Zach Ertz	4	7	53	1	18%	3.2
Quez Watkins	2	2	46	0	5%	4.2
Kenneth Gainwell	3	4	32	0	11%	0.4
Miles Sanders	3	4	28	0	11%	-0.3
DeVonta Smith	3	6	28	0	16%	-9.7
Greg Ward	1	1	15	1	3%	2.0
Boston Scott	2	2	5	0	5%	-1.1

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Anthony Harris	6	8	0.0	0
Alex Singleton	5	5	0.0	0
Javon Hargrave	4	2	2.0	0
Eric Wilson	2	4	0.0	0
Steven Nelson	3	2	0.0	0
Avonte Maddox	1	3	0.5	1
Josh Sweat	1	3	0.5	0
Genard Avery	2	2	0.0	0
Marcus Epps	2	2	0.0	1
T.J. Edwards	3	1	1.0	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	21/26	238	3	0	4	11.6

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	17	95	5.6	2	4.7
Tony Pollard	11	60	5.5	0	2.3
Dak Prescott	9	6	0.7	0	-10.6
Corey Clement	3	0	0.0	0	-2.6
CeeDee Lamb	1	-1	-1.0	0	-1.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Dalton Schultz	6	7	80	2	28%	9.3
CeeDee Lamb	3	3	66	0	12%	4.5
Amari Cooper	3	4	26	0	16%	0.9
Ezekiel Elliott	3	3	21	0	12%	1.9
Cedrick Wilson	2	4	17	1	16%	3.5
Blake Jarwin	2	2	14	0	8%	2.4
Noah Brown	1	1	9	0	4%	0.0
Tony Pollard	1	1	5	0	4%	0.4

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	INT	PD
Jayron Kearse	3	2	0.0	0	1
Anthony Brown	4	0	0.0	1	1
Jaylon Smith	4	0	0.0	0	0
Leighton Vander Esch	3	1	0.0	0	0
Micah Parsons	3	1	0.5	0	1
Osa Odighizuwa	2	2	1.5	0	0
Damontae Kazee	1	2	0.0	0	1
Jourdan Lewis	2	1	0.0	0	0
Chauncey Golston	3	0	0.0	0	0
Luke Gifford	2	0	0.0	0	0

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -3.5
Closing total: 51.5
PHI moneyline: +168
DAL moneyline: -189

Cowboys closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 20.

Total closed 51.5; the game landed 62 — over by 10.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: open · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: —
Referee: Brad Rogers
Rest: PHI 8 days · DAL 8 days
Coaches: Nick Sirianni vs Mike McCarthy

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.