For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending.mdto eligible URLs or by sendingAccept: text/markdown.
2021 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 10, 2021 · Raymond James Stadium
17
45
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 45–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 11:12, TB +8% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(11:12) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 81-A.Brown for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN [49-S.Eguavoen].
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Dolphins | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 51 | 67 |
| Total yards | 301 | 559 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.9 | 8.3 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.03 | 0.52 (edge) |
| Success rate | 45% | 61% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 82% | 69% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.03 | 0.72 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.04 | 0.09 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/7 | 8/10 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 15 | 31 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 (edge) |
Buccaneers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.52 expected points added per play vs -0.03.
Who moved the needle
Passing · TB
30/41, 411 yds, 5 TD, 0 INT
28.3 expected points added · +13.5% completion over expected
Passing · MIA
27/39, 275 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
-1.1 expected points added · +1.1% completion over expected
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA | MIA 25 | 9 | 65 | 3:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | TB | TB 20 | 10 | 80 | 4:13 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | MIA | MIA 25 | 10 | 63 | 3:48 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | TB | TB 25 | 11 | 51 | 4:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | MIA | MIA 25 | 5 | 6 | 1:31 | Punt | |
| 6 | TB | TB 30 | 4 | 70 | 1:34 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | MIA | MIA 25 | 8 | 22 | 2:54 | Punt | |
| 8 | TB | TB 23 | 14 | 65 | 6:19 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | MIA | MIA 25 | 6 | 40 | 1:14 | Fumble | |
| 10 | TB | TB 34 | 5 | 24 | 0:34 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | TB | TB 25 | 6 | 21 | 2:12 | Punt | |
| 12 | MIA | MIA 13 | 12 | 71 | 5:52 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | TB | TB 25 | 15 | 75 | 6:59 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | MIA | MIA 25 | 5 | 0 | 0:58 | Punt | |
| 15 | TB | TB 39 | 5 | 61 | 2:10 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | MIA | MIA 25 | 4 | 16 | 1:02 | Interception | |
| 17 | TB | MIA 41 | 4 | 50 | 1:50 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | MIA | MIA 25 | 7 | 18 | 1:51 | Punt | |
| 19 | TB | TB 13 | 10 | 62 | 7:06 | End of game |
0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Buccaneers gained 80 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.
Full stat lines
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | 27/39 | 275 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg | TD | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Gaskin | 5 | 25 | 5.0 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Preston Williams | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Salvon Ahmed | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Gaskin | 10 | 10 | 74 | 2 | 26% | 4.8 |
| Preston Williams | 3 | 5 | 60 | 0 | 13% | 1.6 |
| Mike Gesicki | 4 | 7 | 43 | 0 | 18% |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Baker | 6 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jevon Holland | 5 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nik Needham | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Raekwon Davis |
| Player | C/Att | Yds | TD | INT | Sacked | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | 30/41 | 411 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 28.3 |
| Blaine Gabbert | 3/3 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.9 |
| Player | Att | Yds | Avg |
|---|
Closing number vs result
Buccaneers closed -11 and covered, winning by 28.
Total closed 48; the game landed 62 — over by 14.0.
Conditions and crew
| 1.8 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 2 | 6 | 31 | 0 | 15% | -6.0 |
| Durham Smythe | 2 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 8% | 1.1 |
| Salvon Ahmed | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 8% | 0.2 |
| Adam Shaheen | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 5% | 0.8 |
| Mack Hollins | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 5% | 0.6 |
| Isaiah Ford | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3% | -0.3 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 0.0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| Brandon Jones | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaelan Phillips | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Byron Jones | 3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xavien Howard | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Zach Sieler | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Andrew Van Ginkel | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| TD |
|---|
| EPA |
|---|
| Leonard Fournette | 12 | 67 | 5.6 | 1 | 2.6 |
| Ronald Jones | 5 | 21 | 4.2 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Giovani Bernard | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Tom Brady | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 0 | 0.9 |
| Blaine Gabbert | 3 | -1 | -0.3 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Player | Rec | Tgt | Yds | TD | Tgt share | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Brown | 7 | 8 | 124 | 2 | 19% | 12.9 |
| Mike Evans | 6 | 8 | 113 | 2 | 19% | 8.6 |
| Chris Godwin | 7 | 11 | 70 | 0 | 26% | 0.7 |
| Leonard Fournette | 4 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 12% | 2.8 |
| Tyler Johnson | 3 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 7% | 4.1 |
| O.J. Howard | 2 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 7% | 1.8 |
| Ronald Jones | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 2% | 0.9 |
| Giovani Bernard | 2 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 5% | 2.7 |
| Cameron Brate | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 2% | 0.9 |
| Player | Solo | Ast | Sacks | INT | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin White | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Edwards | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jamel Dean | 5 | 0 | 0.0 | 1 | 2 |
| Shaquil Barrett | 3 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Jordan Whitehead | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Richard Sherman | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Minter | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jason Pierre-Paul | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ross Cockrell | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 |
| Lavonte David | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 |
