2021 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 10, 2021 · AT&T Stadium

New York Giants

Dallas CowboysWinner

DAL -7.5 ✓O 53 ✓DomeCowboys closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 24.

Dallas Cowboys 44–20 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 2:56, DAL +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 2:56NYG — DAL NYG ball · 4th & 1DAL 77%

(2:56) 28-D.Booker up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 2:56DAL +9% win prob(2:56) 28-D.Booker up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 12:06DAL +8% win prob(12:06) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep right to 88-C.Lamb for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 4:50DAL +7% win prob(4:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short left to 89-K.Toney to DAL 2 for 28 yards (28-M.Hooker).
Q2 · 0:41DAL +7% win prob(:41) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep left to 19-A.Cooper for 24 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass complete on a skinny post.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Giants	Cowboys
Offensive plays	64	74
Total yards	367	515 (edge)
Yards per play	5.7	7.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.13	0.18 (edge)
Success rate	39%	49% (edge)
Dropback rate	63%	49%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.05	0.33 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.27	0.04 (edge)
Third downs	4/13	8/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	13 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	18	23 (edge)
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	2
Turnovers	2	2

Cowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.18 expected points added per play vs -0.13.

Who moved the needle

Top performers

Passing · DAL

Dak PrescottQB

22/32, 302 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT

10.3 expected points added · +3.6% completion over expected

Passing · NYG

Mike GlennonQB

16/25, 196 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT

-2.9 expected points added · +4.6% completion over expected

Rushing · DAL

Ezekiel ElliottRB

21 att, 110 yds, 1 TD

1.4 expected points added on the ground

Rushing · DAL

Tony PollardRB

14 att, 75 yds, 0 TD

3.5 expected points added on the ground

Receiving · NYG

Kadarius ToneyWR

10/13 for 189 yds, 0 TD

35% of team targets · 11.0 expected points added

Receiving · DAL

CeeDee LambWR

4/6 for 84 yds, 1 TD

19% of team targets · 5.6 expected points added

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	DAL	DAL 25	8	31	2:15	Interception
2	NYG	NYG 49	6	15	1:58	Turnover on downs
3	DAL	DAL 44	10	49	4:30	Turnover on downs
4	NYG	NYG 25	5	1	1:08	Punt
5	DAL	NYG 49	10	44	4:35	Fumble
6	NYG	NYG 8	4	7	1:36	Punt
7	DAL	DAL 35	5	65	1:59	Touchdown
8	NYG	NYG 25	8	42	1:49	Turnover on downs
9	DAL	DAL 25	5	14	1:28	Punt
10	NYG	NYG 12	13	83	5:51	Touchdown
11	DAL	DAL 25	10	75	2:15	Touchdown
12	NYG	NYG 25	2	6	0:36	End of half
13	NYG	NYG 25	8	46	3:46	Turnover on downs
14	DAL	DAL 25	12	72	4:03	Touchdown
15	NYG	NYG 25	2	0	0:14	Interception
16	DAL	DAL 41	8	34	4:55	Turnover on downs
17	NYG	NYG 25	11	68	4:40	Turnover on downs
18	DAL	DAL 2	10	113	4:48	Touchdown
19	NYG	NYG 25	13	77	4:17	Touchdown
20	DAL	NYG 46	9	18	1:24	Turnover on downs
21	NYG	NYG 25	4	13	0:25	Defensive touchdown
22	NYG	NYG 12	4	9	1:28	End of game

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cowboys gained 113 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Full stat lines

Box score

New York Giants

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	EPA
Mike Glennon	16/25	196	1	2	-2.9
Daniel Jones	5/13	98	0	0	0.9
Kadarius Toney	0/1	0	0	0	-0.7

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Devontae Booker	16	42	2.6	1	-1.5
Daniel Jones	3	9	3.0	0	-0.8
Saquon Barkley	2	9	4.5	0	-0.1
Kadarius Toney	1	7	7.0	0	-0.7
Elijhaa Penny	1	4	4.0	0	0.0
Mike Glennon	2	2	1.0	0	-2.6

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
Kadarius Toney	10	13	189	0	35%	11.0
Evan Engram	4	4	55	0	11%	4.3
Devontae Booker	3	4	16	1	11%	3.2
Kyle Rudolph	1	1	14	0	3%	0.9
John Ross	1	5	13	0	14%	-3.5
C.J. Board	2	3	7	0	8%	-3.6
Saquon Barkley	0	1	0	0	3%	-0.6
Kenny Golladay	0	3	0	0	8%	-2.5
Collin Johnson	0	3	0	0	8%	-10.6

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	Sacks	PD
Logan Ryan	6	2	0.0	0
Tae Crowder	5	3	0.0	0
Adoree' Jackson	7	0	0.0	0
Reggie Ragland	4	2	0.0	1
Xavier McKinney	5	1	0.0	0
Leonard Williams	2	4	0.5	0
Danny Shelton	2	4	0.5	0
Julian Love	3	2	0.0	1
Austin Johnson	3	1	1.0	0
Dexter Lawrence	3	0	0.0	0

Dallas Cowboys

Passing

Player	C/Att	Yds	TD	INT	Sacked	EPA
Dak Prescott	22/32	302	3	1	2	10.3
Cedrick Wilson	1/1	22	0	0	0	1.3

Rushing

Player	Att	Yds	Avg	TD	EPA
Ezekiel Elliott	21	110	5.2	1	1.4
Tony Pollard	14	75	5.4	0	3.5
Dak Prescott	2	6	3.0	0	-5.3
Cedrick Wilson	1	6	6.0	0	2.0
CeeDee Lamb	1	4	4.0	0	-0.1

Receiving

Player	Rec	Tgt	Yds	TD	Tgt share	EPA
CeeDee Lamb	4	6	84	1	19%	5.6
Dalton Schultz	6	8	79	0	25%	4.2
Amari Cooper	3	6	60	1	19%	4.4
Noah Brown	3	4	36	0	13%	1.1
Cedrick Wilson	1	1	35	0	3%	2.7
Tony Pollard	4	4	28	0	13%	-0.1
Ezekiel Elliott	2	3	2	1	9%	-2.9

Defense (top contributors)

Player	Solo	Ast	INT	PD
Micah Parsons	5	2	0	0
Jayron Kearse	4	3	0	0
Malik Hooker	3	3	0	0
Leighton Vander Esch	4	1	0	0
Trevon Diggs	3	2	1	2
Keanu Neal	3	2	0	0
Jourdan Lewis	2	1	0	0
Damontae Kazee	3	0	0	0
Tarell Basham	1	1	0	0
Anthony Brown	2	0	1	1

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DAL -7.5
Closing total: 53
NYG moneyline: +285
DAL moneyline: -335

Cowboys closed -7.5 and covered, winning by 24.

Total closed 53; the game landed 64 — over by 11.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: AT&T Stadium
Roof / surface: closed · matrixturf
Kickoff weather: Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee: John Hussey
Rest: NYG 7 days · DAL 7 days
Coaches: Joe Judge vs Mike McCarthy

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.